Football · Thailand Premier League · 20/09, 13:00
Prediction: Rayong FC vs Ratchaburi FC
Team pages: Rayong FC · Ratchaburi FC
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.56Total
Rayong FC1.53
Ratchaburi FC2.03
1X2
Rayong FC
Draw
Ratchaburi FC
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 52%
Both teams to score 59%
Most likely score
1-1 10%
Recent form · 10 last
Rayong FC
4-3-3 (W-D-L)
Ratchaburi FC
6-2-2 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Rayong FC
0–6
Ratchaburi FC
(6 last)
- Ratchaburi FC6-1Rayong FC
- Rayong FC2-4Ratchaburi FC
- Rayong FC0-1Ratchaburi FC
- Rayong FC1-4Ratchaburi FC
- Ratchaburi FC2-0Rayong FC
- Rayong FC0-3Ratchaburi FC
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Rayong FC 1481 · Ratchaburi FC 1534
| Rayong FC | Draw | Ratchaburi FC | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 28% | 23% | 48% |
| Market | 27% | 26% | 47% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.56 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.8
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 70%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Ratchaburi FC (rating 1481 vs 1534).
- H2H favours Ratchaburi FC: 6-0-0.
- High corners: 11.1 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 7.9 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Rayong FC | Ratchaburi FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.5 / 2 | 2.1 / 1.1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 1 | 1.1 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/20/50% | 40/50/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.3 / 4.6 | 3.5 / 6.5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4 / 0.2 | 3.9 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Rayong FC 0–0–6 Ratchaburi FC
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 03/05/26 Thailand Premier League | Ratchaburi FC | 6-1 HT 3-0 | Rayong FC |
| 16/12/25 Thailand Premier League | Rayong FC | 2-4 HT 0-2 | Ratchaburi FC |
| 26/02/25 Thailand League Cup | Rayong FC | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Ratchaburi FC |
| 22/02/25 Thailand Premier League | Rayong FC | 1-4 HT 1-2 | Ratchaburi FC |
| 05/10/24 Thailand Premier League | Ratchaburi FC | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Rayong FC |
| 03/03/21 Thailand Premier League | Rayong FC | 0-3 HT 0-1 | Ratchaburi FC |
Standings · Thailand Premier League
Swipe the table sideways →
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Uthai Thani FC | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 4 | 6 |
| 2 | Port FC | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 6 |
| 2 | Rayong FC | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 6 |
| 4 | Ayutthaya United | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 6 |
| 5 | Buriram United | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 4 |
| 6 | BG Pathum United | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 4 |
| 7 | Chiangrai Utd | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 |
| 7 | Pattani FC | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 |
| 9 | Bangkok United | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 3 |
| 10 | Ratchaburi FC | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 |
| 11 | Prachuap FC | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 |
| 12 | Rasi Salai United | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 | Chonburi | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 | Sisaket United | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 | Sukhothai FC | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 | Lamphun Warrior FC | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 0 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Rayong FC | Ratchaburi FC |
|---|---|---|
| Bangkok United | 1-1 D | 1-0 W |
| Buriram United | 3-0 W | 2-2 D |
| Lamphun Warrior FC | 1-1 D | 2-1 W |
| Kanchanaburi Power | 2-1 W | 1-0 W |
| BG Pathum United | 1-1 D | 2-2 D |
| Record vs common | 2 W 3 D 0 L | 3 W 2 D 0 L |
Better against common opponents: Ratchaburi FC (2 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Rayong FC
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/09 | Chonburi Thailand Premier League |
1-0 | 3-2 | 2 | 6 | W |
| 05/09 | Prachuap FC Thailand Premier League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 6 | W |
| 10/05 | Bangkok United Thailand Premier League |
0-1 | 1-1 | 9 | 6 | D |
| 03/05 | Ratchaburi FC Thailand Premier League |
0-3 | 1-6 | 3 | 1 | L |
| 29/04 | Buriram United Thailand Premier League |
1-0 | 3-0 | 4 | 7 | W |
| 26/04 | Lamphun Warrior FC Thailand Premier League |
0-1 | 1-1 | 7 | 3 | D |
| 18/04 | Uthai Thani FC Thailand Premier League |
1-3 | 1-4 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 05/04 | Chonburi Thailand Premier League |
1-1 | 1-4 | 4 | 0 | L |
| 21/03 | Kanchanaburi Power Thailand Premier League |
1-0 | 2-1 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 14/03 | BG Pathum United Thailand Premier League |
0-1 | 1-1 | 1 | 5 | D |
Ratchaburi FC
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/09 | Bangkok United Thailand Premier League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 06/09 | Ayutthaya United Thailand Premier League |
1-1 | 1-2 | 10 | 3 | L |
| 10/05 | Kanchanaburi Power Thailand Premier League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 8 | 7 | W |
| 03/05 | Rayong FC Thailand Premier League |
3-0 | 6-1 | 11 | 1 | W |
| 29/04 | Chiangrai Utd Thailand Premier League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 10 | 4 | L |
| 24/04 | Sukhothai FC Thailand Premier League |
0-1 | 2-1 | 6 | 6 | W |
| 18/04 | Bangkok United Thailand Premier League |
2-0 | 4-1 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 11/04 | Lamphun Warrior FC Thailand Premier League |
1-1 | 2-1 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 04/04 | Buriram United Thailand Premier League |
1-1 | 2-2 | 7 | 4 | D |
| 22/03 | BG Pathum United Thailand Premier League |
2-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 6 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Rayong FC vs Ratchaburi FC?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Ratchaburi FC win (48%). Probabilities: Rayong FC 28%, draw 25%, Ratchaburi FC 48%.
How many goals are expected in Rayong FC vs Ratchaburi FC?
The model expects 3.56 goals (Rayong FC 1.53 · Ratchaburi FC 2.03), with a 56% chance of over 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Rayong FC vs Ratchaburi FC?
The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.