Football · Thailand Premier League · 20/09, 13:30
Prediction: Sukhothai FC vs Port FC
Team pages: Sukhothai FC · Port FC
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.82Total
Sukhothai FC0.96
Port FC1.86
1X2
Sukhothai FC
Draw
Port FC
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 53%
Both teams to score 53%
Most likely score
1-1 12%
Recent form · 10 last
Sukhothai FC
2-1-7 (W-D-L)
Port FC
8-2-0 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Sukhothai FC
3–3
Port FC
(6 last)
- Port FC5-0Sukhothai FC
- Sukhothai FC1-0Port FC
- Sukhothai FC3-2Port FC
- Port FC4-1Sukhothai FC
- Port FC1-0Sukhothai FC
- Sukhothai FC2-1Port FC
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Sukhothai FC 1441 · Port FC 1610
| Sukhothai FC | Draw | Port FC | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 18% | 25% | 57% |
| Market | 19% | 23% | 58% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.82 goals · Bet365 line 2.75
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 59%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Port FC (rating 1441 vs 1610).
- Cards-heavy: 7.8 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Sukhothai FC | Port FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.8 / 1.4 | 2.1 / 0.6 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.3 / 0.8 | 1.2 / 0.2 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/20/50% | 60/30/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.9 / 4.4 | 2.8 / 5.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.3 / 0.2 | 3.5 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Sukhothai FC 3–0–3 Port FC
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10/01/26 Thailand Premier League | Port FC | 5-0 HT 3-0 | Sukhothai FC |
| 24/08/25 Thailand Premier League | Sukhothai FC | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Port FC |
| 20/01/25 Thailand Premier League | Sukhothai FC | 3-2 HT 1-1 | Port FC |
| 27/08/24 Thailand Premier League | Port FC | 4-1 HT 2-0 | Sukhothai FC |
| 02/04/24 Thailand Premier League | Port FC | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Sukhothai FC |
| 27/10/23 Thailand Premier League | Sukhothai FC | 2-1 HT 1-1 | Port FC |
Standings · Thailand Premier League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Uthai Thani FC | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 4 | 6 |
| 2 | Port FC | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 6 |
| 2 | Rayong FC | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 6 |
| 4 | Ayutthaya United | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 6 |
| 5 | Buriram United | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 4 |
| 6 | BG Pathum United | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 4 |
| 7 | Chiangrai Utd | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 |
| 7 | Pattani FC | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 |
| 9 | Bangkok United | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 3 |
| 10 | Ratchaburi FC | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 |
| 11 | Prachuap FC | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 |
| 12 | Rasi Salai United | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 | Chonburi | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 | Sisaket United | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 | Sukhothai FC | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 | Lamphun Warrior FC | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 0 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Sukhothai FC | Port FC |
|---|---|---|
| Prachuap FC | 0-1 L | 3-0 W |
| Buriram United | 1-3 L | 3-1 W |
| Chiangrai Utd | 1-1 D | 2-1 W |
| Bangkok United | 0-2 L | 1-1 D |
| Record vs common | 0 W 1 D 3 L | 3 W 1 D 0 L |
Better against common opponents: Port FC (4 of 4 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Sukhothai FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/09 | Prachuap FC Thailand Premier League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 1 | 2 | L |
| 06/09 | Buriram United Thailand Premier League |
0-3 | 1-3 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 10/05 | Muang Thong United Thailand Premier League |
1-0 | 3-0 | 5 | 7 | W |
| 02/05 | Nakhon Ratchasima Thailand Premier League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 24/04 | Ratchaburi FC Thailand Premier League |
1-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 6 | L |
| 11/04 | Chiangrai Utd Thailand Premier League |
1-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 8 | D |
| 03/04 | Bangkok United Thailand Premier League |
0-1 | 0-2 | 2 | 1 | L |
| 21/03 | Chonburi Thailand Premier League |
0-2 | 0-2 | 5 | 2 | L |
| 15/03 | Kanchanaburi Power Thailand Premier League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 3 | L |
| 07/03 | Rayong FC Thailand Premier League |
0-1 | 2-1 | 4 | 7 | W |
Port FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/09 | Lamphun Warrior FC Thailand Premier League |
1-0 | 2-1 | 8 | 5 | W |
| 05/09 | Rasi Salai United Thailand Premier League |
1-1 | 2-1 | 7 | 7 | W |
| 10/05 | Ayutthaya United Thailand Premier League |
1-0 | 4-1 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 02/05 | Buriram United Thailand Premier League |
3-0 | 3-1 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 25/04 | Uthai Thani FC Thailand Premier League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 8 | 6 | W |
| 19/04 | BG Pathum United Thailand Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | D |
| 04/04 | Prachuap FC Thailand Premier League |
2-0 | 3-0 | 6 | 2 | W |
| 22/03 | Chiangrai Utd Thailand Premier League |
1-0 | 2-1 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 15/03 | Bangkok United Thailand Premier League |
0-1 | 1-1 | 11 | 5 | D |
| 06/03 | Lamphun Warrior FC Thailand Premier League |
3-0 | 3-0 | 3 | 3 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Sukhothai FC vs Port FC?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Port FC win (58%). Probabilities: Sukhothai FC 18%, draw 24%, Port FC 58%.
How many goals are expected in Sukhothai FC vs Port FC?
The model expects 2.82 goals (Sukhothai FC 0.96 · Port FC 1.86), with a 51% chance of under 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Sukhothai FC vs Port FC?
The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.