Football · Thailand Premier League · 18/09, 14:00
Prediction: Ayutthaya United vs Uthai Thani FC
Team pages: Ayutthaya United · Uthai Thani FC
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.45Total
Ayutthaya United1.28
Uthai Thani FC1.17
1X2
Ayutthaya United
Draw
Uthai Thani FC
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 51%
Both teams to score 52%
Most likely score
1-1 14%
Recent form · 10 last
Ayutthaya United
3-0-7 (W-D-L)
Uthai Thani FC
2-3-5 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Ayutthaya United
1–2–3
Uthai Thani FC
(6 last)
- Ayutthaya United0-1Uthai Thani FC
- Uthai Thani FC1-4Ayutthaya United
- Uthai Thani FC3-2Ayutthaya United
- Ayutthaya United1-1Uthai Thani FC
- Ayutthaya United0-1Uthai Thani FC
- Uthai Thani FC2-2Ayutthaya United
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Ayutthaya United 1437 · Uthai Thani FC 1483
| Ayutthaya United | Draw | Uthai Thani FC | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 38% | 30% | 33% |
| Market | 38% | 29% | 33% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.45 goals · Bet365 line 2.5
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 54%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Uthai Thani FC (rating 1437 vs 1483).
- H2H favours Uthai Thani FC: 3-2-1.
- Cards-heavy: 8.1 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Ayutthaya United | Uthai Thani FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.8 / 2 | 1 / 1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.3 / 0.6 | 0.8 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/30/50% | 30/50/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.6 / 3.9 | 2.2 / 4.2 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.8 / 0.3 | 4.3 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Ayutthaya United 1–2–3 Uthai Thani FC
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17/01/26 Thailand Premier League | Ayutthaya United | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Uthai Thani FC |
| 29/08/25 Thailand Premier League | Uthai Thani FC | 1-4 HT 0-0 | Ayutthaya United |
| 29/03/23 Thailand Division 2 | Uthai Thani FC | 3-2 HT 0-0 | Ayutthaya United |
| 19/11/22 Thailand Division 2 | Ayutthaya United | 1-1 HT 0-1 | Uthai Thani FC |
| 10/03/21 Thailand Division 2 | Ayutthaya United | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Uthai Thani FC |
| 31/10/20 Thailand Division 2 | Uthai Thani FC | 2-2 HT 0-1 | Ayutthaya United |
Standings · Thailand Premier League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Uthai Thani FC | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 4 | 6 |
| 2 | Port FC | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 6 |
| 2 | Rayong FC | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 6 |
| 4 | Ayutthaya United | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 6 |
| 5 | Buriram United | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 4 |
| 6 | BG Pathum United | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 4 |
| 7 | Chiangrai Utd | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 |
| 7 | Pattani FC | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 |
| 9 | Bangkok United | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 3 |
| 10 | Ratchaburi FC | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 |
| 11 | Prachuap FC | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 |
| 12 | Rasi Salai United | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 | Chonburi | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 | Sisaket United | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 | Sukhothai FC | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 | Lamphun Warrior FC | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 0 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Ayutthaya United | Uthai Thani FC |
|---|---|---|
| Port FC | 1-4 L | 0-1 L |
| Bangkok United | 1-4 L | 1-1 D |
| Prachuap FC | 1-3 L | 0-2 L |
| Lamphun Warrior FC | 0-2 L | 4-1 W |
| Nakhon Ratchasima | 0-1 L | 0-0 D |
| Record vs common | 0 W 0 D 5 L | 1 W 2 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Uthai Thani FC (4 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Ayutthaya United
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/09 | Sisaket United Thailand Premier League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 06/09 | Ratchaburi FC Thailand Premier League |
1-1 | 2-1 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 10/05 | Port FC Thailand Premier League |
0-1 | 1-4 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 02/05 | Bangkok United Thailand Premier League |
0-0 | 1-4 | 8 | 2 | L |
| 26/04 | Prachuap FC Thailand Premier League |
1-0 | 1-3 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 12/04 | Buriram United Thailand Premier League |
0-1 | 0-2 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 05/04 | Lamphun Warrior FC Thailand Premier League |
0-1 | 0-2 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 21/03 | Nakhon Ratchasima Thailand Premier League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 15/03 | Ratchaburi FC Thailand Premier League |
1-0 | 2-1 | 2 | 7 | W |
| 07/03 | Kanchanaburi Power Thailand Premier League |
0-1 | 0-2 | 4 | 8 | L |
Uthai Thani FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/09 | Pattani FC Thailand Premier League |
1-1 | 1-2 | 8 | 6 | L |
| 06/09 | Lamphun Warrior FC Thailand Premier League |
3-0 | 4-1 | 2 | 2 | W |
| 10/05 | Chiangrai Utd Thailand Premier League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 2 | L |
| 03/05 | Prachuap FC Thailand Premier League |
0-1 | 0-2 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 29/04 | Bangkok United Thailand Premier League |
1-0 | 1-1 | 8 | 2 | D |
| 25/04 | Port FC Thailand Premier League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 6 | L |
| 18/04 | Rayong FC Thailand Premier League |
3-1 | 4-1 | 1 | 5 | W |
| 05/04 | Nakhon Ratchasima Thailand Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 8 | D |
| 21/03 | Lamphun Warrior FC Thailand Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 5 | D |
| 14/03 | Muang Thong United Thailand Premier League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 7 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Ayutthaya United vs Uthai Thani FC?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Ayutthaya United win (38%). Probabilities: Ayutthaya United 38%, draw 29%, Uthai Thani FC 33%.
How many goals are expected in Ayutthaya United vs Uthai Thani FC?
The model expects 2.45 goals (Ayutthaya United 1.28 · Uthai Thani FC 1.17), with a 51% chance of under 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Ayutthaya United vs Uthai Thani FC?
The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.