Football · Thailand Premier League · 11/09, 14:00
Prediction: Ratchaburi FC vs Bangkok United
Team pages: Ratchaburi FC
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.87Total
Ratchaburi FC1.48
Bangkok United1.39
1X2
Ratchaburi FC
Draw
Bangkok United
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 55%
Both teams to score 55%
Most likely score
1-1 13%
Recent form · 10 last
Ratchaburi FC
5-2-3 (W-D-L)
Bangkok United
3-4-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Ratchaburi FC
2–1–3
Bangkok United
(6 last)
- Bangkok United1-4Ratchaburi FC
- Ratchaburi FC0-1Bangkok United
- Ratchaburi FC1-2Bangkok United
- Bangkok United0-0Ratchaburi FC
- Ratchaburi FC1-2Bangkok United
- Ratchaburi FC1-0Bangkok United
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Ratchaburi FC 1523 · Bangkok United 1505
| Ratchaburi FC | Draw | Bangkok United | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 38% | 27% | 34% |
| Market | 39% | 26% | 35% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.87 goals · Bet365 line 2.75
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 58%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Bangkok United: 3-1-2.
- High corners: 11.9 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 7.7 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Ratchaburi FC | Bangkok United | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.1 / 1.3 | 1.3 / 1.2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1 / 0.6 | 0.6 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/50/20% | 40/30/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.4 / 6.7 | 2.1 / 5.2 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.3 / 0.3 | 3.4 / 0.6 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Ratchaburi FC 2–1–3 Bangkok United
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18/04/26 Thailand Premier League | Bangkok United | 1-4 HT 0-2 | Ratchaburi FC |
| 28/09/25 Thailand Premier League | Ratchaburi FC | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Bangkok United |
| 02/04/25 Thailand Premier League | Ratchaburi FC | 1-2 HT 1-1 | Bangkok United |
| 27/09/24 Thailand Premier League | Bangkok United | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Ratchaburi FC |
| 04/04/24 Thailand Premier League | Ratchaburi FC | 1-2 HT 1-0 | Bangkok United |
| 13/03/24 Thailand League Cup | Ratchaburi FC | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Bangkok United |
Standings · Thailand Premier League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Uthai Thani FC | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 3 |
| 2 | Bangkok United | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 3 |
| 2 | Buriram United | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 3 |
| 4 | Ayutthaya United | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 4 | Port FC | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 6 | Chiangrai Utd | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 6 | Rayong FC | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 8 | BG Pathum United | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 8 | Pattani FC | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 10 | Rasi Salai United | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 | Ratchaburi FC | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 | Chonburi | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 | Prachuap FC | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 | Sisaket United | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 | Sukhothai FC | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 | Lamphun Warrior FC | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 0 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Ratchaburi FC | Bangkok United |
|---|---|---|
| Ayutthaya United | 1-2 L | 4-1 W |
| Rayong FC | 6-1 W | 1-1 D |
| Chiangrai Utd | 0-1 L | 0-2 L |
| Sukhothai FC | 2-1 W | 2-0 W |
| Record vs common | 2 W 0 D 2 L | 2 W 1 D 1 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Ratchaburi FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/09 | Ayutthaya United Thailand Premier League |
1-1 | 1-2 | 10 | 3 | L |
| 10/05 | Kanchanaburi Power Thailand Premier League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 8 | 7 | W |
| 03/05 | Rayong FC Thailand Premier League |
3-0 | 6-1 | 11 | 1 | W |
| 29/04 | Chiangrai Utd Thailand Premier League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 10 | 4 | L |
| 24/04 | Sukhothai FC Thailand Premier League |
0-1 | 2-1 | 6 | 6 | W |
| 18/04 | Bangkok United Thailand Premier League |
2-0 | 4-1 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 11/04 | Lamphun Warrior FC Thailand Premier League |
1-1 | 2-1 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 04/04 | Buriram United Thailand Premier League |
1-1 | 2-2 | 7 | 4 | D |
| 22/03 | BG Pathum United Thailand Premier League |
2-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 6 | D |
| 15/03 | Ayutthaya United Thailand Premier League |
0-1 | 1-2 | 7 | 7 | L |
Bangkok United
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/09 | Sisaket United Thailand Premier League |
3-1 | 3-1 | 7 | 3 | W |
| 10/05 | Rayong FC Thailand Premier League |
1-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 6 | D |
| 02/05 | Ayutthaya United Thailand Premier League |
0-0 | 4-1 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 29/04 | Uthai Thani FC Thailand Premier League |
0-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 2 | D |
| 25/04 | Chiangrai Utd Thailand Premier League |
0-2 | 0-2 | 11 | 4 | L |
| 18/04 | Ratchaburi FC Thailand Premier League |
0-2 | 1-4 | 11 | 4 | L |
| 11/04 | Nakhon Ratchasima Thailand Premier League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 0 | 5 | L |
| 03/04 | Sukhothai FC Thailand Premier League |
1-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 1 | W |
| 22/03 | Prachuap FC Thailand Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 8 | D |
| 15/03 | Port FC Thailand Premier League |
1-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 5 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Ratchaburi FC vs Bangkok United?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Ratchaburi FC win (39%). Probabilities: Ratchaburi FC 39%, draw 26%, Bangkok United 35%.
How many goals are expected in Ratchaburi FC vs Bangkok United?
The model expects 2.87 goals (Ratchaburi FC 1.48 · Bangkok United 1.39), with a 51% chance of under 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Ratchaburi FC vs Bangkok United?
The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.