Football · Greece Super League 1 · 12/09, 18:00
Prediction: Olympiacos vs OFI Crete
Team pages: Olympiacos · OFI Crete
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.63Total
Olympiacos2.14
OFI Crete0.49
1X2
Olympiacos
Draw
OFI Crete
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 51%
Not both to score 54%
Most likely score
2-0 16%
Recent form · 10 last
Olympiacos
4-4-2 (W-D-L)
OFI Crete
4-1-5 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Olympiacos
5–1–0
OFI Crete
(6 last)
- OFI Crete0-3Olympiacos
- OFI Crete0-0Olympiacos
- Olympiacos3-0OFI Crete
- OFI Crete0-2Olympiacos
- Olympiacos1-0OFI Crete
- OFI Crete0-2Olympiacos
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Olympiacos 1552 · OFI Crete 1491
| Olympiacos | Draw | OFI Crete | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 75% | 19% | 6% |
| Market | 77% | 15% | 8% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.63 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · -0.6
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 55%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Olympiacos (rating 1552 vs 1491).
- H2H favours Olympiacos: 5-1-0.
- Cards-heavy: 11.4 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Olympiacos | OFI Crete | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.9 / 0.7 | 1.4 / 1.5 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.7 / 0.2 | 0.8 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 50/40/10% | 50/10/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.2 / 6.7 | 1.8 / 3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5.5 / 0.1 | 5.9 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Olympiacos 5–1–0 OFI Crete
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14/03/26 Greece Super League 1 | OFI Crete | 0-3 HT 0-1 | Olympiacos |
| 03/01/26 Greece - Super Cup | OFI Crete | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Olympiacos |
| 06/12/25 Greece Super League 1 | Olympiacos | 3-0 HT 2-0 | OFI Crete |
| 17/05/25 Greece Cup | OFI Crete | 0-2 HT 0-1 | Olympiacos |
| 09/03/25 Greece Super League 1 | Olympiacos | 1-0 HT 1-0 | OFI Crete |
| 01/12/24 Greece Super League 1 | OFI Crete | 0-2 HT 0-0 | Olympiacos |
Standings · Greece Super League 1
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | AEK Athens | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 1 | 7 |
| 2 | Olympiacos | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 7 |
| 3 | PAOK Salonika | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 6 |
| 4 | Panetolikos | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 6 |
| 5 | Aris Salonika | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 8 | 6 |
| 6 | Panathinaikos | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 7 | OFI Crete | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 3 |
| 8 | Volos NFC | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 2 |
| 9 | Kifisias FC | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 10 | Iraklis 1908 FC | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 1 |
| 11 | Atromitos Athinon | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 | Kalamata | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 | Asteras Tripolis | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 | Levadiakos | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 0 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Olympiacos
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/09 | Volos NFC Greece Super League 1 |
1-0 | 1-1 | 9 | 7 | D |
| 30/08 | Asteras Tripolis Greece Super League 1 |
1-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 7 | W |
| 22/08 | Atromitos Athinon Greece Super League 1 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 14 | 10 | W |
| 17/05 | AEK Athens Greece Super League 1 |
1-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 6 | D |
| 13/05 | Panathinaikos Greece Super League 1 |
1-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 10/05 | PAOK Salonika Greece Super League 1 |
0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 7 | D |
| 03/05 | PAOK Salonika Greece Super League 1 |
1-1 | 1-3 | 9 | 2 | L |
| 19/04 | Panathinaikos Greece Super League 1 |
2-0 | 2-0 | 1 | 8 | W |
| 05/04 | AEK Athens Greece Super League 1 |
0-1 | 0-1 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 22/03 | Larissa Greece Super League 1 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 3 | D |
OFI Crete
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/08 | Aris Salonika Greece Super League 1 |
0-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 7 | L |
| 23/08 | Volos NFC Greece Super League 1 |
2-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 17/05 | Volos NFC Greece Super League 1 |
2-1 | 3-1 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 13/05 | Levadiakos Greece Super League 1 |
2-0 | 2-3 | 1 | 13 | L |
| 10/05 | Aris Salonika Greece Super League 1 |
0-2 | 1-3 | 5 | 2 | L |
| 03/05 | Aris Salonika Greece Super League 1 |
0-1 | 0-2 | 3 | 6 | L |
| 18/04 | Levadiakos Greece Super League 1 |
1-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 6 | W |
| 05/04 | Volos NFC Greece Super League 1 |
0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 5 | D |
| 22/03 | Aris Salonika Greece Super League 1 |
1-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 7 | W |
| 14/03 | Olympiacos Greece Super League 1 |
0-1 | 0-3 | 0 | 5 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Olympiacos vs OFI Crete?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Olympiacos win (76%). Probabilities: Olympiacos 76%, draw 16%, OFI Crete 8%.
How many goals are expected in Olympiacos vs OFI Crete?
The model expects 2.63 goals (Olympiacos 2.14 · OFI Crete 0.49), with a 59% chance of under 3.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Olympiacos vs OFI Crete?
The model gives a 54% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.