Football · Greece Super League 1 · 19/09, 17:00
Prediction: Levadiakos vs Olympiacos
Team pages: Levadiakos · Olympiacos
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.39Total
Levadiakos0.55
Olympiacos1.84
1X2
Levadiakos
Draw
Olympiacos
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 52%
Not both to score 54%
Most likely score
0-1 16%
Recent form · 10 last
Levadiakos
4-1-5 (W-D-L)
Olympiacos
4-3-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Levadiakos
0–2–4
Olympiacos
(6 last)
- Levadiakos0-0Olympiacos
- Olympiacos3-2Levadiakos
- Levadiakos0-1Olympiacos
- Olympiacos2-2Levadiakos
- Olympiacos6-0Levadiakos
- Levadiakos0-1Olympiacos
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Levadiakos 1494 · Olympiacos 1541
| Levadiakos | Draw | Olympiacos | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 9% | 23% | 68% |
| Market | 11% | 20% | 69% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.39 goals · Bet365 line 2.5
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 54%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Olympiacos (rating 1494 vs 1541).
- H2H favours Olympiacos: 4-2-0.
- Cards-heavy: 10.7 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Levadiakos | Olympiacos | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.3 / 1.8 | 0.9 / 0.8 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.3 / 0.7 | 0.7 / 0.2 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/30/50% | 50/40/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.8 / 3.3 | 3.1 / 6.5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5.4 / 0.4 | 5.3 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Levadiakos 0–2–4 Olympiacos
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14/02/26 Greece Super League 1 | Levadiakos | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Olympiacos |
| 27/09/25 Greece Super League 1 | Olympiacos | 3-2 HT 1-0 | Levadiakos |
| 02/02/25 Greece Super League 1 | Levadiakos | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Olympiacos |
| 20/10/24 Greece Super League 1 | Olympiacos | 2-2 HT 2-1 | Levadiakos |
| 05/03/23 Greece Super League 1 | Olympiacos | 6-0 HT 2-0 | Levadiakos |
| 09/11/22 Greece Super League 1 | Levadiakos | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Olympiacos |
Standings · Greece Super League 1
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Panathinaikos | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 2 | 9 |
| 2 | Panetolikos | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 1 | 9 |
| 3 | OFI Crete | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 9 |
| 4 | AEK Athens | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 1 | 7 |
| 5 | Olympiacos | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 7 |
| 6 | PAOK Salonika | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 4 | 6 |
| 7 | Aris Salonika | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 8 | 6 |
| 8 | Iraklis 1908 FC | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 5 |
| 9 | Atromitos Athinon | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 2 |
| 10 | Volos NFC | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 2 |
| 11 | Kalamata | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 1 |
| 12 | Kifisias FC | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 1 |
| 13 | Asteras Tripolis | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 | Levadiakos | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 8 | 0 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Levadiakos | Olympiacos |
|---|---|---|
| Panathinaikos | 0-2 L | 1-0 W |
| PAOK Salonika | 0-4 L | 1-1 D |
| OFI Crete | 3-2 W | 0-1 L |
| Volos NFC | 3-0 W | 1-1 D |
| Atromitos Athinon | 1-0 W | 1-0 W |
| Record vs common | 3 W 0 D 2 L | 2 W 2 D 1 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Levadiakos
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/09 | Panetolikos Greece Super League 1 |
0-0 | 0-2 | 8 | 4 | L |
| 31/08 | Panathinaikos Greece Super League 1 |
0-1 | 0-2 | 5 | 7 | L |
| 23/08 | PAOK Salonika Greece Super League 1 |
0-2 | 0-4 | 1 | 0 | L |
| 17/05 | Aris Salonika Greece Super League 1 |
0-0 | 0-3 | 0 | 8 | L |
| 13/05 | OFI Crete Greece Super League 1 |
0-2 | 3-2 | 5 | 13 | W |
| 10/05 | Volos NFC Greece Super League 1 |
1-0 | 3-0 | – | – | W |
| 03/05 | Volos NFC Greece Super League 1 |
2-0 | 5-2 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 18/04 | OFI Crete Greece Super League 1 |
0-1 | 0-2 | 1 | 6 | L |
| 05/04 | Aris Salonika Greece Super League 1 |
0-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 4 | D |
| 22/03 | Atromitos Athinon Greece Super League 1 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 7 | W |
Olympiacos
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/09 | OFI Crete Greece Super League 1 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 8 | 1 | L |
| 05/09 | Volos NFC Greece Super League 1 |
1-0 | 1-1 | 9 | 7 | D |
| 30/08 | Asteras Tripolis Greece Super League 1 |
1-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 7 | W |
| 22/08 | Atromitos Athinon Greece Super League 1 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 14 | 10 | W |
| 17/05 | AEK Athens Greece Super League 1 |
1-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 6 | D |
| 13/05 | Panathinaikos Greece Super League 1 |
1-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 10/05 | PAOK Salonika Greece Super League 1 |
0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 7 | D |
| 03/05 | PAOK Salonika Greece Super League 1 |
1-1 | 1-3 | 9 | 2 | L |
| 19/04 | Panathinaikos Greece Super League 1 |
2-0 | 2-0 | 1 | 8 | W |
| 05/04 | AEK Athens Greece Super League 1 |
0-1 | 0-1 | 5 | 3 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Levadiakos vs Olympiacos?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Olympiacos win (68%). Probabilities: Levadiakos 10%, draw 22%, Olympiacos 68%.
How many goals are expected in Levadiakos vs Olympiacos?
The model expects 2.39 goals (Levadiakos 0.55 · Olympiacos 1.84), with a 52% chance of under 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Levadiakos vs Olympiacos?
The model gives a 54% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 0-1.