Prediction: Panetolikos vs PAOK Salonika
Team pages: Panetolikos · PAOK Salonika
- Panetolikos0-3PAOK Salonika
- PAOK Salonika0-0Panetolikos
- Panetolikos0-1PAOK Salonika
- PAOK Salonika2-0Panetolikos
- Panetolikos1-3PAOK Salonika
- PAOK Salonika2-1Panetolikos
| Panetolikos | Draw | PAOK Salonika | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 17% | 26% | 56% |
| Market | 18% | 24% | 57% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours PAOK Salonika (rating 1492 vs 1537).
- H2H favours PAOK Salonika: 5-1-0.
- Cards-heavy: 8 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Panetolikos | PAOK Salonika | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.2 / 1 | 1.6 / 1.2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.3 / 0.4 | 0.8 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/40/30% | 30/50/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.9 / 3.6 | 1.6 / 3.7 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.6 / 0.1 | 3.4 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Panetolikos 0–1–5 PAOK Salonika
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10/01/26 Greece Super League 1 | Panetolikos | 0-3 HT 0-2 | PAOK Salonika |
| 20/09/25 Greece Super League 1 | PAOK Salonika | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Panetolikos |
| 15/12/24 Greece Super League 1 | Panetolikos | 0-1 HT 0-0 | PAOK Salonika |
| 25/08/24 Greece Super League 1 | PAOK Salonika | 2-0 HT 0-0 | Panetolikos |
| 25/02/24 Greece Super League 1 | Panetolikos | 1-3 HT 1-0 | PAOK Salonika |
| 12/11/23 Greece Super League 1 | PAOK Salonika | 2-1 HT 2-1 | Panetolikos |
Standings · Greece Super League 1
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Panathinaikos | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 2 | 12 |
| 2 | PAOK Salonika | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 4 | 9 |
| 3 | OFI Crete | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 9 |
| 4 | Panetolikos | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 4 | 9 |
| 5 | AEK Athens | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 11 | 2 | 8 |
| 6 | Olympiacos | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 7 |
| 7 | Aris Salonika | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 10 | 6 |
| 8 | Iraklis 1908 FC | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 5 |
| 9 | Kalamata | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 4 |
| 10 | Atromitos Athinon | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 2 |
| 11 | Volos NFC | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 2 |
| 12 | Kifisias FC | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 2 |
| 13 | Asteras Tripolis | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 1 |
| 14 | Levadiakos | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 8 | 1 |
Common opponents 3 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Panetolikos | PAOK Salonika |
|---|---|---|
| Panathinaikos | 0-3 L | 1-3 L |
| Levadiakos | 2-0 W | 4-0 W |
| Atromitos Athinon | 2-1 W | 2-1 W |
| Record vs common | 2 W 0 D 1 L | 2 W 0 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: PAOK Salonika (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Panetolikos
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/09 | Panathinaikos Greece Super League 1 |
0-2 | 0-3 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 06/09 | Levadiakos Greece Super League 1 |
0-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 29/08 | Kalamata Greece Super League 1 |
1-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 8 | W |
| 23/08 | Asteras Tripolis Greece Super League 1 |
1-0 | 3-1 | 1 | 0 | W |
| 21/05 | Asteras Tripolis Greece Super League 1 |
0-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 6 | L |
| 17/05 | Panserraikos Greece Super League 1 |
1-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 5 | D |
| 12/05 | Larissa Greece Super League 1 |
0-0 | 1-1 | 11 | 3 | D |
| 09/05 | Atromitos Athinon Greece Super League 1 |
0-1 | 2-1 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 02/05 | Kifisias FC Greece Super League 1 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 7 | L |
| 26/04 | Kifisias FC Greece Super League 1 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 7 | D |
PAOK Salonika
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/09 | Aris Salonika Greece Super League 1 |
2-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 06/09 | Panathinaikos Greece Super League 1 |
0-2 | 1-3 | 2 | 6 | L |
| 30/08 | Atromitos Athinon Greece Super League 1 |
1-1 | 2-1 | 6 | 2 | W |
| 23/08 | Levadiakos Greece Super League 1 |
2-0 | 4-0 | 3 | 0 | W |
| 17/05 | Panathinaikos Greece Super League 1 |
2-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 4 | D |
| 13/05 | AEK Athens Greece Super League 1 |
0-0 | 1-1 | 8 | 4 | D |
| 10/05 | Olympiacos Greece Super League 1 |
0-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 7 | D |
| 03/05 | Olympiacos Greece Super League 1 |
1-1 | 3-1 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 19/04 | AEK Athens Greece Super League 1 |
0-1 | 0-3 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 05/04 | Panathinaikos Greece Super League 1 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Panetolikos vs PAOK Salonika?
According to our model, the most likely result is an PAOK Salonika win (57%). Probabilities: Panetolikos 18%, draw 25%, PAOK Salonika 57%.
How many goals are expected in Panetolikos vs PAOK Salonika?
The model expects 2.5 goals (Panetolikos 0.83 · PAOK Salonika 1.67), with a 51% chance of under 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Panetolikos vs PAOK Salonika?
The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 0-1.