Prediction: Guimaraes B vs Leca
Team pages: Guimaraes B · Leca
- Guimaraes B3-4Leca
- Leca1-2Guimaraes B
| Guimaraes B | Draw | Leca | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 43% | 30% | 27% |
| Market | 44% | 28% | 28% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Leca (rating 1448 vs 1542).
- High corners: 13.2 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 9.3 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Guimaraes B | Leca | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.9 / 1.6 | 1.7 / 1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 1 | 0.5 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/30/50% | 30/40/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.9 / 6.9 | 2.8 / 6.3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.2 / 0.3 | 5.1 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Guimaraes B 1–0–1 Leca
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 01/06/25 Portugal Campeonato Nacional | Guimaraes B | 3-4 HT 2-1 | Leca |
| 11/05/25 Portugal Campeonato Nacional | Leca | 1-2 HT 0-0 | Guimaraes B |
Standings · Portugal Liga 3 · Liga 3 26/27, Group A
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Paredes | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 3 |
| 2 | AD Marco 09 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 3 | Varzim | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 4 | Leca | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 4 | Sao Joao Ver | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 6 | AD Fafe | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 6 | SC Vianense | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 8 | Pacos Ferreira | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| 9 | Trofense | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 | Guimaraes B | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Guimaraes B
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/08 | Paredes Portugal Liga 3 |
0-2 | 1-3 | 3 | 6 | L |
| 16/05 | Amarante Portugal Liga 3 |
0-3 | 1-3 | 6 | 2 | L |
| 09/05 | Trofense Portugal Liga 3 |
1-1 | 1-1 | 6 | 1 | D |
| 03/05 | CD Mafra Portugal Liga 3 |
0-1 | 0-2 | 13 | 5 | L |
| 25/04 | Varzim Portugal Liga 3 |
1-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 4 | D |
| 19/04 | UD Santarem Portugal Liga 3 |
0-1 | 1-1 | 8 | 3 | D |
| 11/04 | CF Os Belenenses Portugal Liga 3 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | D |
| 04/04 | Academica Portugal Liga 3 |
1-0 | 1-0 | 8 | 5 | W |
| 22/03 | Amarante Portugal Liga 3 |
1-0 | 1-2 | 8 | 8 | L |
| 15/03 | Trofense Portugal Liga 3 |
0-1 | 1-2 | 10 | 9 | L |
Leca
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/08 | Sao Joao Ver Portugal Liga 3 |
0-1 | 1-1 | 10 | 5 | D |
| 29/07 | Lusitania Lourosa Europe Friendlies |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | D |
| 10/06 | GD Vitoria de Sernache Portugal Campeonato Nacional |
1-0 | 1-1 | 8 | 3 | D |
| 31/05 | Braganca Portugal Campeonato Nacional |
0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 6 | W |
| 22/05 | Rebordosa Portugal Campeonato Nacional |
0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 5 | L |
| 17/05 | SC Vianense Portugal Campeonato Nacional |
3-1 | 4-3 | 4 | 6 | W |
| 10/05 | Braganca Portugal Campeonato Nacional |
0-1 | 1-1 | 8 | 7 | D |
| 03/05 | Rebordosa Portugal Campeonato Nacional |
0-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 5 | W |
| 26/04 | SC Vianense Portugal Campeonato Nacional |
0-2 | 4-2 | 5 | 7 | W |
| 18/04 | SC Vila Real Portugal Campeonato Nacional |
1-0 | 3-0 | 6 | 5 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Guimaraes B vs Leca?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Guimaraes B win (43%). Probabilities: Guimaraes B 43%, draw 29%, Leca 28%.
How many goals are expected in Guimaraes B vs Leca?
The model expects 2.42 goals (Guimaraes B 1.37 · Leca 1.04), with a 51% chance of over 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Guimaraes B vs Leca?
The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.