Football · Honduras Liga Nacional · 04/08, 03:00

Prediction: CD Marathon vs CA Independiente Siguatepeque

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.36Total
CD Marathon1.59
CA Independiente Siguatepeque0.77
1X2
57% 26% 17%
CD Marathon Draw CA Independiente Siguatepeque
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 53% Not both to score 51%
Most likely score
1-0
Recent form · 10 last
CD Marathon 3-4-3 (W-D-L)
WLLWLWDDDD
CA Independiente Siguatepeque 6-2-2 (W-D-L)
WWDWWLWWLD
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · CD Marathon 1521 · CA Independiente Siguatepeque 1547
CD MarathonDrawCA Independiente Siguatepeque
Our model56%27%17%
Market57%25%18%
Estimated total (ours) 2.36 goals · Bet365 line 2.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 51%model estimate

Match keys

  • High corners: 11.2 combined avg.
  • Cards-heavy: 11 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

CD MarathonCA Independiente Siguatepeque
Goals for / against (FT)0.6 / 0.72.1 / 1
Goals for / against (HT)0.5 / 0.21 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)40/50/10%50/50/0%
Corners (HT / FT)2.2 / 3.73.5 / 7.5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)5 / 0.26 / 0

Standings · Honduras Liga Nacional

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#Team PWL GFGAPts
1 Real Espana 110 303
2 CA Independiente Siguatepeque 000 000
2 Atletico Choloma 000 000
2 Estrella Roja 000 000
2 Genesis de Comayagua 000 000
2 CD Marathon 000 000
2 CD Olimpia 000 000
2 Motagua 000 000
2 Juticalpa 000 000
2 Lobos UPNFM 000 000
2 Olancho FC 000 000
12 CD Platense 101 030

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

CD Marathon

WLLWLWDDDD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
31/07 Herediano
CONCACAF Central American Cup
0-0 0-0 06 D
25/05 Motagua
Honduras Liga Nacional
0-0 0-0 36 D
22/05 Motagua
Honduras Liga Nacional
0-0 1-1 64 D
19/05 Real Espana
Honduras Liga Nacional
1-0 1-1 32 D
16/05 CD Olimpia
Honduras Liga Nacional
1-0 1-0 52 W
07/05 CD Olimpia
Honduras Liga Nacional
0-0 0-2 35 L
03/05 Real Espana
Honduras Liga Nacional
1-0 1-0 39 W
01/05 Atletico Choloma
Honduras Liga Nacional
0-0 0-1 73 L
23/04 CD Olimpia
Honduras Liga Nacional
1-2 1-2 49 L
18/04 Genesis de Comayagua
Honduras Liga Nacional
1-0 1-0 36 W

CA Independiente Siguatepeque

WWDWWLWWLD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
12/04 CD Real Sociedad
Honduras Liga de Ascenso
1-1 1-1 109 D
05/04 CD Real Sociedad
Honduras Liga de Ascenso
1-2 L
28/03 CD FAS San Lorenzo
Honduras Liga de Ascenso
1-0 W
25/03 Real Tegus
Honduras Liga de Ascenso
4-0 W
22/03 CD Piratas
Honduras Liga de Ascenso
1-0 1-2 53 L
14/03 Marcala JR CF
Honduras Liga de Ascenso
6-1 W
07/03 Affi Academia
Honduras Liga de Ascenso
2-1 W
28/02 CD FAS San Lorenzo
Honduras Liga de Ascenso
1-1 D
26/02 Real Tegus
Honduras Liga de Ascenso
1-0 W
22/02 CD Piratas
Honduras Liga de Ascenso
3-2 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in CD Marathon vs CA Independiente Siguatepeque?

According to our model, the most likely result is a CD Marathon win (57%). Probabilities: CD Marathon 57%, draw 26%, CA Independiente Siguatepeque 17%.

How many goals are expected in CD Marathon vs CA Independiente Siguatepeque?

The model expects 2.36 goals (CD Marathon 1.59 · CA Independiente Siguatepeque 0.77), with a 53% chance of under 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in CD Marathon vs CA Independiente Siguatepeque?

The model gives a 51% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.