Football · Paraguay Women League · 18/07, 18:30
Prediction: Club Guarani (W) vs Sportivo Trinidense (W)
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.13Total
Club Guarani (W)2
Sportivo Trinidense (W)1.14
1X2
Club Guarani (W)
Draw
Sportivo Trinidense (W)
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 62%
Both teams to score 56%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Club Guarani (W)
7-2-1 (W-D-L)
Sportivo Trinidense (W)
6-2-2 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Club Guarani (W)
6–0
Sportivo Trinidense (W)
(6 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Club Guarani (W) 1589 · Sportivo Trinidense (W) 1521
| Club Guarani (W) | Draw | Sportivo Trinidense (W) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 56% | 23% | 20% |
| Market | 57% | 23% | 21% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.13 goals · Bet365 line 3
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 66%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Club Guarani (W) (rating 1589 vs 1521).
- H2H favours Club Guarani (W): 6-0-0.
- Cards-heavy: 9.5 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Club Guarani (W) | Sportivo Trinidense (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2 / 1 | 1.7 / 1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.2 / 0.3 | 0.5 / 0.7 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 78/11/11% | 20/30/50% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.1 / 4.9 | 2.8 / 5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.8 / 0.1 | 5.7 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Club Guarani (W) 6–0–0 Sportivo Trinidense (W)
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 23/03/26 Paraguay Women League | Sportivo Trinidense (W) | 0-2 HT 0-1 | Club Guarani (W) |
| 25/08/25 Paraguay Women League | Sportivo Trinidense (W) | 0-8 HT 0-5 | Club Guarani (W) |
| 22/04/25 Paraguay Women League | Club Guarani (W) | 2-0 HT 0-0 | Sportivo Trinidense (W) |
| 13/07/24 Paraguay Women League | Sportivo Trinidense (W) | 0-3 HT 0-1 | Club Guarani (W) |
| 28/04/24 Paraguay Women League | Club Guarani (W) | 4-0 HT 2-0 | Sportivo Trinidense (W) |
| 20/08/23 Paraguay Women League | Club Guarani (W) | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Sportivo Trinidense (W) |
Standings · Paraguay Women League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Libertad Limpeno (W) | 12 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 54 | 6 | 32 |
| 2 | Club Guarani (W) | 11 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 22 | 10 | 26 |
| 3 | Olimpia Asuncion (W) | 9 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 41 | 1 | 23 |
| 4 | Cerro Porteno (W) | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 40 | 8 | 23 |
| 5 | Sportivo San Lorenzo (W) | 12 | 6 | 0 | 6 | 33 | 28 | 18 |
| 6 | Sportivo Trinidense (W) | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 14 | 12 | 17 |
| 7 | Nacional-Humaita (W) | 13 | 5 | 1 | 7 | 22 | 29 | 16 |
| 8 | Deportivo Recoleta (W) | 11 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 16 | 27 | 13 |
| 9 | 2 de Mayo (W) | 11 | 3 | 0 | 8 | 17 | 34 | 9 |
| 10 | Rubio Nu (W) | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 9 | 33 | 8 |
| 11 | Sportivo Luqueno (W) | 11 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 6 | 46 | 5 |
| 12 | Sportivo Ameliano (W) | 11 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 7 | 47 | 2 |
Common opponents 9 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Club Guarani (W) | Sportivo Trinidense (W) |
|---|---|---|
| Deportivo Recoleta (W) | 1-0 W | 3-0 W |
| Sportivo Ameliano (W) | 2-0 W | 3-2 W |
| Cerro Porteno (W) | 2-1 W | 1-1 D |
| Nacional-Humaita (W) | 1-1 D | 0-1 L |
| 2 de Mayo (W) | 4-2 W | 4-2 W |
| Sportivo Luqueno (W) | 5-0 W | 1-0 W |
| Sportivo San Lorenzo (W) | 3-2 W | 4-1 W |
| Libertad Limpeno (W) | 1-1 D | 0-3 L |
| Rubio Nu (W) | 1-0 W | 1-0 W |
| Record vs common | 7 W 2 D 0 L | 6 W 1 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Club Guarani (W) (5 of 9 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Club Guarani (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/07 | Olimpia Asuncion (W) Paraguay Women League |
0-3 | 0-3 | 4 | 8 | L |
| 28/06 | Deportivo Recoleta (W) Paraguay Women League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 9 | 3 | W |
| 30/05 | Sportivo Ameliano (W) Paraguay Women League |
1-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 23/05 | Cerro Porteno (W) Paraguay Women League |
2-0 | 2-1 | 2 | 5 | W |
| 17/05 | Nacional-Humaita (W) Paraguay Women League |
1-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 5 | D |
| 10/05 | 2 de Mayo (W) Paraguay Women League |
– | 4-2 | – | – | W |
| 01/05 | Sportivo Luqueno (W) Paraguay Women League |
3-0 | 5-0 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 26/04 | Sportivo San Lorenzo (W) Paraguay Women League |
2-0 | 3-2 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 19/04 | Libertad Limpeno (W) Paraguay Women League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 2 | D |
| 29/03 | Rubio Nu (W) Paraguay Women League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 8 | 2 | W |
Sportivo Trinidense (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/07 | Deportivo Recoleta (W) Paraguay Women League |
2-0 | 3-0 | 8 | 2 | W |
| 12/07 | Deportivo Recoleta (W) Paraguay Women League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 5 | D |
| 28/06 | Sportivo Ameliano (W) Paraguay Women League |
0-1 | 3-2 | 7 | 6 | W |
| 30/05 | Cerro Porteno (W) Paraguay Women League |
0-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 5 | D |
| 23/05 | Nacional-Humaita (W) Paraguay Women League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 1 | 9 | L |
| 16/05 | 2 de Mayo (W) Paraguay Women League |
2-2 | 4-2 | 8 | 4 | W |
| 12/05 | Sportivo Luqueno (W) Paraguay Women League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 9 | W |
| 02/05 | Sportivo San Lorenzo (W) Paraguay Women League |
0-1 | 4-1 | 5 | 10 | W |
| 25/04 | Libertad Limpeno (W) Paraguay Women League |
0-1 | 0-3 | 0 | 4 | L |
| 22/04 | Rubio Nu (W) Paraguay Women League |
0-0 | 1-0 | – | – | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Club Guarani (W) vs Sportivo Trinidense (W)?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Club Guarani (W) win (56%). Probabilities: Club Guarani (W) 56%, draw 23%, Sportivo Trinidense (W) 20%.
How many goals are expected in Club Guarani (W) vs Sportivo Trinidense (W)?
The model expects 3.13 goals (Club Guarani (W) 2 · Sportivo Trinidense (W) 1.14), with a 51% chance of over 3 goals.
Will both teams score in Club Guarani (W) vs Sportivo Trinidense (W)?
The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.