Football · Lebanon League · 20/07, 16:30

Prediction: Jwaya FC vs Al Ahed

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.33Total
Jwaya FC1.18
Al Ahed1.15
1X2
36% 30% 34%
Jwaya FC Draw Al Ahed
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 59% Both teams to score 51%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Jwaya FC 4-4-2 (W-D-L)
WWWWDLDDDL
Al Ahed 4-2-4 (W-D-L)
DWLLWLWWDL
Head-to-head
Jwaya FC 0–2 Al Ahed (2 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Jwaya FC 1507 · Al Ahed 1515
Jwaya FCDrawAl Ahed
Our model35%31%34%
Market36%30%34%
Estimated total (ours) 2.33 goals · Bet365 line 2.25

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 61%model estimate

Match keys

  • H2H favours Al Ahed: 2-0-0.
  • Cards-heavy: 7.1 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Jwaya FCAl Ahed
Goals for / against (FT)1.3 / 11.6 / 1.5
Goals for / against (HT)0.3 / 0.20.7 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)11/89/0%30/30/40%
Corners (HT / FT)3 / 5.62.1 / 4.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)3.3 / 0.13.8 / 0

Head-to-head (H2H) · Jwaya FC 002 Al Ahed

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DateHomeScoreAway
06/02/26
Lebanon League
Jwaya FC0-1
HT 0-1
Al Ahed
04/10/25
Lebanon League
Al Ahed1-0
HT 0-0
Jwaya FC

Standings · Lebanon League · Premier League 25/26, Championship Round

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Al Ansar Beirut 231832 581257
2 Al Nejmeh 231553 441050
3 Al Ahed 231328 372741
4 Jwaya FC 231166 311639

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentJwaya FCAl Ahed
Al Ansar Beirut 0-2 L 3-3 D
Al Nejmeh 0-0 D 0-2 L
Shabab Al-Sahel 0-0 D 4-2 W
Safa Beirut 1-1 D 4-1 W
Sagesse SC 3-3 D 1-0 W
Tadamon Sour 1-0 W 0-0 D
Record vs common 1 W 4 D 1 L 3 W 2 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Al Ahed (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Jwaya FC

WWWWDLDDDL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
16/07 Al Ansar Beirut
Lebanon League
0-0 0-2 04 L
12/07 Al Nejmeh
Lebanon League
0-0 0-0 52 D
02/07 Shabab Al-Sahel
Lebanon League
0-0 0-0 30 D
28/06 Safa Beirut
Lebanon League
0-0 1-1 41 D
24/06 Al Ansar Beirut
Lebanon League
0-0 0-3 45 L
20/06 Sagesse SC
Lebanon League
2-2 3-3 96 D
16/06 Al Nejmeh
Lebanon League
0-0 2-1 63 W
27/02 Tadamon Sour
Lebanon League
1-0 W
21/02 Al-Mabarrah
Lebanon League
0-0 2-0 106 W
15/02 Racing Beirut
Lebanon League
1-0 4-0 94 W

Al Ahed

DWLLWLWWDL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
16/07 Al Nejmeh
Lebanon League
0-1 0-2 45 L
12/07 Al Ansar Beirut
Lebanon League
1-2 3-3 63 D
28/06 Shabab Al-Sahel
Lebanon League
3-0 4-2 42 W
24/06 Safa Beirut
Lebanon League
2-1 4-1 04 W
20/06 Al Ansar Beirut
Lebanon League
0-3 1-3 44 L
16/06 Sagesse SC
Lebanon League
0-0 1-0 33 W
12/06 Al Nejmeh
Lebanon League
0-0 0-1 33 L
18/05 Safa Beirut
World Club Friendlies
0-1 1-2 85 L
12/05 Al Ansar Beirut
Lebanon League
1-0 2-1 34 W
21/02 Tadamon Sour
Lebanon League
0-0 0-0 85 D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Jwaya FC vs Al Ahed?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Jwaya FC win (36%). Probabilities: Jwaya FC 36%, draw 30%, Al Ahed 34%.

How many goals are expected in Jwaya FC vs Al Ahed?

The model expects 2.33 goals (Jwaya FC 1.18 · Al Ahed 1.15), with a 50% chance of over 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Jwaya FC vs Al Ahed?

The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.