Football · Lebanon League · 24/07, 20:30

Prediction: Al Nejmeh vs Jwaya FC

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.13Total
Al Nejmeh1.39
Jwaya FC0.74
1X2
52% 28% 20%
Al Nejmeh Draw Jwaya FC
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 64% Not both to score 52%
Most likely score
1-0
Recent form · 10 last
Al Nejmeh 7-2-1 (W-D-L)
WLWWWWWDWD
Jwaya FC 4-4-2 (W-D-L)
WWWDLDDDLW
Head-to-head
Al Nejmeh 0–2–2 Jwaya FC (4 last)
  • Jwaya FC0-0Al Nejmeh
  • Jwaya FC2-1Al Nejmeh
  • Al Nejmeh1-1Jwaya FC
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Al Nejmeh 1569 · Jwaya FC 1532
Al NejmehDrawJwaya FC
Our model51%30%19%
Market53%26%21%
Estimated total (ours) 2.13 goals · Bet365 line 2.25

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 70%model estimate

Match keys

  • H2H favours Jwaya FC: 2-2-0.
  • High corners: 11.3 combined avg.
  • Cards-heavy: 5.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Al NejmehJwaya FC
Goals for / against (FT)1.9 / 0.31.1 / 1
Goals for / against (HT)0.7 / 00.3 / 0.2
Half-time result (W/D/L)50/50/0%11/89/0%
Corners (HT / FT)3 / 6.22.7 / 5.1
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)2.9 / 0.12.9 / 0.1

Head-to-head (H2H) · Al Nejmeh 022 Jwaya FC

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DateHomeScoreAway
12/07/26
Lebanon League
Jwaya FC0-0
HT 0-0
Al Nejmeh
16/06/26
Lebanon League
Jwaya FC2-1
HT 0-0
Al Nejmeh
11/02/26
Lebanon Cup
Al Nejmeh1-1
HT 1-1
Jwaya FC
08/11/25
Lebanon League
Al Nejmeh0-1Jwaya FC

Standings · Lebanon League · Premier League 25/26, Championship Round

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Al Ansar Beirut 241842 591358
2 Al Nejmeh 241563 451151
3 Jwaya FC 241266 331642
4 Al Ahed 241329 372941

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentAl NejmehJwaya FC
Al Ansar Beirut 1-1 D 0-2 L
Al Ahed 2-0 W 2-0 W
Sagesse SC 2-0 W 3-3 D
Tadamon Sour 1-0 W 1-0 W
Al-Mabarrah 5-0 W 2-0 W
Record vs common 4 W 1 D 0 L 3 W 1 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Al Nejmeh (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Al Nejmeh

WLWWWWWDWD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
20/07 Al Ansar Beirut
Lebanon League
0-0 1-1 23 D
16/07 Al Ahed
Lebanon League
1-0 2-0 55 W
12/07 Jwaya FC
Lebanon League
0-0 0-0 62 D
08/07 Sagesse SC
Lebanon Cup
1-0 2-0 115 W
03/07 Sagesse SC
Lebanon League
0-0 1-0 71 W
29/06 Racing Beirut
Lebanon League
2-0 5-0 123 W
25/06 Tadamon Sour
Lebanon League
1-0 1-0 55 W
21/06 Al-Mabarrah
Lebanon League
2-0 5-0 80 W
16/06 Jwaya FC
Lebanon League
0-0 1-2 33 L
12/06 Al Ahed
Lebanon League
0-0 1-0 33 W

Jwaya FC

WWWDLDDDLW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
20/07 Al Ahed
Lebanon League
1-0 2-0 50 W
16/07 Al Ansar Beirut
Lebanon League
0-0 0-2 04 L
12/07 Al Nejmeh
Lebanon League
0-0 0-0 52 D
02/07 Shabab Al-Sahel
Lebanon League
0-0 0-0 30 D
28/06 Safa Beirut
Lebanon League
0-0 1-1 41 D
24/06 Al Ansar Beirut
Lebanon League
0-0 0-3 45 L
20/06 Sagesse SC
Lebanon League
2-2 3-3 96 D
16/06 Al Nejmeh
Lebanon League
0-0 2-1 63 W
27/02 Tadamon Sour
Lebanon League
1-0 W
21/02 Al-Mabarrah
Lebanon League
0-0 2-0 106 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Al Nejmeh vs Jwaya FC?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Al Nejmeh win (52%). Probabilities: Al Nejmeh 52%, draw 28%, Jwaya FC 20%.

How many goals are expected in Al Nejmeh vs Jwaya FC?

The model expects 2.13 goals (Al Nejmeh 1.39 · Jwaya FC 0.74), with a 52% chance of under 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Al Nejmeh vs Jwaya FC?

The model gives a 52% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.