Prediction: Al Ahed vs Al Ansar Beirut
- Al Ansar Beirut3-3Al Ahed
- Al Ansar Beirut3-1Al Ahed
- Al Ansar Beirut1-2Al Ahed
| Al Ahed | Draw | Al Ansar Beirut | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 21% | 22% | 57% |
| Market | 20% | 25% | 55% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Al Ansar Beirut (rating 1470 vs 1557).
- H2H favours Al Ansar Beirut: 3-1-2.
- Cards-heavy: 7.1 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Al Ahed | Al Ansar Beirut | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.6 / 1.7 | 2.5 / 1.2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.7 / 0.9 | 1.1 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/20/50% | 44/33/22% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.8 / 3.6 | 2.4 / 6.6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.3 / 0 | 3.8 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Al Ahed 2–1–3 Al Ansar Beirut
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12/07/26 Lebanon League | Al Ansar Beirut | 3-3 HT 2-1 | Al Ahed |
| 20/06/26 Lebanon League | Al Ansar Beirut | 3-1 HT 3-0 | Al Ahed |
| 12/05/26 Lebanon League | Al Ansar Beirut | 1-2 HT 0-1 | Al Ahed |
| 06/12/25 Lebanon League | Al Ahed | 1-5 HT 0-3 | Al Ansar Beirut |
| 27/06/25 Lebanon League | Al Ansar Beirut | 4-1 HT 1-0 | Al Ahed |
| 12/05/25 Lebanon League | Al Ansar Beirut | 0-2 HT 0-1 | Al Ahed |
Standings · Lebanon League · Premier League 25/26, Championship Round
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Al Ansar Beirut | 24 | 18 | 4 | 2 | 59 | 13 | 58 |
| 2 | Al Nejmeh | 24 | 15 | 6 | 3 | 45 | 11 | 51 |
| 3 | Jwaya FC | 24 | 12 | 6 | 6 | 33 | 16 | 42 |
| 4 | Al Ahed | 24 | 13 | 2 | 9 | 37 | 29 | 41 |
Common opponents 2 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Al Ahed | Al Ansar Beirut |
|---|---|---|
| Jwaya FC | 0-2 L | 2-0 W |
| Al Nejmeh | 0-2 L | 1-1 D |
| Record vs common | 0 W 0 D 2 L | 1 W 1 D 0 L |
Better against common opponents: Al Ansar Beirut (2 of 2 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Al Ahed
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/07 | Jwaya FC Lebanon League |
0-1 | 0-2 | 1 | 0 | L |
| 16/07 | Al Nejmeh Lebanon League |
0-1 | 0-2 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 12/07 | Al Ansar Beirut Lebanon League |
1-2 | 3-3 | 6 | 3 | D |
| 28/06 | Shabab Al-Sahel Lebanon League |
3-0 | 4-2 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 24/06 | Safa Beirut Lebanon League |
2-1 | 4-1 | 0 | 4 | W |
| 20/06 | Al Ansar Beirut Lebanon League |
0-3 | 1-3 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 16/06 | Sagesse SC Lebanon League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 12/06 | Al Nejmeh Lebanon League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 18/05 | Safa Beirut World Club Friendlies |
0-1 | 1-2 | 8 | 5 | L |
| 12/05 | Al Ansar Beirut Lebanon League |
1-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 4 | W |
Al Ansar Beirut
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/07 | Al Nejmeh Lebanon League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 8 | 3 | D |
| 16/07 | Jwaya FC Lebanon League |
0-0 | 2-0 | 9 | 4 | W |
| 12/07 | Al Ahed Lebanon League |
2-1 | 3-3 | 8 | 3 | D |
| 03/07 | Tadamon Sour Lebanon League |
1-0 | 3-0 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 29/06 | Al-Mabarrah Lebanon League |
4-0 | 7-0 | 5 | 5 | W |
| 24/06 | Jwaya FC Lebanon League |
0-0 | 3-0 | 7 | 5 | W |
| 20/06 | Al Ahed Lebanon League |
3-0 | 3-1 | 9 | 4 | W |
| 21/05 | Al Nejmeh World Club Friendlies |
– | 2-2 | – | – | D |
| 12/05 | Al Ahed Lebanon League |
0-1 | 1-2 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 19/04 | Muras United FC AFC Challenge League |
0-2 | 0-3 | 4 | 4 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Al Ahed vs Al Ansar Beirut?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Al Ansar Beirut win (56%). Probabilities: Al Ahed 20%, draw 24%, Al Ansar Beirut 56%.
How many goals are expected in Al Ahed vs Al Ansar Beirut?
The model expects 3.49 goals (Al Ahed 1.3 · Al Ansar Beirut 2.19), with a 55% chance of over 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Al Ahed vs Al Ansar Beirut?
The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.