Football · Lebanon League · 28/07, 20:30

Prediction: Jwaya FC vs Al Ansar Beirut

Team pages: Jwaya FC · Al Ansar Beirut

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.62Total
Jwaya FC0.82
Al Ansar Beirut1.8
1X2
16% 24% 60%
Jwaya FC Draw Al Ansar Beirut
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 51%
Most likely score
0-1
Recent form · 10 last
Jwaya FC 3-4-3 (W-D-L)
WWDLDDDLWL
Al Ansar Beirut 5-4-1 (W-D-L)
LDWWWWDWDD
Head-to-head
Jwaya FC 0–3 Al Ansar Beirut (3 last)
  • Al Ansar Beirut2-0Jwaya FC
  • Al Ansar Beirut3-0Jwaya FC
  • Jwaya FC0-1Al Ansar Beirut
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Jwaya FC 1492 · Al Ansar Beirut 1566
Jwaya FCDrawAl Ansar Beirut
Our model16%25%59%
Market16%24%60%
Estimated total (ours) 2.62 goals · Bet365 line 2.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 56%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Al Ansar Beirut (rating 1492 vs 1566).
  • H2H favours Al Ansar Beirut: 3-0-0.
  • High corners: 11.7 combined avg.
  • Cards-heavy: 6.6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Jwaya FCAl Ansar Beirut
Goals for / against (FT)1 / 1.22.6 / 1
Goals for / against (HT)0.4 / 0.31.1 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)13/88/0%44/33/22%
Corners (HT / FT)2.4 / 4.52.9 / 7.2
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)2.6 / 04 / 0.1

Head-to-head (H2H) · Jwaya FC 003 Al Ansar Beirut

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DateHomeScoreAway
16/07/26
Lebanon League
Al Ansar Beirut2-0
HT 0-0
Jwaya FC
24/06/26
Lebanon League
Al Ansar Beirut3-0
HT 0-0
Jwaya FC
14/12/25
Lebanon League
Jwaya FC0-1
HT 0-0
Al Ansar Beirut

Standings · Lebanon League · Premier League 25/26, Championship Round

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Al Ansar Beirut 251852 601459
2 Al Nejmeh 251663 471254
3 Jwaya FC 251267 341842
4 Al Ahed 251339 383042

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentJwaya FCAl Ansar Beirut
Al Nejmeh 1-2 L 1-1 D
Al Ahed 2-0 W 1-1 D
Tadamon Sour 1-0 W 3-0 W
Record vs common 2 W 0 D 1 L 1 W 2 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Al Ansar Beirut (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Jwaya FC

WWDLDDDLWL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
24/07 Al Nejmeh
Lebanon League
1-2 L
20/07 Al Ahed
Lebanon League
1-0 2-0 50 W
16/07 Al Ansar Beirut
Lebanon League
0-0 0-2 04 L
12/07 Al Nejmeh
Lebanon League
0-0 0-0 52 D
02/07 Shabab Al-Sahel
Lebanon League
0-0 0-0 30 D
28/06 Safa Beirut
Lebanon League
0-0 1-1 41 D
24/06 Al Ansar Beirut
Lebanon League
0-0 0-3 45 L
20/06 Sagesse SC
Lebanon League
2-2 3-3 96 D
16/06 Al Nejmeh
Lebanon League
0-0 2-1 63 W
27/02 Tadamon Sour
Lebanon League
1-0 W

Al Ansar Beirut

LDWWWWDWDD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
24/07 Al Ahed
Lebanon League
0-1 1-1 106 D
20/07 Al Nejmeh
Lebanon League
0-0 1-1 83 D
16/07 Jwaya FC
Lebanon League
0-0 2-0 94 W
12/07 Al Ahed
Lebanon League
2-1 3-3 83 D
03/07 Tadamon Sour
Lebanon League
1-0 3-0 33 W
29/06 Al-Mabarrah
Lebanon League
4-0 7-0 55 W
24/06 Jwaya FC
Lebanon League
0-0 3-0 75 W
20/06 Al Ahed
Lebanon League
3-0 3-1 94 W
21/05 Al Nejmeh
World Club Friendlies
2-2 D
12/05 Al Ahed
Lebanon League
0-1 1-2 64 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Jwaya FC vs Al Ansar Beirut?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Al Ansar Beirut win (60%). Probabilities: Jwaya FC 16%, draw 24%, Al Ansar Beirut 60%.

How many goals are expected in Jwaya FC vs Al Ansar Beirut?

The model expects 2.62 goals (Jwaya FC 0.82 · Al Ansar Beirut 1.8), with a 51% chance of under 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Jwaya FC vs Al Ansar Beirut?

The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 0-1.