Football · Lebanon League · 16/07, 20:30

Prediction: Al Ansar Beirut vs Jwaya FC

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.69Total
Al Ansar Beirut1.74
Jwaya FC0.95
1X2
55% 25% 20%
Al Ansar Beirut Draw Jwaya FC
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 50% Both teams to score 53%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Al Ansar Beirut 5-2-3 (W-D-L)
LWLLDWWWWD
Jwaya FC 4-5-1 (W-D-L)
DWWWWDLDDD
Head-to-head
Al Ansar Beirut 2–0 Jwaya FC (2 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Al Ansar Beirut 1542 · Jwaya FC 1530
Al Ansar BeirutDrawJwaya FC
Our model55%26%19%
Market55%25%20%
Estimated total (ours) 2.69 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · +0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 51%model estimate

Match keys

  • H2H favours Al Ansar Beirut: 2-0-0.
  • High corners: 11.8 combined avg.
  • Cards-heavy: 6.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Al Ansar BeirutJwaya FC
Goals for / against (FT)2.6 / 1.31.4 / 0.9
Goals for / against (HT)1.3 / 0.60.4 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)56/22/22%11/89/0%
Corners (HT / FT)2.2 / 5.93.3 / 5.9
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)3.4 / 0.22.9 / 0.1

Head-to-head (H2H) · Al Ansar Beirut 200 Jwaya FC

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DateHomeScoreAway
24/06/26
Lebanon League
Al Ansar Beirut3-0
HT 0-0
Jwaya FC
14/12/25
Lebanon League
Jwaya FC0-1
HT 0-0
Al Ansar Beirut

Standings · Lebanon League · Premier League 25/26, Championship Round

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Al Ansar Beirut 221732 561254
2 Al Nejmeh 221453 421047
3 Al Ahed 221327 372541
4 Jwaya FC 221165 311439

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentAl Ansar BeirutJwaya FC
Tadamon Sour 3-0 W 1-0 W
Al-Mabarrah 7-0 W 2-0 W
Al Nejmeh 2-2 D 0-0 D
Shabab Al-Sahel 3-0 W 0-0 D
Record vs common 3 W 1 D 0 L 2 W 2 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Al Ansar Beirut (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Al Ansar Beirut

LWLLDWWWWD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
12/07 Al Ahed
Lebanon League
2-1 3-3 83 D
03/07 Tadamon Sour
Lebanon League
1-0 3-0 33 W
29/06 Al-Mabarrah
Lebanon League
4-0 7-0 55 W
24/06 Jwaya FC
Lebanon League
0-0 3-0 75 W
20/06 Al Ahed
Lebanon League
3-0 3-1 94 W
21/05 Al Nejmeh
World Club Friendlies
2-2 D
12/05 Al Ahed
Lebanon League
0-1 1-2 64 L
19/04 Muras United FC
AFC Challenge League
0-2 0-3 44 L
22/02 Shabab Al-Sahel
Lebanon League
1-0 3-0 43 W
17/02 Reyady Abaseya
Lebanon League
1-1 1-2 72 L

Jwaya FC

DWWWWDLDDD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
12/07 Al Nejmeh
Lebanon League
0-0 0-0 52 D
02/07 Shabab Al-Sahel
Lebanon League
0-0 0-0 30 D
28/06 Safa Beirut
Lebanon League
0-0 1-1 41 D
24/06 Al Ansar Beirut
Lebanon League
0-0 0-3 45 L
20/06 Sagesse SC
Lebanon League
2-2 3-3 96 D
16/06 Al Nejmeh
Lebanon League
0-0 2-1 63 W
27/02 Tadamon Sour
Lebanon League
1-0 W
21/02 Al-Mabarrah
Lebanon League
0-0 2-0 106 W
15/02 Racing Beirut
Lebanon League
1-0 4-0 94 W
11/02 Al Nejmeh
Lebanon Cup
1-1 1-1 30 D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Al Ansar Beirut vs Jwaya FC?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Al Ansar Beirut win (55%). Probabilities: Al Ansar Beirut 55%, draw 25%, Jwaya FC 20%.

How many goals are expected in Al Ansar Beirut vs Jwaya FC?

The model expects 2.69 goals (Al Ansar Beirut 1.74 · Jwaya FC 0.95), with a 56% chance of over 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Al Ansar Beirut vs Jwaya FC?

The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.