Football · USA USL Championship · 06/08, 02:30
Prediction: Tulsa vs Sacramento Republic
Team pages: Tulsa · Sacramento Republic
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.15Total
Tulsa1.16
Sacramento Republic0.99
1X2
Tulsa
Draw
Sacramento Republic
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 64%
Both teams to score 50%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Tulsa
4-2-4 (W-D-L)
Sacramento Republic
4-2-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Tulsa
2–3–1
Sacramento Republic
(6 last)
- Sacramento Republic2-0Tulsa
- Sacramento Republic0-1Tulsa
- Tulsa1-0Sacramento Republic
- Tulsa0-0Sacramento Republic
- Sacramento Republic1-1Tulsa
- Tulsa1-1Sacramento Republic
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 58%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Tulsa: 2-3-1.
- Cards-heavy: 9.1 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Tulsa | Sacramento Republic | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1 / 1.2 | 1 / 1.1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.8 / 0.4 | 0.3 / 0.7 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 60/30/10% | 10/60/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.7 / 3.3 | 3.1 / 5.3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5.1 / 0.2 | 4 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Tulsa 2–3–1 Sacramento Republic
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 08/03/26 USA USL Championship | Sacramento Republic | 2-0 HT 0-0 | Tulsa |
| 08/06/25 USA USL Championship | Sacramento Republic | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Tulsa |
| 29/03/25 USA USL Championship | Tulsa | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Sacramento Republic |
| 23/06/24 USA USL Championship | Tulsa | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Sacramento Republic |
| 14/04/24 USA USL Championship | Sacramento Republic | 1-1 HT 1-0 | Tulsa |
| 30/04/23 USA USL Championship | Tulsa | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Sacramento Republic |
Standings · USA USL Championship · USL Championship 2026, Western Conference
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Orange County SC | 17 | 8 | 7 | 2 | 27 | 19 | 31 |
| 2 | San Antonio FC | 18 | 8 | 7 | 3 | 25 | 20 | 31 |
| 3 | Tulsa | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 19 | 16 | 26 |
| 4 | Colorado Switchbacks FC | 16 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 28 | 23 | 25 |
| 5 | New Mexico United | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 19 | 15 | 24 |
| 6 | Sacramento Republic | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 19 | 15 | 23 |
| 7 | Lexington SC | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 24 | 20 | 22 |
| 8 | El Paso Locomotive FC | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 27 | 25 | 22 |
| 9 | Oakland Roots | 17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 25 | 27 | 21 |
| 10 | Phoenix Rising FC | 17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 23 | 24 | 21 |
| 11 | Las Vegas Lights FC | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 24 | 26 | 21 |
| 12 | Monterey Bay FC | 17 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 17 | 27 | 15 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Tulsa | Sacramento Republic |
|---|---|---|
| Colorado Switchbacks FC | 1-2 L | 1-0 W |
| Monterey Bay FC | 2-0 W | 1-1 D |
| Charleston Battery | 1-5 L | 1-1 D |
| San Antonio FC | 1-2 L | 1-2 L |
| Record vs common | 1 W 0 D 3 L | 1 W 2 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Sacramento Republic (2 of 4 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Tulsa
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/07 | Pittsburgh Riverhounds USA USL Championship |
1-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 1 | W |
| 26/07 | Lexington SC USA USL Championship |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 10 | D |
| 19/07 | El Paso Locomotive FC USA USL Championship |
1-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 5 | W |
| 12/07 | Birmingham Legion FC USA USL Cup |
1-1 | 1-3 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 21/06 | Colorado Switchbacks FC USA USL Championship |
1-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 4 | L |
| 18/06 | Monterey Bay FC USA USL Championship |
1-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 5 | W |
| 14/06 | Charleston Battery USA USL Championship |
1-3 | 1-5 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 07/06 | San Antonio FC USA USL Cup |
1-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 9 | L |
| 31/05 | Las Vegas Lights FC USA USL Championship |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | D |
| 23/05 | Hartford Athletic USA USL Championship |
1-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 9 | W |
Sacramento Republic
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/07 | Oakland Roots USA USL Championship |
1-1 | 3-1 | 7 | 2 | W |
| 19/07 | Charleston Battery USA USL Championship |
0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 6 | D |
| 12/07 | AC Boise USA USL Cup |
0-1 | 0-2 | 8 | 1 | L |
| 09/07 | Rhode Island FC USA USL Championship |
2-1 | 2-1 | 7 | 2 | W |
| 21/06 | New Mexico United USA USL Championship |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 14/06 | Colorado Switchbacks FC USA USL Championship |
0-0 | 1-0 | 1 | 8 | W |
| 07/06 | Monterey Bay FC USA USL Cup |
0-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 4 | D |
| 31/05 | Phoenix Rising FC USA USL Championship |
0-2 | 0-2 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 24/05 | San Antonio FC USA USL Championship |
0-2 | 1-2 | 7 | 9 | L |
| 17/05 | Oakland Roots USA USL Cup |
0-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 1 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Tulsa vs Sacramento Republic?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Tulsa win (38%). Probabilities: Tulsa 38%, draw 32%, Sacramento Republic 30%.
How many goals are expected in Tulsa vs Sacramento Republic?
The model expects 2.15 goals (Tulsa 1.16 · Sacramento Republic 0.99), with a 53% chance of under 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Tulsa vs Sacramento Republic?
The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.