Football · USA USL Championship · 16/08, 01:00
Prediction: Sporting JAX vs Indy Eleven
Team pages: Sporting JAX · Indy Eleven
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.11Total
Sporting JAX1.5
Indy Eleven1.61
1X2
Sporting JAX
Draw
Indy Eleven
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 62%
Both teams to score 57%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Sporting JAX
1-3-6 (W-D-L)
Indy Eleven
4-1-5 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Sporting JAX
0–1
Indy Eleven
(1 last)
- Indy Eleven2-1Sporting JAX
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 57%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Indy Eleven (rating 1418 vs 1489).
- Cards-heavy: 8.1 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Sporting JAX | Indy Eleven | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.3 / 2.9 | 0.9 / 1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 1.7 | 0.1 / 0.2 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/0/80% | 10/70/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 0.9 / 3 | 3.2 / 6.2 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.9 / 0.1 | 4.2 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Sporting JAX 0–0–1 Indy Eleven
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10/05/26 USA USL Championship | Indy Eleven | 2-1 HT 0-1 | Sporting JAX |
Standings · USA USL Championship · USL Championship 2026, Eastern Conference
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tampa Bay Rowdies | 19 | 12 | 5 | 2 | 36 | 19 | 41 |
| 2 | Charleston Battery | 19 | 10 | 3 | 6 | 38 | 24 | 33 |
| 3 | Detroit City FC | 18 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 26 | 17 | 31 |
| 4 | Louisville City FC | 19 | 8 | 4 | 7 | 33 | 32 | 28 |
| 5 | Pittsburgh Riverhounds | 19 | 8 | 3 | 8 | 20 | 20 | 27 |
| 6 | Rhode Island FC | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 27 | 19 | 25 |
| 7 | Miami FC | 20 | 5 | 7 | 8 | 24 | 32 | 22 |
| 8 | Indy Eleven | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 19 | 20 | 21 |
| 9 | Hartford Athletic | 17 | 4 | 8 | 5 | 12 | 16 | 20 |
| 10 | Loudoun United FC | 18 | 3 | 9 | 6 | 21 | 30 | 18 |
| 11 | Birmingham Legion FC | 17 | 3 | 8 | 6 | 18 | 21 | 17 |
| 12 | Brooklyn FC | 17 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 17 | 32 | 13 |
| 13 | Sporting JAX | 19 | 1 | 5 | 13 | 23 | 51 | 8 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Sporting JAX | Indy Eleven |
|---|---|---|
| Pittsburgh Riverhounds | 2-1 W | 0-1 L |
| Loudoun United FC | 2-2 D | 0-1 L |
| Charleston Battery | 2-5 L | 2-0 W |
| Detroit City FC | 2-6 L | 0-2 L |
| Record vs common | 1 W 1 D 2 L | 1 W 0 D 3 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Sporting JAX
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/08 | Sacramento Republic USA USL Championship |
0-4 | 0-5 | 0 | 5 | L |
| 26/07 | El Paso Locomotive FC USA USL Championship |
0-1 | 0-2 | 5 | 6 | L |
| 19/07 | Brooklyn FC USA USL Championship |
2-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 4 | D |
| 16/07 | Pittsburgh Riverhounds USA USL Championship |
0-1 | 2-1 | 1 | 2 | W |
| 04/07 | Loudoun United FC USA USL Championship |
1-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 3 | D |
| 21/06 | Charleston Battery USA USL Championship |
1-3 | 2-5 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 14/06 | Detroit City FC USA USL Championship |
1-3 | 2-6 | 5 | 6 | L |
| 11/06 | Monterey Bay FC USA USL Championship |
0-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 07/06 | Tampa Bay Rowdies USA USL Cup |
0-2 | 0-2 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 01/06 | Brooklyn FC USA USL Championship |
1-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | D |
Indy Eleven
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/08 | San Antonio FC USA USL Championship |
0-1 | 1-3 | 6 | 2 | L |
| 26/07 | Loudoun United FC USA USL Championship |
0-0 | 0-1 | 9 | 3 | L |
| 19/07 | Detroit City FC USA USL Championship |
0-0 | 0-2 | 5 | 7 | L |
| 16/07 | Miami FC USA USL Championship |
0-1 | 0-2 | 9 | 1 | L |
| 04/07 | Charleston Battery USA USL Championship |
0-0 | 2-0 | 7 | 5 | W |
| 21/06 | Lexington SC USA USL Cup |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | D |
| 14/06 | Pittsburgh Riverhounds USA USL Championship |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 6 | L |
| 07/06 | Forward Madison FC USA USL Cup |
0-0 | 2-0 | 8 | 6 | W |
| 31/05 | Rhode Island FC USA USL Championship |
0-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 24/05 | Lexington SC USA USL Championship |
1-0 | 3-1 | 5 | 6 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Sporting JAX vs Indy Eleven?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Indy Eleven win (39%). Probabilities: Sporting JAX 35%, draw 26%, Indy Eleven 39%.
How many goals are expected in Sporting JAX vs Indy Eleven?
The model expects 3.11 goals (Sporting JAX 1.5 · Indy Eleven 1.61), with a 51% chance of under 3 goals.
Will both teams score in Sporting JAX vs Indy Eleven?
The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.