Football · USA USL Championship · 16/08, 01:00

Prediction: Detroit City FC vs Loudoun United FC

Team pages: Detroit City FC · Loudoun United FC

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.55Total

Detroit City FC1.68

Loudoun United FC0.87

1X2

55% 26% 18%

Detroit City FC Draw Loudoun United FC

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 53% Both teams to score 51%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

Detroit City FC 5-4-1 (W-D-L)

DDWDWWWLDW

Loudoun United FC 2-3-5 (W-D-L)

LLDLDLDWWL

Head-to-head

Detroit City FC 2–2–2 Loudoun United FC (6 last)

Loudoun United FC0-0Detroit City FC
Detroit City FC0-1Loudoun United FC
Loudoun United FC3-2Detroit City FC
Loudoun United FC0-0Detroit City FC
Detroit City FC2-1Loudoun United FC
Loudoun United FC0-3Detroit City FC

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 56%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Detroit City FC (rating 1544 vs 1477).
Cards-heavy: 9.6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Detroit City FC	Loudoun United FC
Goals for / against (FT)	1.7 / 0.9	1 / 1.8
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 0.4	0.1 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/50/20%	10/30/60%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.7 / 4.9	1.1 / 3.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	6 / 0	3.6 / 0

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.85

Under 2.751.94

Diff.: 0.05 · xG: 2.7

Market movement

Match winner · 3 moves · last 15:57

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	1.46 → 1.55▲	Pinn 1.55
X	4.41 → 4.14▼	Pinn 4.14
2	5.66 → 5.31▼	Pinn 5.31

See the full journey (3)

Pinnacle margin 7.4%

Time*	1	X	2
03:08	1.46	4.41	5.66
04:25	1.47▲	4.47▲	5.77▲
15:56	1.55▲	4.14▼	5.31▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Detroit City FC 2–2–2 Loudoun United FC

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Date	Home	Score	Away
24/05/26 USA USL Championship	Loudoun United FC	0-0 HT 0-0	Detroit City FC
11/10/25 USA USL Championship	Detroit City FC	0-1 HT 0-0	Loudoun United FC
15/06/25 USA USL Championship	Loudoun United FC	3-2 HT 2-1	Detroit City FC
05/05/24 USA USL Championship	Loudoun United FC	0-0 HT 0-0	Detroit City FC
23/03/24 USA USL Championship	Detroit City FC	2-1 HT 0-1	Loudoun United FC
08/10/23 USA USL Championship	Loudoun United FC	0-3 HT 0-2	Detroit City FC

Standings · USA USL Championship · USL Championship 2026, Eastern Conference

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Tampa Bay Rowdies	19	12	5	2	36	19	41
2	Charleston Battery	19	10	3	6	38	24	33
3	Detroit City FC	18	9	4	5	26	17	31
4	Louisville City FC	19	8	4	7	33	32	28
5	Pittsburgh Riverhounds	19	8	3	8	20	20	27
6	Rhode Island FC	17	7	4	6	27	19	25
7	Miami FC	20	5	7	8	24	32	22
8	Indy Eleven	16	6	3	7	19	20	21
9	Hartford Athletic	17	4	8	5	12	16	20
10	Loudoun United FC	18	3	9	6	21	30	18
11	Birmingham Legion FC	17	3	8	6	18	21	17
12	Brooklyn FC	17	3	4	10	17	32	13
13	Sporting JAX	19	1	5	13	23	51	8

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Detroit City FC	Loudoun United FC
Indy Eleven	2-0 W	1-0 W
Birmingham Legion FC	2-1 W	1-1 D
Sporting JAX	6-2 W	2-2 D
Record vs common	3 W 0 D 0 L	1 W 2 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Detroit City FC (3 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

Detroit City FC

DDWDWWWLDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
09/08	Tulsa USA USL Championship	0-0	1-0	0	4	W
02/08	Miami FC USA USL Championship	1-0	2-2	4	9	D
26/07	Las Vegas Lights FC USA USL Championship	0-1	0-1	8	7	L
19/07	Indy Eleven USA USL Championship	0-0	2-0	5	7	W
12/07	Fort Wayne FC USA USL Cup	0-0	2-1	4	3	W
03/07	Birmingham Legion FC USA USL Championship	1-1	2-1	6	8	W
20/06	Louisville City FC USA USL Cup	0-0	0-0	6	4	D
14/06	Sporting JAX USA USL Championship	3-1	6-2	3	6	W
11/06	El Paso Locomotive FC USA USL Championship	0-1	1-1	10	4	D
07/06	Lexington SC USA USL Cup	1-0	1-1	3	8	D

Loudoun United FC

LLDLDLDWWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
09/08	Charleston Battery USA USL Championship	0-0	0-1	6	3	L
02/08	Hartford Athletic USA USL Championship	1-0	2-0	2	2	W
26/07	Indy Eleven USA USL Championship	0-0	1-0	3	3	W
19/07	Tampa Bay Rowdies USA USL Championship	0-1	1-1	5	5	D
12/07	Pittsburgh Riverhounds USA USL Cup	0-1	0-2	2	3	L
04/07	Sporting JAX USA USL Championship	0-1	2-2	3	3	D
25/06	Charleston Battery USA USL Championship	0-2	1-4	2	4	L
21/06	Birmingham Legion FC USA USL Championship	0-0	1-1	5	3	D
14/06	Rhode Island FC USA USL Championship	0-1	1-4	1	5	L
11/06	Greenville Triumph SC USA USL Cup	0-1	1-3	9	5	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Detroit City FC vs Loudoun United FC?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Detroit City FC win (55%). Probabilities: Detroit City FC 55%, draw 26%, Loudoun United FC 18%.

How many goals are expected in Detroit City FC vs Loudoun United FC?

The model expects 2.55 goals (Detroit City FC 1.68 · Loudoun United FC 0.87), with a 54% chance of under 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Detroit City FC vs Loudoun United FC?

The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.