Football · USA USL Championship · 16/08, 01:30
Prediction: Tampa Bay Rowdies vs Rhode Island FC
Team pages: Tampa Bay Rowdies · Rhode Island FC
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.8Total
Tampa Bay Rowdies1.62
Rhode Island FC1.18
1X2
Tampa Bay Rowdies
Draw
Rhode Island FC
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 53%
Both teams to score 54%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Tampa Bay Rowdies
6-2-2 (W-D-L)
Rhode Island FC
5-2-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Tampa Bay Rowdies
1–1–3
Rhode Island FC
(5 last)
- Rhode Island FC1-1Tampa Bay Rowdies
- Rhode Island FC5-0Tampa Bay Rowdies
- Tampa Bay Rowdies0-3Rhode Island FC
- Rhode Island FC3-1Tampa Bay Rowdies
- Tampa Bay Rowdies4-1Rhode Island FC
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 58%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Rhode Island FC: 3-1-1.
- High corners: 11.6 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 8.4 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Tampa Bay Rowdies | Rhode Island FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.1 / 1.4 | 1.4 / 0.7 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.1 / 0.8 | 0.6 / 0.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 70/0/30% | 30/60/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.7 / 5.6 | 3.7 / 6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.5 / 0.1 | 3.9 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Tampa Bay Rowdies 1–1–3 Rhode Island FC
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10/05/26 USA USL Championship | Rhode Island FC | 1-1 HT 0-1 | Tampa Bay Rowdies |
| 12/10/25 USA USL Championship | Rhode Island FC | 5-0 HT 3-0 | Tampa Bay Rowdies |
| 18/05/25 USA USL Championship | Tampa Bay Rowdies | 0-3 HT 0-1 | Rhode Island FC |
| 06/10/24 USA USL Championship | Rhode Island FC | 3-1 HT 1-0 | Tampa Bay Rowdies |
| 31/03/24 USA USL Championship | Tampa Bay Rowdies | 4-1 HT 0-1 | Rhode Island FC |
Standings · USA USL Championship · USL Championship 2026, Eastern Conference
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tampa Bay Rowdies | 19 | 12 | 5 | 2 | 36 | 19 | 41 |
| 2 | Charleston Battery | 19 | 10 | 3 | 6 | 38 | 24 | 33 |
| 3 | Detroit City FC | 18 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 26 | 17 | 31 |
| 4 | Louisville City FC | 19 | 8 | 4 | 7 | 33 | 32 | 28 |
| 5 | Pittsburgh Riverhounds | 19 | 8 | 3 | 8 | 20 | 20 | 27 |
| 6 | Rhode Island FC | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 27 | 19 | 25 |
| 7 | Miami FC | 20 | 5 | 7 | 8 | 24 | 32 | 22 |
| 8 | Indy Eleven | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 19 | 20 | 21 |
| 9 | Hartford Athletic | 17 | 4 | 8 | 5 | 12 | 16 | 20 |
| 10 | Loudoun United FC | 18 | 3 | 9 | 6 | 21 | 30 | 18 |
| 11 | Birmingham Legion FC | 17 | 3 | 8 | 6 | 18 | 21 | 17 |
| 12 | Brooklyn FC | 17 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 17 | 32 | 13 |
| 13 | Sporting JAX | 19 | 1 | 5 | 13 | 23 | 51 | 8 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Tampa Bay Rowdies | Rhode Island FC |
|---|---|---|
| Orange County SC | 3-0 W | 1-1 D |
| Loudoun United FC | 1-1 D | 4-1 W |
| Brooklyn FC | 2-0 W | 1-1 D |
| Hartford Athletic | 0-1 L | 1-0 W |
| Record vs common | 2 W 1 D 1 L | 2 W 2 D 0 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Tampa Bay Rowdies
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/08 | Orange County SC USA USL Championship |
1-0 | 3-0 | 1 | 5 | W |
| 02/08 | Louisville City FC USA USL Championship |
0-3 | 5-4 | 5 | 1 | W |
| 26/07 | Miami FC USA USL Championship |
2-1 | 3-2 | 3 | 10 | W |
| 19/07 | Loudoun United FC USA USL Championship |
1-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 5 | D |
| 12/07 | FC Naples USA USL Cup |
2-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 7 | W |
| 05/07 | Lexington SC USA USL Championship |
0-3 | 1-4 | 12 | 3 | L |
| 21/06 | Brooklyn FC USA USL Championship |
2-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 14/06 | Hartford Athletic USA USL Championship |
0-1 | 0-1 | 15 | 2 | L |
| 11/06 | Charleston Battery USA USL Championship |
1-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 6 | D |
| 07/06 | Sporting JAX USA USL Cup |
2-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 4 | W |
Rhode Island FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/08 | Colorado Switchbacks FC USA USL Championship |
0-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 8 | W |
| 03/08 | Birmingham Legion FC USA USL Championship |
0-0 | 0-1 | 13 | 3 | L |
| 26/07 | Pittsburgh Riverhounds USA USL Championship |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 19/07 | Hartford Athletic USA USL Championship |
1-0 | 1-0 | 9 | 5 | W |
| 12/07 | Brooklyn FC USA USL Cup |
1-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 7 | D |
| 09/07 | Sacramento Republic USA USL Championship |
1-2 | 1-2 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 05/07 | Orange County SC USA USL Championship |
0-0 | 1-1 | 10 | 5 | D |
| 14/06 | Loudoun United FC USA USL Championship |
1-0 | 4-1 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 07/06 | Westchester SC USA USL Cup |
2-0 | 3-0 | 6 | 0 | W |
| 31/05 | Indy Eleven USA USL Championship |
0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 4 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Tampa Bay Rowdies vs Rhode Island FC?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Tampa Bay Rowdies win (47%). Probabilities: Tampa Bay Rowdies 47%, draw 27%, Rhode Island FC 27%.
How many goals are expected in Tampa Bay Rowdies vs Rhode Island FC?
The model expects 2.8 goals (Tampa Bay Rowdies 1.62 · Rhode Island FC 1.18), with a 53% chance of under 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Tampa Bay Rowdies vs Rhode Island FC?
The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.