Football · Hungary NB III · 25/07, 11:00

Prediction: Nyiregyhaza II vs Diosgyori VTK II

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.86Total

Nyiregyhaza II2.27

Diosgyori VTK II1.59

1X2

52% 22% 26%

Nyiregyhaza II Draw Diosgyori VTK II

Markets

Over 3.5 goals 54% Both teams to score 61%

Most likely score

2-1

Recent form · 10 last

Nyiregyhaza II 5-0-5 (W-D-L)

LLWWWWWLLL

Diosgyori VTK II 4-1-5 (W-D-L)

WDWWLLLLWL

Head-to-head

Nyiregyhaza II 1–1–1 Diosgyori VTK II (3 last)

Diosgyori VTK II1-4Nyiregyhaza II
Nyiregyhaza II0-1Diosgyori VTK II
Diosgyori VTK II2-2Nyiregyhaza II

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Nyiregyhaza II 1501 · Diosgyori VTK II 1484

	Nyiregyhaza II	Draw	Diosgyori VTK II
Our model	52%	22%	26%
Market	52%	22%	26%

Estimated total (ours) 3.86 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · +0.6

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 67%model estimate

Match keys

Cards-heavy: 6.5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Nyiregyhaza II	Diosgyori VTK II
Goals for / against (FT)	2.7 / 2.2	1.9 / 2.1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.7 / 0.8	1.1 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/30/40%	40/40/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.4 / 5.6	1.9 / 3.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.9 / 0.1	2.6 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

11.73

X4.00

23.50

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.75)1.90

2 (+0.75)1.90

Line ⓘ

Over 3.251.98

Under 3.251.82

Diff.: 1.2 · xG: 4.45

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 02:11

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.73 → 1.73	Bet365 1.73
X	4.00 → 4.00	Bet365 4.00
2	3.50 → 3.50	Bet365 3.50

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.5%

Time*	1	X	2
02:06 +5’	1.73	4.00	3.50

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Nyiregyhaza II 1–1–1 Diosgyori VTK II

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Date	Home	Score	Away
26/04/26 Hungary NB III	Diosgyori VTK II	1-4 HT 0-0	Nyiregyhaza II
12/10/25 Hungary NB III	Nyiregyhaza II	0-1 HT 0-1	Diosgyori VTK II
18/05/25 Hungary NB III	Diosgyori VTK II	2-2 HT 2-1	Nyiregyhaza II

Standings · Hungary NB III · NB III 26/27, North East

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Cigand SE	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	DEAC	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Debreceni II	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Diosgyori VTK II	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Egri FC	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	FC Tiszaujvaros	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Fuzesabonyi SC	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Godolloi SK	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Hajdunanas FK	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Kisvarda II	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Mateszalkai MTK	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Nyiregyhaza II	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Ozd Sajovolgye	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Salgotarjani BTC	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Tarpa SC	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Tiszafured VSE	0	0	0	0	0	0

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Nyiregyhaza II	Diosgyori VTK II
Cigand SE	1-3 L	2-5 L
FC Hatvan	6-0 W	3-2 W
Tarpa SC	1-0 W	1-2 L
Debreceni II	1-5 L	0-3 L
Kisvarda II	0-2 L	1-4 L
Record vs common	2 W 0 D 3 L	1 W 0 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: Nyiregyhaza II (4 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

Nyiregyhaza II

LLWWWWWLLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
24/05	DEAC Hungary NB III	0-2	1-3	–	–	L
17/05	Godolloi SK Hungary NB III	0-0	1-3	6	2	L
10/05	Cigand SE Hungary NB III	0-1	1-3	–	–	L
03/05	FC Tiszaujvaros Hungary NB III	2-1	8-2	9	2	W
26/04	Diosgyori VTK II Hungary NB III	0-0	4-1	4	4	W
19/04	Putnok Hungary NB III	2-0	4-3	3	6	W
11/04	FC Hatvan Hungary NB III	3-0	6-0	–	–	W
05/04	Tarpa SC Hungary NB III	0-0	1-0	4	3	W
29/03	Debreceni II Hungary NB III	0-3	1-5	6	3	L
22/03	Kisvarda II Hungary NB III	0-1	0-2	7	8	L

Diosgyori VTK II

WDWWLLLLWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
18/07	Cigand SE Europe Friendlies	2-2	2-5	3	0	L
24/05	FC Hatvan Hungary NB III	2-1	3-2	–	–	W
17/05	Tarpa SC Hungary NB III	0-1	1-2	–	–	L
10/05	Debreceni II Hungary NB III	0-1	0-3	4	2	L
03/05	Kisvarda II Hungary NB III	1-1	1-4	3	4	L
26/04	Nyiregyhaza II Hungary NB III	0-0	1-4	4	4	L
19/04	Fuzesabonyi SC Hungary NB III	1-0	2-0	2	3	W
11/04	Ozd Sajovolgye Hungary NB III	2-0	5-0	1	3	W
05/04	Tiszafured VSE Hungary NB III	0-0	1-1	8	5	D
29/03	Senyo Carnifex Hungary NB III	3-0	3-0	4	2	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Nyiregyhaza II vs Diosgyori VTK II?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Nyiregyhaza II win (52%). Probabilities: Nyiregyhaza II 52%, draw 22%, Diosgyori VTK II 26%.

How many goals are expected in Nyiregyhaza II vs Diosgyori VTK II?

The model expects 3.86 goals (Nyiregyhaza II 2.27 · Diosgyori VTK II 1.59), with a 54% chance of over 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Nyiregyhaza II vs Diosgyori VTK II?

The model gives a 61% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.