Football · Hungary NB III · 26/07, 11:00
Prediction: Györi ETO II vs FC Tatabanya
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.54Total
Györi ETO II1.27
FC Tatabanya2.28
1X2
Györi ETO II
Draw
FC Tatabanya
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 53%
Both teams to score 58%
Most likely score
1-2
Recent form · 10 last
Györi ETO II
3-2-5 (W-D-L)
FC Tatabanya
8-1-1 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Györi ETO II
1–1–4
FC Tatabanya
(6 last)
- FC Tatabanya4-0Györi ETO II
- Györi ETO II1-2FC Tatabanya
- FC Tatabanya1-0Györi ETO II
- Györi ETO II1-3FC Tatabanya
- Györi ETO II1-1FC Tatabanya
- FC Tatabanya1-4Györi ETO II
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Györi ETO II 1462 · FC Tatabanya 1596
| Györi ETO II | Draw | FC Tatabanya | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 20% | 21% | 59% |
| Market | 19% | 22% | 59% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.54 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.5
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 67%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours FC Tatabanya (rating 1462 vs 1596).
- H2H favours FC Tatabanya: 4-1-1.
- Cards-heavy: 8.3 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Györi ETO II | FC Tatabanya | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.2 / 2 | 3 / 1.1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 0.8 | 1.5 / 0.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/30/40% | 80/10/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2 / 4.7 | 2.6 / 5.2 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.3 / 0.3 | 5 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Györi ETO II 1–1–4 FC Tatabanya
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 03/05/26 Hungary NB III | FC Tatabanya | 4-0 HT 2-0 | Györi ETO II |
| 19/10/25 Hungary NB III | Györi ETO II | 1-2 HT 1-1 | FC Tatabanya |
| 18/11/23 Hungary NB III | FC Tatabanya | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Györi ETO II |
| 30/07/23 Hungary NB III | Györi ETO II | 1-3 HT 0-1 | FC Tatabanya |
| 04/12/21 Hungary NB III | Györi ETO II | 1-1 HT 1-1 | FC Tatabanya |
| 01/08/21 Hungary NB III | FC Tatabanya | 1-4 HT 1-1 | Györi ETO II |
Standings · Hungary NB III · NB III 26/27, North West
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Dorogi FC | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 3 |
| 2 | MTE 1904 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| 3 | Veszprem FC | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 3 |
| 4 | Bicskei TC | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 5 | Kiraly SE | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 6 | 1908 Szac Budapest | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 6 | Komarom VSE | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 8 | Györi ETO II | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 8 | FC Tatabanya | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 8 | SC Sopron | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 8 | Szombathelyi Mav Haladas VSE | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 | Puskas Academy II | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 | Papai Perutz | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 | Zalaegerszegi TE II | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 | Balatonalmadi SE | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 | Sarisapi BSE | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
Common opponents 7 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Györi ETO II | FC Tatabanya |
|---|---|---|
| Balatonfuredi FC | 1-1 D | 3-0 W |
| Gyirmot SE | 0-3 L | 0-4 L |
| MTE 1904 | 3-2 W | 1-0 W |
| Dorogi FC | 1-1 D | 2-0 W |
| Bicskei TC | 1-0 W | 6-0 W |
| Veszprem FC | 0-1 L | 2-1 W |
| Papai Perutz | 2-3 L | 6-2 W |
| Record vs common | 2 W 2 D 3 L | 6 W 0 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: FC Tatabanya (5 of 7 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Györi ETO II
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/05 | SC Sopron Hungary NB III |
1-1 | 3-2 | 1 | 2 | W |
| 17/05 | Komarom VSE Hungary NB III |
0-1 | 1-3 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 10/05 | Balatonfuredi FC Hungary NB III |
1-0 | 1-1 | 10 | 2 | D |
| 03/05 | FC Tatabanya Hungary NB III |
0-2 | 0-4 | 2 | 5 | L |
| 26/04 | Gyirmot SE Hungary NB III |
0-1 | 0-3 | 3 | 1 | L |
| 19/04 | MTE 1904 Hungary NB III |
1-1 | 3-2 | 8 | 8 | W |
| 11/04 | Dorogi FC Hungary NB III |
1-0 | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 03/04 | Bicskei TC Hungary NB III |
1-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 1 | W |
| 29/03 | Veszprem FC Hungary NB III |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 22/03 | Papai Perutz Hungary NB III |
1-2 | 2-3 | 6 | 6 | L |
FC Tatabanya
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/05 | Balatonfuredi FC Hungary NB III |
1-0 | 3-0 | 5 | 5 | W |
| 17/05 | MTE 1904 Hungary NB III |
0-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 7 | W |
| 10/05 | Gyirmot SE Hungary NB III |
0-2 | 0-4 | 4 | 9 | L |
| 03/05 | Györi ETO II Hungary NB III |
2-0 | 4-0 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 25/04 | Dorogi FC Hungary NB III |
1-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 7 | W |
| 19/04 | Bicskei TC Hungary NB III |
3-0 | 6-0 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 15/04 | Zsambeki SK Hungary NB III |
3-1 | 5-3 | – | – | W |
| 11/04 | Veszprem FC Hungary NB III |
1-0 | 2-1 | 6 | 10 | W |
| 05/04 | Papai Perutz Hungary NB III |
3-0 | 6-2 | 7 | 1 | W |
| 22/03 | Szombathelyi Mav Haladas VSE Hungary NB III |
1-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 2 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Györi ETO II vs FC Tatabanya?
According to our model, the most likely result is an FC Tatabanya win (59%). Probabilities: Györi ETO II 19%, draw 22%, FC Tatabanya 59%.
How many goals are expected in Györi ETO II vs FC Tatabanya?
The model expects 3.54 goals (Györi ETO II 1.27 · FC Tatabanya 2.28), with a 56% chance of over 3 goals.
Will both teams score in Györi ETO II vs FC Tatabanya?
The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-2.