Football · Hungary NB III · 26/07, 17:30

Prediction: Tiszafured VSE vs DEAC

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.13Total

Tiszafured VSE1.4

DEAC1.73

1X2

30% 27% 43%

Tiszafured VSE Draw DEAC

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 55% Both teams to score 57%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

Tiszafured VSE 7-1-2 (W-D-L)

LDWWWLWWWW

DEAC 6-1-3 (W-D-L)

WDWLWWLWWL

Head-to-head

Tiszafured VSE 2–2–2 DEAC (6 last)

Tiszafured VSE0-1DEAC
DEAC0-0Tiszafured VSE
Tiszafured VSE1-4DEAC
DEAC0-0Tiszafured VSE
DEAC0-2Tiszafured VSE
Tiszafured VSE3-1DEAC

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Tiszafured VSE 1575 · DEAC 1543

	Tiszafured VSE	Draw	DEAC
Our model	30%	26%	44%
Market	29%	28%	43%

Estimated total (ours) 3.13 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.6

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 60%model estimate

Match keys

Cards-heavy: 6.4 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Tiszafured VSE	DEAC
Goals for / against (FT)	2.6 / 1.6	2.5 / 1.4
Goals for / against (HT)	1.1 / 0.7	0.7 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/50/10%	30/40/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.2 / 3.9	2.6 / 5.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.1 / 0.4	3.3 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

13.10

X3.20

22.10

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.25)1.93

2 (-0.25)1.88

Line ⓘ

Over 2.51.90

Under 2.51.90

Diff.: 1.55 · xG: 4.05

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 10:07

	Bet365	Best now
1	3.10 → 3.10	Pinn 3.14 ★
X	3.20 → 3.20	Bet365 3.20
2	2.10 → 2.10	Bet365 2.10

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.1% Pinnacle margin 12.5%

Time*	1	X	2
09:58 +9’	3.10	3.20	2.10

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
12:08	3.14	3.14	2.05

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Tiszafured VSE 2–2–2 DEAC

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Date	Home	Score	Away
03/05/26 Hungary NB III	Tiszafured VSE	0-1 HT 0-0	DEAC
19/10/25 Hungary NB III	DEAC	0-0 HT 0-0	Tiszafured VSE
18/05/25 Hungary NB III	Tiszafured VSE	1-4 HT 0-1	DEAC
03/11/24 Hungary NB III	DEAC	0-0 HT 0-0	Tiszafured VSE
24/09/23 Hungary NB III	DEAC	0-2 HT 0-2	Tiszafured VSE
21/08/22 Hungary NB III	Tiszafured VSE	3-1 HT 0-0	DEAC

Standings · Hungary NB III · NB III 26/27, North East

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Debreceni II	1	1	0	5	2	3
2	Godolloi SK	1	1	0	3	1	3
2	Nyiregyhaza II	1	1	0	3	1	3
4	Ozd Sajovolgye	1	1	0	1	0	3
5	Cigand SE	0	0	0	0	0	0
5	DEAC	0	0	0	0	0	0
5	Egri FC	0	0	0	0	0	0
5	Fuzesabonyi SC	0	0	0	0	0	0
5	Kisvarda II	0	0	0	0	0	0
5	Mateszalkai MTK	0	0	0	0	0	0
5	Tarpa SC	0	0	0	0	0	0
5	Tiszafured VSE	0	0	0	0	0	0
13	FC Tiszaujvaros	1	0	1	0	1	0
14	Diosgyori VTK II	1	0	1	1	3	0
14	Salgotarjani BTC	1	0	1	1	3	0
16	Hajdunanas FK	1	0	1	2	5	0

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Tiszafured VSE	DEAC
Ozd Sajovolgye	3-2 W	1-2 L
Egri FC	4-2 W	3-4 L
Senyo Carnifex	2-0 W	6-0 W
Godolloi SK	4-3 W	5-3 W
Cigand SE	2-1 W	1-1 D
FC Tiszaujvaros	5-0 W	1-0 W
Record vs common	6 W 0 D 0 L	3 W 1 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Tiszafured VSE (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

Tiszafured VSE

LDWWWLWWWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
01/07	BKV Elore SC Europe Friendlies	2-2	5-4	5	1	W
24/05	Ozd Sajovolgye Hungary NB III	2-1	3-2	2	2	W
17/05	Egri FC Hungary NB III	0-1	4-2	–	–	W
10/05	Senyo Carnifex Hungary NB III	2-0	2-0	5	2	W
03/05	DEAC Hungary NB III	0-0	0-1	3	7	L
26/04	Godolloi SK Hungary NB III	3-2	4-3	4	3	W
19/04	Cigand SE Hungary NB III	1-1	2-1	–	–	W
11/04	FC Tiszaujvaros Hungary NB III	1-0	5-0	5	5	W
05/04	Diosgyori VTK II Hungary NB III	0-0	1-1	3	5	D
29/03	Putnok Hungary NB III	0-0	0-2	–	–	L

DEAC

WDWLWWLWWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
19/07	Kazincbarcikai BSC Europe Friendlies	0-0	0-2	4	5	L
24/05	Nyiregyhaza II Hungary NB III	2-0	3-1	–	–	W
17/05	Fuzesabonyi SC Hungary NB III	3-1	4-1	6	4	W
10/05	Ozd Sajovolgye Hungary NB III	0-2	1-2	13	2	L
03/05	Tiszafured VSE Hungary NB III	0-0	1-0	2	7	W
26/04	Senyo Carnifex Hungary NB III	1-0	6-0	3	3	W
19/04	Egri FC Hungary NB III	1-2	3-4	3	1	L
11/04	Godolloi SK Hungary NB III	0-3	5-3	–	–	W
05/04	Cigand SE Hungary NB III	0-0	1-1	7	4	D
29/03	FC Tiszaujvaros Hungary NB III	0-0	1-0	5	2	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Tiszafured VSE vs DEAC?

According to our model, the most likely result is an DEAC win (43%). Probabilities: Tiszafured VSE 30%, draw 27%, DEAC 43%.

How many goals are expected in Tiszafured VSE vs DEAC?

The model expects 3.13 goals (Tiszafured VSE 1.4 · DEAC 1.73), with a 55% chance of over 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Tiszafured VSE vs DEAC?

The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.