Football · Hungary NB III · 26/07, 17:30

Prediction: FC Dabas vs Szeged-Csanad Grosics II

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.11Total

FC Dabas1.9

Szeged-Csanad Grosics II1.21

1X2

52% 24% 23%

FC Dabas Draw Szeged-Csanad Grosics II

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 62% Both teams to score 56%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

FC Dabas 5-2-3 (W-D-L)

WLDWWLDWWL

Szeged-Csanad Grosics II 3-3-4 (W-D-L)

DWLDLWLDWL

Head-to-head

FC Dabas 2–1 Szeged-Csanad Grosics II (3 last)

FC Dabas3-1Szeged-Csanad Grosics II
Szeged-Csanad Grosics II0-6FC Dabas
Szeged-Csanad Grosics II3-0FC Dabas

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · FC Dabas 1536 · Szeged-Csanad Grosics II 1468

	FC Dabas	Draw	Szeged-Csanad Grosics II
Our model	52%	24%	23%
Market	53%	24%	24%

Estimated total (ours) 3.11 goals · Bet365 line 3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 64%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours FC Dabas (rating 1536 vs 1468).
H2H favours FC Dabas: 2-0-1.
Cards-heavy: 7.5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	FC Dabas	Szeged-Csanad Grosics II
Goals for / against (FT)	1.7 / 1.2	1.3 / 1.3
Goals for / against (HT)	0.8 / 0.5	0.8 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/40/20%	40/40/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.7 / 3.7	3.3 / 5.1
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.3 / 0.3	4.1 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

11.70

X3.75

23.80

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.75)1.98

2 (+0.75)1.82

Line ⓘ

Over 32.00

Under 31.80

Diff.: 0.25 · xG: 2.75

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 08:07

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.70 → 1.70	Bet365 1.70
X	3.75 → 3.75	Bet365 3.75
2	3.80 → 3.80	Bet365 3.80

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.8%

Time*	1	X	2
08:04 +3’	1.70	3.75	3.80

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · FC Dabas 2–0–1 Szeged-Csanad Grosics II

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Date	Home	Score	Away
19/04/26 Hungary NB III	FC Dabas	3-1 HT 1-0	Szeged-Csanad Grosics II
05/10/25 Hungary NB III	Szeged-Csanad Grosics II	0-6 HT 0-3	FC Dabas
21/04/24 Hungary NB III	Szeged-Csanad Grosics II	3-0 HT 2-0	FC Dabas

Standings · Hungary NB III · NB III 26/27, South East

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Szolnoki Mav FC	1	1	0	0	5	2	3
2	Gyulai Termal	1	1	0	0	3	0	3
3	III Keruleti TUE	1	1	0	0	2	0	3
4	Szegedi VSE	1	0	1	0	1	1	1
4	Vasas SC II	1	0	1	0	1	1	1
6	Bekescsabai Elore SE	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
6	BKV Elore SC	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
6	Budapest Honved II	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
6	ESMTK	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
6	FC Dabas	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
6	Monori SE	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
6	Szeged-Csanad Grosics II	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
6	Ujpest II	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
14	Csepel FC	1	0	0	1	0	2	0
15	Sandorfalvi SKE	1	0	0	1	2	5	0
16	Hodmezovasarhelyi	1	0	0	1	0	3	0

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	FC Dabas	Szeged-Csanad Grosics II
Szegedi VSE	2-1 W	2-3 L
Martfui LSE	2-1 W	4-0 W
Dunaharaszti MTK	0-0 D	0-0 D
Vasas SC II	1-2 L	1-3 L
Bekescsabai Elore SE II	3-1 W	2-0 W
Csepel FC	0-0 D	1-1 D
Monori SE	1-2 L	0-2 L
Tiszafoldvar	5-1 W	1-0 W
Record vs common	4 W 2 D 2 L	3 W 2 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: FC Dabas (4 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

FC Dabas

WLDWWLDWWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
24/05	Gyulai Termal Hungary NB III	0-1	0-3	2	2	L
17/05	Szegedi VSE Hungary NB III	1-0	2-1	–	–	W
10/05	Martfui LSE Hungary NB III	1-1	2-1	–	–	W
03/05	Dunaharaszti MTK Hungary NB III	0-0	0-0	–	–	D
26/04	Vasas SC II Hungary NB III	1-1	1-2	5	5	L
19/04	Szeged-Csanad Grosics II Hungary NB III	1-0	3-1	–	–	W
11/04	Bekescsabai Elore SE II Hungary NB III	1-0	3-1	–	–	W
05/04	Csepel FC Hungary NB III	0-0	0-0	–	–	D
27/03	Monori SE Hungary NB III	0-2	1-2	4	4	L
22/03	Tiszafoldvar Hungary NB III	3-0	5-1	–	–	W

Szeged-Csanad Grosics II

DWLDLWLDWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
24/05	Szegedi VSE Hungary NB III	2-1	2-3	5	4	L
16/05	Martfui LSE Hungary NB III	2-0	4-0	5	2	W
10/05	Dunaharaszti MTK Hungary NB III	0-0	0-0	5	5	D
02/05	Vasas SC II Hungary NB III	1-0	1-3	8	5	L
26/04	Bekescsabai Elore SE II Hungary NB III	1-0	2-0	6	4	W
19/04	FC Dabas Hungary NB III	0-1	1-3	–	–	L
11/04	Csepel FC Hungary NB III	1-1	1-1	2	5	D
05/04	Monori SE Hungary NB III	0-2	0-2	–	–	L
29/03	Tiszafoldvar Hungary NB III	0-0	1-0	5	2	W
22/03	III Keruleti TUE Hungary NB III	1-1	1-1	5	8	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in FC Dabas vs Szeged-Csanad Grosics II?

According to our model, the most likely result is a FC Dabas win (52%). Probabilities: FC Dabas 52%, draw 24%, Szeged-Csanad Grosics II 23%.

How many goals are expected in FC Dabas vs Szeged-Csanad Grosics II?

The model expects 3.11 goals (FC Dabas 1.9 · Szeged-Csanad Grosics II 1.21), with a 52% chance of under 3 goals.

Will both teams score in FC Dabas vs Szeged-Csanad Grosics II?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.