Football · Hungary NB III · 26/07, 11:00
Prediction: MTK Budapest II vs Budafoki MTE
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.98Total
MTK Budapest II1.37
Budafoki MTE1.6
1X2
MTK Budapest II
Draw
Budafoki MTE
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 57%
Both teams to score 56%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
MTK Budapest II
6-2-2 (W-D-L)
Budafoki MTE
2-2-6 (W-D-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · MTK Budapest II 1549 · Budafoki MTE 1463
| MTK Budapest II | Draw | Budafoki MTE | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 32% | 26% | 42% |
| Market | 33% | 24% | 43% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.98 goals · Bet365 line 3
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 57%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours MTK Budapest II (rating 1549 vs 1463).
- Cards-heavy: 9 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| MTK Budapest II | Budafoki MTE | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.4 / 0.5 | 1.2 / 1.7 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.3 / 0.4 | 0.5 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/70/20% | 30/40/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.3 / 4.4 | 2.3 / 4.1 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.6 / 0.4 | 4.4 / 0.2 |
Standings · Hungary NB III · NB III 26/27, South West
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ivancsa | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 3 |
| 2 | Pecsi MFC | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 3 | Kaposvari Rakoczi | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 4 | Budaorsi SC | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 1 |
| 4 | Erdi VSE | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 1 |
| 6 | Budafoki MTE | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 6 | Dunaujvaros FC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 6 | Ferencvarosi TC II | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 6 | Majosi SE | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 6 | MTK Budapest II | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 6 | Paksi SE II | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 6 | PEAC FC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 6 | Sarbogard SE | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 | BFC Siofok | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 | Dunaharaszti MTK | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 | Szekszardi | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
MTK Budapest II
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/05 | FC Nagykanizsa Hungary NB III |
0-1 | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 17/05 | Dunaujvaros FC Hungary NB III |
0-0 | 2-0 | 8 | 4 | W |
| 10/05 | Ivancsa Hungary NB III |
0-0 | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 03/05 | Pecsi MFC Hungary NB III |
1-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 9 | D |
| 26/04 | PEAC FC Hungary NB III |
1-1 | 3-1 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 19/04 | Szekszardi Hungary NB III |
1-0 | 4-0 | 7 | 3 | W |
| 11/04 | Dombovari FC Hungary NB III |
0-0 | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 05/04 | Majosi SE Hungary NB III |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 29/03 | Erdi VSE Hungary NB III |
0-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 22/03 | Kaposvari Rakoczi Hungary NB III |
0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 9 | W |
Budafoki MTE
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/05 | Fehervar FC Hungary NB II |
1-1 | 3-1 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 10/05 | BVSC Zuglo Hungary NB II |
1-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 4 | D |
| 04/05 | Vasas SC Hungary NB II |
0-2 | 2-3 | 6 | 5 | L |
| 26/04 | Szeged-Csanad Grosics Hungary NB II |
0-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 5 | W |
| 19/04 | Soroksar Hungary NB II |
1-1 | 1-2 | 6 | 7 | L |
| 11/04 | Mezokovesd Zsory Hungary NB II |
0-1 | 0-2 | 2 | 7 | L |
| 05/04 | Kozarmisleny SE Hungary NB II |
0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 4 | L |
| 22/03 | Tiszakecske FC Hungary NB II |
1-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 6 | D |
| 14/03 | Karcagi SE Hungary NB II |
1-0 | 2-3 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 08/03 | Bekescsabai Elore SE Hungary NB II |
0-1 | 0-3 | 4 | 1 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in MTK Budapest II vs Budafoki MTE?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Budafoki MTE win (43%). Probabilities: MTK Budapest II 32%, draw 25%, Budafoki MTE 43%.
How many goals are expected in MTK Budapest II vs Budafoki MTE?
The model expects 2.98 goals (MTK Budapest II 1.37 · Budafoki MTE 1.6), with a 52% chance of under 3 goals.
Will both teams score in MTK Budapest II vs Budafoki MTE?
The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.