Football · Hungary NB III · 26/08, 17:30

Prediction: Debreceni II vs Egri FC

Team pages: Debreceni II · Egri FC

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.42Total

Debreceni II1.77

Egri FC1.65

1X2

40% 25% 35%

Debreceni II Draw Egri FC

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 55% Both teams to score 59%

Most likely score

1-1 11%

Recent form · 10 last

Debreceni II 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

DLWWWLWLLD

Egri FC 7-0-3 (W-D-L)

WLWWLLWWWW

Head-to-head

Debreceni II 4–1–0 Egri FC (5 last)

Debreceni II1-0Egri FC
Egri FC0-5Debreceni II
Debreceni II4-1Egri FC
Debreceni II1-1Egri FC
Debreceni II4-1Egri FC

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Debreceni II 1522 · Egri FC 1519

	Debreceni II	Draw	Egri FC
Our model	40%	24%	35%
Market	40%	25%	35%

Estimated total (ours) 3.42 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 63%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Debreceni II: 4-1-0.
Cards-heavy: 4.9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Debreceni II	Egri FC
Goals for / against (FT)	2.2 / 1.7	1.9 / 1.7
Goals for / against (HT)	0.9 / 0.6	1.1 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/40/20%	67/22/11%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.8 / 5.7	2 / 4.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.6 / 0.3	2.3 / 0

Odds Bet365

12.25

X3.60

22.55

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)1.80

2 (0)2.00

Line ⓘ

Over 31.95

Under 31.85

Diff.: 0.75 · xG: 3.75

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 14:04

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.25 → 2.25	Bet365 2.25
X	3.60 → 3.60	Bet365 3.60
2	2.55 → 2.55	Bet365 2.55

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.4%

Time*	1	X	2
13:58 +6’	2.25	3.60	2.55

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Debreceni II 4–1–0 Egri FC

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Date	Home	Score	Away
11/04/26 Hungary NB III	Debreceni II	1-0 HT 1-0	Egri FC
28/09/25 Hungary NB III	Egri FC	0-5 HT 0-2	Debreceni II
28/08/24 Hungary NB III	Debreceni II	4-1 HT 1-0	Egri FC
19/08/23 Hungary NB III	Debreceni II	1-1 HT 1-1	Egri FC
21/08/22 Hungary NB III	Debreceni II	4-1 HT 2-0	Egri FC

Standings · Hungary NB III · NB III 26/27, North East

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	DEAC	4	4	0	0	13	4	12
2	Egri FC	4	4	0	0	6	2	12
3	Cigand SE	4	3	0	1	7	2	9
3	Ozd Sajovolgye	4	3	0	1	7	2	9
5	Kisvarda II	4	2	2	0	7	5	8
6	Mateszalkai MTK	4	2	1	1	7	5	7
7	Fuzesabonyi SC	4	2	0	2	4	4	6
8	Godolloi SK	4	2	0	2	5	6	6
9	Diosgyori VTK II	4	1	2	1	4	5	5
10	Debreceni II	4	1	1	2	8	7	4
11	Nyiregyhaza II	4	1	0	3	6	8	3
12	Hajdunanas FK	4	1	0	3	7	10	3
13	FC Tiszaujvaros	4	1	0	3	2	5	3
14	Salgotarjani BTC	4	1	0	3	3	7	3
15	Tarpa SC	4	1	0	3	3	11	3
16	Tiszafured VSE	4	0	0	4	0	6	0

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Debreceni II	Egri FC
DEAC	2-3 L	4-3 W
Cigand SE	0-5 L	1-0 W
Putnok	5-1 W	1-4 L
FC Hatvan	1-2 L	3-2 W
Tarpa SC	1-1 D	2-1 W
Record vs common	1 W 1 D 3 L	4 W 0 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Egri FC (4 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Debreceni II

DLWWWLWLLD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
19/08	Diosgyori VTK II Hungary NB III	0-0	0-0	–	–	D
15/08	DEAC Hungary NB III	0-1	2-3	–	–	L
08/08	Fuzesabonyi SC Hungary NB III	1-1	1-2	6	0	L
25/07	Hajdunanas FK Hungary NB III	2-1	5-2	3	3	W
24/05	Cigand SE Hungary NB III	0-1	0-5	–	–	L
17/05	FC Tiszaujvaros Hungary NB III	0-0	4-1	5	6	W
10/05	Diosgyori VTK II Hungary NB III	1-0	3-0	9	2	W
03/05	Putnok Hungary NB III	3-1	5-1	7	1	W
26/04	FC Hatvan Hungary NB III	1-1	1-2	7	4	L
19/04	Tarpa SC Hungary NB III	1-0	1-1	3	4	D

Egri FC

WLWWLLWWWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
15/08	Nyiregyhaza II Hungary NB III	–	2-1	–	–	W
12/08	Tiszafured VSE Hungary NB III	1-0	1-0	5	4	W
09/08	Tarpa SC Hungary NB III	2-0	2-1	–	–	W
26/07	Cigand SE Hungary NB III	1-0	1-0	–	–	W
24/05	Putnok Hungary NB III	1-1	1-4	–	–	L
17/05	Tiszafured VSE Hungary NB III	1-0	2-4	–	–	L
10/05	FC Hatvan Hungary NB III	0-1	3-2	–	–	W
02/05	Senyo Carnifex Hungary NB III	2-0	3-0	5	2	W
26/04	Tarpa SC Hungary NB III	0-0	0-2	–	–	L
19/04	DEAC Hungary NB III	2-1	4-3	4	1	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Debreceni II vs Egri FC?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Debreceni II win (40%). Probabilities: Debreceni II 40%, draw 25%, Egri FC 35%.

How many goals are expected in Debreceni II vs Egri FC?

The model expects 3.42 goals (Debreceni II 1.77 · Egri FC 1.65), with a 52% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Debreceni II vs Egri FC?

The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.