Football · Hungary NB III · 26/07, 11:00
Prediction: Ujpest II vs BKV Elore SC
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.57Total
Ujpest II2.09
BKV Elore SC1.48
1X2
Ujpest II
Draw
BKV Elore SC
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 52%
Both teams to score 59%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Ujpest II
6-2-2 (W-D-L)
BKV Elore SC
3-1-6 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Ujpest II
2–0
BKV Elore SC
(2 last)
- Ujpest II4-0BKV Elore SC
- Ujpest II7-0BKV Elore SC
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Ujpest II 1553 · BKV Elore SC 1471
| Ujpest II | Draw | BKV Elore SC | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 51% | 23% | 26% |
| Market | 50% | 24% | 26% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.57 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.6
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 72%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Ujpest II (rating 1553 vs 1471).
- H2H favours Ujpest II: 2-0-0.
- Cards-heavy: 9.6 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Ujpest II | BKV Elore SC | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2 / 0.9 | 2.3 / 2.4 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.2 / 0.6 | 0.8 / 0.9 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 50/40/10% | 20/60/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3 / 5.2 | 1.7 / 2.4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5.2 / 0.2 | 4.4 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Ujpest II 2–0–0 BKV Elore SC
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15/07/23 Club Friendly List | Ujpest II | 4-0 HT 0-0 | BKV Elore SC |
| 14/11/21 Hungary NB III | Ujpest II | 7-0 HT 2-0 | BKV Elore SC |
Standings · Hungary NB III · NB III 26/27, South East
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Szolnoki Mav FC | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 3 |
| 2 | Gyulai Termal | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| 3 | III Keruleti TUE | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 4 | Szegedi VSE | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 4 | Vasas SC II | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 6 | Bekescsabai Elore SE | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 6 | BKV Elore SC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 6 | Budapest Honved II | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 6 | ESMTK | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 6 | FC Dabas | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 6 | Monori SE | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 6 | Szeged-Csanad Grosics II | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 6 | Ujpest II | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 | Csepel FC | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 | Sandorfalvi SKE | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 | Hodmezovasarhelyi | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Ujpest II
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/05 | Veszprem FC Hungary NB III |
0-2 | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 17/05 | Papai Perutz Hungary NB III |
3-0 | 3-0 | 7 | 6 | W |
| 10/05 | Zsambeki SK Hungary NB III |
1-0 | 3-1 | 7 | 4 | W |
| 03/05 | Szombathelyi Mav Haladas VSE Hungary NB III |
1-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 26/04 | MTE 1904 Hungary NB III |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 5 | D |
| 19/04 | Budaorsi SC Hungary NB III |
2-1 | 3-1 | 5 | 6 | W |
| 11/04 | Puskas Academy II Hungary NB III |
1-1 | 1-1 | 1 | 7 | D |
| 05/04 | SC Sopron Hungary NB III |
2-0 | 4-1 | 7 | 4 | W |
| 29/03 | Komarom VSE Hungary NB III |
2-1 | 2-1 | 3 | 7 | W |
| 22/03 | Balatonfuredi FC Hungary NB III |
0-0 | 2-0 | 7 | 7 | W |
BKV Elore SC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/07 | Tiszafured VSE Europe Friendlies |
2-2 | 4-5 | 0 | 1 | L |
| 24/05 | Monori SE Hungary NB III |
0-0 | 2-1 | 8 | 5 | W |
| 17/05 | Tiszafoldvar Hungary NB III |
2-0 | 5-0 | – | – | W |
| 10/05 | III Keruleti TUE Hungary NB III |
0-0 | 1-3 | 2 | 5 | L |
| 03/05 | Hodmezovasarhelyi Hungary NB III |
1-1 | 2-3 | – | – | L |
| 26/04 | ESMTK Hungary NB III |
0-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 5 | L |
| 19/04 | Bekescsabai Elore SE II Hungary NB III |
1-1 | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 11/04 | Budapest Honved II Hungary NB III |
1-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 4 | D |
| 05/04 | Gyulai Termal Hungary NB III |
0-3 | 0-5 | 0 | 6 | L |
| 29/03 | Szegedi VSE Hungary NB III |
1-0 | 5-1 | 4 | 5 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Ujpest II vs BKV Elore SC?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Ujpest II win (50%). Probabilities: Ujpest II 50%, draw 24%, BKV Elore SC 26%.
How many goals are expected in Ujpest II vs BKV Elore SC?
The model expects 3.57 goals (Ujpest II 2.09 · BKV Elore SC 1.48), with a 56% chance of over 3 goals.
Will both teams score in Ujpest II vs BKV Elore SC?
The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.