Football · Hungary NB III · 29/08, 11:00

Prediction: Egri FC vs Kisvarda II

Team pages: Egri FC · Kisvarda II

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.13Total

Egri FC1.24

Kisvarda II1.88

1X2

25% 24% 52%

Egri FC Draw Kisvarda II

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 62% Both teams to score 56%

Most likely score

1-1 11%

Recent form · 10 last

Egri FC 6-0-4 (W-D-L)

LWWLLWWWWL

Kisvarda II 5-5-0 (W-D-L)

WWDWDDDWWD

Head-to-head

Egri FC 1–1–4 Kisvarda II (6 last)

Kisvarda II2-1Egri FC
Egri FC0-4Kisvarda II
Egri FC1-1Kisvarda II
Kisvarda II1-4Egri FC
Kisvarda II4-0Egri FC
Kisvarda II5-1Egri FC

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Egri FC 1494 · Kisvarda II 1582

	Egri FC	Draw	Kisvarda II
Our model	24%	25%	51%
Market	25%	23%	52%

Estimated total (ours) 3.13 goals · Bet365 line 3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 59%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Kisvarda II (rating 1494 vs 1582).
H2H favours Kisvarda II: 4-1-1.
Cards-heavy: 8.2 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Egri FC	Kisvarda II
Goals for / against (FT)	1.7 / 1.9	1.8 / 1
Goals for / against (HT)	1 / 0.3	0.7 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	56/33/11%	22/56/22%
Corners (HT / FT)	3 / 4.7	2 / 4.1
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.3 / 0	4.9 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

13.60

X3.90

21.73

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.75)1.82

2 (-0.75)1.98

Line ⓘ

Over 31.80

Under 32.00

Diff.: 0.2 · xG: 3.2

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 13:18

	Bet365	Best now
1	3.60 → 3.60	Bet365 3.60
X	3.90 → 3.90	Bet365 3.90
2	1.73 → 1.73	Bet365 1.73

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.3%

Time*	1	X	2
13:02 +16’	3.60	3.90	1.73

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Egri FC 1–1–4 Kisvarda II

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Date	Home	Score	Away
29/03/26 Hungary NB III	Kisvarda II	2-1 HT 1-0	Egri FC
07/09/25 Hungary NB III	Egri FC	0-4 HT 0-3	Kisvarda II
01/09/24 Hungary NB III	Egri FC	1-1 HT 0-0	Kisvarda II
28/04/24 Hungary NB III	Kisvarda II	1-4 HT 0-2	Egri FC
30/07/22 Hungary NB III	Kisvarda II	4-0 HT 2-0	Egri FC
13/04/22 Hungary NB III	Kisvarda II	5-1 HT 2-0	Egri FC

Standings · Hungary NB III · NB III 26/27, North East

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	DEAC	5	4	1	0	14	5	13
2	Ozd Sajovolgye	5	4	0	1	12	2	12
3	Cigand SE	5	4	0	1	9	2	12
4	Egri FC	5	4	0	1	8	7	12
5	Godolloi SK	5	3	0	2	6	6	9
6	Kisvarda II	5	2	3	0	8	6	9
7	Mateszalkai MTK	5	2	2	1	9	7	8
8	Debreceni II	5	2	1	2	13	9	7
9	Hajdunanas FK	5	2	0	3	10	10	6
10	FC Tiszaujvaros	5	2	0	3	5	5	6
11	Fuzesabonyi SC	5	2	0	3	4	5	6
12	Diosgyori VTK II	5	1	3	1	6	7	6
13	Nyiregyhaza II	5	1	0	4	6	13	3
14	Salgotarjani BTC	5	1	0	4	3	10	3
15	Tarpa SC	5	1	0	4	3	14	3
16	Tiszafured VSE	5	0	0	5	0	8	0

Common opponents 2 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Egri FC	Kisvarda II
Cigand SE	1-0 W	2-0 W
Putnok	1-4 L	2-1 W
Record vs common	1 W 0 D 1 L	2 W 0 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Kisvarda II (2 of 2 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Egri FC

LWWLLWWWWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
26/08	Debreceni II Hungary NB III	1-1	2-5	4	4	L
15/08	Nyiregyhaza II Hungary NB III	–	2-1	–	–	W
12/08	Tiszafured VSE Hungary NB III	1-0	1-0	5	4	W
09/08	Tarpa SC Hungary NB III	2-0	2-1	–	–	W
26/07	Cigand SE Hungary NB III	1-0	1-0	–	–	W
24/05	Putnok Hungary NB III	1-1	1-4	–	–	L
17/05	Tiszafured VSE Hungary NB III	1-0	2-4	–	–	L
10/05	FC Hatvan Hungary NB III	0-1	3-2	–	–	W
02/05	Senyo Carnifex Hungary NB III	2-0	3-0	5	2	W
26/04	Tarpa SC Hungary NB III	0-0	0-2	–	–	L

Kisvarda II

WWDWDDDWWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
26/08	DEAC Hungary NB III	0-1	1-1	–	–	D
15/08	Fuzesabonyi SC Hungary NB III	–	1-0	–	–	W
12/08	Hajdunanas FK Hungary NB III	2-0	3-2	4	5	W
09/08	Diosgyori VTK II Hungary NB III	1-1	2-2	2	5	D
26/07	Mateszalkai MTK Hungary NB III	1-1	1-1	0	8	D
24/05	Godolloi SK Hungary NB III	1-0	1-1	6	3	D
17/05	Cigand SE Hungary NB III	0-0	2-0	5	4	W
10/05	FC Tiszaujvaros Hungary NB III	0-0	1-1	5	6	D
03/05	Diosgyori VTK II Hungary NB III	1-1	4-1	7	4	W
26/04	Putnok Hungary NB III	0-1	2-1	–	–	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Egri FC vs Kisvarda II?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Kisvarda II win (52%). Probabilities: Egri FC 25%, draw 24%, Kisvarda II 52%.

How many goals are expected in Egri FC vs Kisvarda II?

The model expects 3.13 goals (Egri FC 1.24 · Kisvarda II 1.88), with a 51% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Egri FC vs Kisvarda II?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.