Football · Hungary NB III · 26/09, 11:00

Prediction: Diosgyori VTK II vs DEAC

Team pages: Diosgyori VTK II · DEAC

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.41Total

Diosgyori VTK II1.31

DEAC2.1

1X2

23% 23% 55%

Diosgyori VTK II Draw DEAC

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 56% Both teams to score 58%

Most likely score

1-1 10%

Recent form · 10 last

Diosgyori VTK II 4-4-2 (W-D-L)

LWLDWDDDWW

DEAC 7-2-1 (W-D-L)

WWWWWWDLDW

Head-to-head

Diosgyori VTK II 1–2–3 DEAC (6 last)

DEAC5-0Diosgyori VTK II
Diosgyori VTK II2-2DEAC
DEAC2-0Diosgyori VTK II
Diosgyori VTK II2-1DEAC
DEAC0-0Diosgyori VTK II
Diosgyori VTK II1-4DEAC

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Diosgyori VTK II 1507 · DEAC 1547

	Diosgyori VTK II	Draw	DEAC
Our model	23%	23%	55%
Market	22%	23%	54%

Estimated total (ours) 3.41 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 64%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours DEAC (rating 1507 vs 1547).
H2H favours DEAC: 3-2-1.
High corners: 13.2 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 5.9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Diosgyori VTK II	DEAC
Goals for / against (FT)	1.6 / 1.4	2.7 / 1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.5 / 0.7	1.2 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/40/40%	70/30/0%
Corners (HT / FT)	3 / 7.7	2.8 / 5.5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.7 / 0.3	3.3 / 0

Odds Bet365

14.00

X3.90

21.65

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.75)1.98

2 (-0.75)1.82

Line ⓘ

Over 31.95

Under 31.85

Diff.: 0.35 · xG: 3.35

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 15:13

	Bet365	Best now
1	4.00 → 4.00	Bet365 4.00
X	3.90 → 3.90	Bet365 3.90
2	1.65 → 1.65	Bet365 1.65

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.2%

Time*	1	X	2
14:39 +34’	4.00	3.90	1.65

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Diosgyori VTK II 1–2–3 DEAC

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Date	Home	Score	Away
22/03/26 Hungary NB III	DEAC	5-0 HT 2-0	Diosgyori VTK II
31/08/25 Hungary NB III	Diosgyori VTK II	2-2 HT 0-0	DEAC
25/05/25 Hungary NB III	DEAC	2-0 HT 0-0	Diosgyori VTK II
10/11/24 Hungary NB III	Diosgyori VTK II	2-1 HT 2-1	DEAC
14/04/24 Hungary NB III	DEAC	0-0 HT 0-0	Diosgyori VTK II
01/10/23 Hungary NB III	Diosgyori VTK II	1-4 HT 1-4	DEAC

Standings · Hungary NB III · NB III 26/27, North East

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Ozd Sajovolgye	8	7	0	1	22	6	21
2	Cigand SE	8	7	0	1	21	6	21
3	DEAC	8	5	2	1	20	8	17
4	Godolloi SK	8	5	0	3	12	9	15
5	Egri FC	8	4	1	3	9	15	13
6	Diosgyori VTK II	8	3	4	1	12	10	13
6	Kisvarda II	8	3	4	1	12	10	13
8	Fuzesabonyi SC	8	4	0	4	9	8	12
9	Mateszalkai MTK	8	3	3	2	13	11	12
10	Debreceni II	8	3	1	4	20	19	10
11	FC Tiszaujvaros	8	3	0	5	9	11	9
12	Tiszafured VSE	8	3	0	5	5	10	9
13	Hajdunanas FK	8	2	1	5	12	17	7
14	Salgotarjani BTC	8	2	0	6	6	14	6
15	Nyiregyhaza II	8	1	0	7	10	23	3
16	Tarpa SC	8	1	0	7	5	20	3

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Diosgyori VTK II	DEAC
Fuzesabonyi SC	3-1 W	4-1 W
Hajdunanas FK	2-2 D	4-0 W
Mateszalkai MTK	2-2 D	1-1 D
Debreceni II	0-0 D	3-2 W
Godolloi SK	1-0 W	1-2 L
Kisvarda II	2-2 D	1-1 D
Nyiregyhaza II	1-3 L	4-2 W
Tarpa SC	1-2 L	4-0 W
Record vs common	2 W 4 D 2 L	5 W 2 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: DEAC (5 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Diosgyori VTK II

LWLDWDDDWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
19/09	Fuzesabonyi SC Hungary NB III	0-0	3-1	–	–	W
05/09	Salgotarjani BTC Hungary NB III	0-0	1-0	–	–	W
30/08	Hajdunanas FK Hungary NB III	1-2	2-2	10	1	D
26/08	Mateszalkai MTK Hungary NB III	0-1	2-2	–	–	D
19/08	Debreceni II Hungary NB III	0-0	0-0	–	–	D
16/08	Godolloi SK Hungary NB III	1-0	1-0	5	3	W
09/08	Kisvarda II Hungary NB III	1-1	2-2	8	5	D
25/07	Nyiregyhaza II Hungary NB III	0-1	1-3	–	–	L
24/05	FC Hatvan Hungary NB III	2-1	3-2	–	–	W
17/05	Tarpa SC Hungary NB III	0-1	1-2	–	–	L

DEAC

WWWWWWDLDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
19/09	Hajdunanas FK Hungary NB III	1-0	4-0	–	–	W
05/09	Mateszalkai MTK Hungary NB III	0-0	1-1	5	6	D
30/08	Godolloi SK Hungary NB III	1-1	1-2	7	0	L
26/08	Kisvarda II Hungary NB III	1-0	1-1	–	–	D
15/08	Debreceni II Hungary NB III	1-0	3-2	–	–	W
12/08	Tarpa SC Hungary NB III	1-0	4-0	4	3	W
08/08	Nyiregyhaza II Hungary NB III	1-1	4-2	–	–	W
26/07	Tiszafured VSE Hungary NB III	1-0	2-0	–	–	W
24/05	Nyiregyhaza II Hungary NB III	2-0	3-1	–	–	W
17/05	Fuzesabonyi SC Hungary NB III	3-1	4-1	6	4	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Diosgyori VTK II vs DEAC?

According to our model, the most likely result is an DEAC win (55%). Probabilities: Diosgyori VTK II 23%, draw 23%, DEAC 55%.

How many goals are expected in Diosgyori VTK II vs DEAC?

The model expects 3.41 goals (Diosgyori VTK II 1.31 · DEAC 2.1), with a 52% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Diosgyori VTK II vs DEAC?

The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.