Football · Hungary NB III · 26/09, 15:00

Prediction: Debreceni II vs Tiszafured VSE

Team pages: Debreceni II · Tiszafured VSE

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.76Total

Debreceni II2.25

Tiszafured VSE1.51

1X2

53% 23% 24%

Debreceni II Draw Tiszafured VSE

Markets

Over 3.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 60%

Most likely score

2-1 9%

Recent form · 10 last

Debreceni II 4-1-5 (W-D-L)

WLWLLDWLWL

Tiszafured VSE 5-0-5 (W-D-L)

WWLLLLLWWW

Head-to-head

Debreceni II 1–2–3 Tiszafured VSE (6 last)

Tiszafured VSE1-3Debreceni II
Debreceni II0-2Tiszafured VSE
Debreceni II2-2Tiszafured VSE
Debreceni II1-2Tiszafured VSE
Debreceni II2-3Tiszafured VSE
Tiszafured VSE2-2Debreceni II

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Debreceni II 1501 · Tiszafured VSE 1480

	Debreceni II	Draw	Tiszafured VSE
Our model	54%	22%	25%
Market	53%	23%	24%

Estimated total (ours) 3.76 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.8

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 70%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Tiszafured VSE: 3-2-1.
High corners: 11.2 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 6.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Debreceni II	Tiszafured VSE
Goals for / against (FT)	2.4 / 2.5	1.2 / 1.4
Goals for / against (HT)	0.8 / 1	0.5 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/40/40%	30/20/50%
Corners (HT / FT)	3.3 / 6.8	2.6 / 4.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4 / 0	2.8 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

11.73

X3.90

23.80

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.75)1.95

2 (+0.75)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 31.90

Under 31.90

Diff.: 0.75 · xG: 3.75

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 15:26

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.73 → 1.73	Bet365 1.73
X	3.90 → 3.90	Bet365 3.90
2	3.80 → 3.80	Bet365 3.80

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 9.9%

Time*	1	X	2
15:17 +10’	1.73	3.90	3.80

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Debreceni II 1–2–3 Tiszafured VSE

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Date	Home	Score	Away
08/03/26 Hungary NB III	Tiszafured VSE	1-3 HT 1-1	Debreceni II
17/08/25 Hungary NB III	Debreceni II	0-2 HT 0-1	Tiszafured VSE
22/03/25 Hungary NB III	Debreceni II	2-2 HT 0-1	Tiszafured VSE
26/05/24 Hungary NB III	Debreceni II	1-2 HT 1-1	Tiszafured VSE
22/08/21 Hungary NB III	Debreceni II	2-3 HT 1-1	Tiszafured VSE
09/09/20 Hungary NB III	Tiszafured VSE	2-2 HT 0-0	Debreceni II

Standings · Hungary NB III · NB III 26/27, North East

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Ozd Sajovolgye	8	7	0	1	22	6	21
2	Cigand SE	8	7	0	1	21	6	21
3	DEAC	8	5	2	1	20	8	17
4	Godolloi SK	8	5	0	3	12	9	15
5	Egri FC	8	4	1	3	9	15	13
6	Diosgyori VTK II	8	3	4	1	12	10	13
6	Kisvarda II	8	3	4	1	12	10	13
8	Fuzesabonyi SC	8	4	0	4	9	8	12
9	Mateszalkai MTK	8	3	3	2	13	11	12
10	Debreceni II	8	3	1	4	20	19	10
11	FC Tiszaujvaros	8	3	0	5	9	11	9
12	Tiszafured VSE	8	3	0	5	5	10	9
13	Hajdunanas FK	8	2	1	5	12	17	7
14	Salgotarjani BTC	8	2	0	6	6	14	6
15	Nyiregyhaza II	8	1	0	7	10	23	3
16	Tarpa SC	8	1	0	7	5	20	3

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Debreceni II	Tiszafured VSE
Cigand SE	2-4 L	0-2 L
FC Tiszaujvaros	3-1 W	0-1 L
Ozd Sajovolgye	2-5 L	0-2 L
Egri FC	5-2 W	0-1 L
DEAC	2-3 L	0-2 L
Record vs common	2 W 0 D 3 L	0 W 0 D 5 L

Better against common opponents: Debreceni II (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Debreceni II

WLWLLDWLWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
19/09	Cigand SE Hungary NB III	1-3	2-4	–	–	L
05/09	FC Tiszaujvaros Hungary NB III	2-0	3-1	11	6	W
29/08	Ozd Sajovolgye Hungary NB III	1-2	2-5	–	–	L
26/08	Egri FC Hungary NB III	1-1	5-2	5	4	W
19/08	Diosgyori VTK II Hungary NB III	0-0	0-0	–	–	D
15/08	DEAC Hungary NB III	0-1	2-3	–	–	L
08/08	Fuzesabonyi SC Hungary NB III	1-1	1-2	6	0	L
25/07	Hajdunanas FK Hungary NB III	2-1	5-2	–	–	W
24/05	Cigand SE Hungary NB III	0-1	0-5	–	–	L
17/05	FC Tiszaujvaros Hungary NB III	0-0	4-1	5	6	W

Tiszafured VSE

WWLLLLLWWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
19/09	Nyiregyhaza II Hungary NB III	2-0	2-1	–	–	W
06/09	Tarpa SC Hungary NB III	0-0	1-0	–	–	W
29/08	Salgotarjani BTC Hungary NB III	1-0	2-1	–	–	W
26/08	Cigand SE Hungary NB III	0-2	0-2	7	5	L
15/08	FC Tiszaujvaros Hungary NB III	0-0	0-1	6	0	L
12/08	Egri FC Hungary NB III	0-1	0-1	2	4	L
08/08	Ozd Sajovolgye Hungary NB III	0-1	0-2	5	4	L
26/07	DEAC Hungary NB III	0-1	0-2	–	–	L
24/05	Ozd Sajovolgye Hungary NB III	2-1	3-2	2	2	W
17/05	Egri FC Hungary NB III	0-1	4-2	–	–	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Debreceni II vs Tiszafured VSE?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Debreceni II win (53%). Probabilities: Debreceni II 53%, draw 23%, Tiszafured VSE 24%.

How many goals are expected in Debreceni II vs Tiszafured VSE?

The model expects 3.76 goals (Debreceni II 2.25 · Tiszafured VSE 1.51), with a 57% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Debreceni II vs Tiszafured VSE?

The model gives a 60% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.