Football · Hungary NB III · 26/08, 17:30

Prediction: Erdi VSE vs Pecsi MFC

Team pages: Erdi VSE · Pecsi MFC

Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.55Total
Erdi VSE1.3
Pecsi MFC2.25
1X2
20% 22% 58%
Erdi VSE Draw Pecsi MFC
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 53% Both teams to score 58%
Most likely score
1-2 9%
Recent form · 10 last
Erdi VSE 5-3-2 (W-D-L)
LWLWWWDDWD
Pecsi MFC 9-1-0 (W-D-L)
WWDWWWWWWW
Head-to-head
Erdi VSE 0–2–1 Pecsi MFC (3 last)
  • Pecsi MFC7-2Erdi VSE
  • Erdi VSE0-0Pecsi MFC
  • Pecsi MFC1-1Erdi VSE
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Erdi VSE 1519 · Pecsi MFC 1619
Erdi VSEDrawPecsi MFC
Our model21%22%58%
Market20%23%57%
Estimated total (ours) 3.55 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 69%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Pecsi MFC (rating 1519 vs 1619).
  • High corners: 13.1 combined avg.
  • Cards-heavy: 10.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Erdi VSEPecsi MFC
Goals for / against (FT)2 / 1.72.8 / 0.7
Goals for / against (HT)1 / 0.51.3 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)40/40/20%56/22/22%
Corners (HT / FT)3.6 / 5.42.8 / 7.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)6.1 / 04.2 / 0.2

Head-to-head (H2H) · Erdi VSE 021 Pecsi MFC

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DateHomeScoreAway
23/11/25
Hungary NB III
Pecsi MFC7-2
HT 3-2
Erdi VSE
06/08/25
Hungary NB III
Erdi VSE0-0
HT 0-0
Pecsi MFC
01/03/20
Club Friendly List
Pecsi MFC1-1
HT 1-1
Erdi VSE

Standings · Hungary NB III · NB III 26/27, South West

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Pecsi MFC 4400 14112
2 Kaposvari Rakoczi 3300 1219
3 Ivancsa 4301 1039
4 PEAC FC 4301 549
5 Budafoki MTE 4211 547
6 Budaorsi SC 4211 7117
7 MTK Budapest II 4202 1356
8 Erdi VSE 3120 755
9 Majosi SE 4112 774
10 BFC Siofok 4112 454
10 Ferencvarosi TC II 3111 454
12 Dunaharaszti MTK 4112 364
13 Paksi SE II 4022 592
14 Dunaujvaros FC 1001 030
15 Sarbogard SE 4004 1120
16 Szekszardi 4004 0160

Common opponents 2 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentErdi VSEPecsi MFC
Dunaharaszti MTK 1-1 D 2-0 W
Majosi SE 3-3 D 3-1 W
Record vs common 0 W 2 D 0 L 2 W 0 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Pecsi MFC (2 of 2 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Erdi VSE

LWLWWWDDWD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
15/08 Dunaharaszti MTK
Hungary NB III
1-1 1-1 D
08/08 Paksi SE II
Hungary NB III
3-0 3-1 54 W
25/07 Budaorsi SC
Hungary NB III
1-1 3-3 77 D
24/05 Majosi SE
Hungary NB III
1-0 3-3 87 D
17/05 Kaposvari Rakoczi
Hungary NB III
2-0 2-1 W
10/05 BFC Siofok
Hungary NB III
1-0 2-1 28 W
02/05 Balatonlelle SE
Hungary NB III
1-2 3-2 87 W
26/04 FC Nagykanizsa
Hungary NB III
0-1 1-3 67 L
19/04 Ivancsa
Hungary NB III
0-0 2-1 54 W
11/04 PEAC FC
Hungary NB III
0-0 0-1 25 L

Pecsi MFC

WWDWWWWWWW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
15/08 Ferencvarosi TC II
Hungary NB III
3-0 W
12/08 Sarbogard SE
Hungary NB III
2-0 6-0 W
08/08 Majosi SE
Hungary NB III
2-0 3-1 W
25/07 Dunaharaszti MTK
Hungary NB III
1-0 2-0 103 W
24/05 Penzugyor SE
Hungary NB III
1-0 1-0 111 W
17/05 Ferencvarosi TC II
Hungary NB III
2-3 4-3 55 W
10/05 Dunaujvaros FC
Hungary NB III
0-0 2-0 44 W
03/05 MTK Budapest II
Hungary NB III
1-1 1-1 99 D
26/04 Szekszardi
Hungary NB III
3-1 4-1 W
19/04 Majosi SE
Hungary NB III
0-1 2-1 74 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Erdi VSE vs Pecsi MFC?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Pecsi MFC win (58%). Probabilities: Erdi VSE 20%, draw 22%, Pecsi MFC 58%.

How many goals are expected in Erdi VSE vs Pecsi MFC?

The model expects 3.55 goals (Erdi VSE 1.3 · Pecsi MFC 2.25), with a 54% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Erdi VSE vs Pecsi MFC?

The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-2.