Football · Hungary NB III · 30/08, 17:30

Prediction: Pecsi MFC vs Ivancsa

Team pages: Pecsi MFC · Ivancsa

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.92Total

Pecsi MFC1.99

Ivancsa0.93

1X2

62% 22% 17%

Pecsi MFC Draw Ivancsa

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 56% Both teams to score 53%

Most likely score

1-1 11%

Recent form · 10 last

Pecsi MFC 9-1-0 (W-D-L)

WDWWWWWWWW

Ivancsa 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

LWDDLWWLWL

Head-to-head

Pecsi MFC 2–2–0 Ivancsa (4 last)

Ivancsa0-1Pecsi MFC
Pecsi MFC3-2Ivancsa
Pecsi MFC1-1Ivancsa
Pecsi MFC2-2Ivancsa

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Pecsi MFC 1631 · Ivancsa 1517

	Pecsi MFC	Draw	Ivancsa
Our model	61%	23%	16%
Market	62%	21%	17%

Estimated total (ours) 2.92 goals · Bet365 line 3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 59%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Pecsi MFC (rating 1631 vs 1517).
H2H favours Pecsi MFC: 2-2-0.
High corners: 15.5 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 7.6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Pecsi MFC	Ivancsa
Goals for / against (FT)	2.8 / 0.7	1.7 / 1.2
Goals for / against (HT)	1.4 / 0.7	0.8 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	56/33/11%	33/44/22%
Corners (HT / FT)	3.5 / 7.7	4 / 7.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4 / 0.2	3.6 / 0

Odds Bet365

11.45

X4.33

25.25

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1.25)1.98

2 (+1.25)1.82

Line ⓘ

Over 31.90

Under 31.90

Diff.: 0.2 · xG: 3.2

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 11:48

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.53 → 1.45▼	Bet365 1.45
X	4.20 → 4.33▲	Bet365 4.33
2	4.50 → 5.25▲	Bet365 5.25

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 11.1%

Time*	1	X	2
05:39 +8’	1.53	4.20	4.50
11:40 +8’	1.45▼	4.33▲	5.25▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Pecsi MFC 2–2–0 Ivancsa

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Date	Home	Score	Away
14/03/26 Hungary NB III	Ivancsa	0-1 HT 0-0	Pecsi MFC
27/08/25 Hungary NB III	Pecsi MFC	3-2 HT 2-0	Ivancsa
20/10/24 Hungary NB III	Pecsi MFC	1-1 HT 1-0	Ivancsa
10/03/19 Hungary NB III	Pecsi MFC	2-2 HT 1-0	Ivancsa

Standings · Hungary NB III · NB III 26/27, South West

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Pecsi MFC	5	5	0	0	16	2	15
2	Kaposvari Rakoczi	4	4	0	0	15	2	12
3	PEAC FC	5	4	0	1	11	5	12
4	Ferencvarosi TC II	5	3	1	1	10	5	10
5	Budafoki MTE	5	3	1	1	9	4	10
6	MTK Budapest II	5	3	0	2	17	7	9
7	Ivancsa	5	3	0	2	11	6	9
8	Dunaharaszti MTK	5	2	1	2	6	7	7
9	Budaorsi SC	5	2	1	2	8	17	7
10	Erdi VSE	4	1	2	1	8	7	5
11	BFC Siofok	5	1	2	2	5	6	5
12	Majosi SE	5	1	1	3	7	12	4
13	Paksi SE II	6	0	2	4	8	16	2
14	Sarbogard SE	6	0	1	5	2	14	1
15	Dunaujvaros FC	1	0	0	1	0	3	0
16	Szekszardi	5	0	0	5	0	20	0

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Pecsi MFC	Ivancsa
Erdi VSE	2-1 W	1-2 L
Dunaharaszti MTK	2-0 W	1-3 L
MTK Budapest II	1-1 D	0-0 D
Szekszardi	4-1 W	4-0 W
Record vs common	3 W 1 D 0 L	1 W 1 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Pecsi MFC (2 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Pecsi MFC

WDWWWWWWWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
26/08	Erdi VSE Hungary NB III	1-1	2-1	7	3	W
15/08	Ferencvarosi TC II Hungary NB III	–	3-0	–	–	W
12/08	Sarbogard SE Hungary NB III	2-0	6-0	–	–	W
08/08	Majosi SE Hungary NB III	2-0	3-1	–	–	W
25/07	Dunaharaszti MTK Hungary NB III	1-0	2-0	10	3	W
24/05	Penzugyor SE Hungary NB III	1-0	1-0	11	1	W
17/05	Ferencvarosi TC II Hungary NB III	2-3	4-3	5	5	W
10/05	Dunaujvaros FC Hungary NB III	0-0	2-0	4	4	W
03/05	MTK Budapest II Hungary NB III	1-1	1-1	9	9	D
26/04	Szekszardi Hungary NB III	3-1	4-1	–	–	W

Ivancsa

LWDDLWWLWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
26/08	Dunaharaszti MTK Hungary NB III	1-1	1-3	–	–	L
15/08	Paksi SE II Hungary NB III	–	2-0	–	–	W
12/08	Budaorsi SC Hungary NB III	0-2	1-3	8	6	L
25/07	Szekszardi Hungary NB III	2-0	4-0	11	2	W
24/05	Balatonlelle SE Hungary NB III	3-0	3-1	3	3	W
17/05	FC Nagykanizsa Hungary NB III	0-1	1-2	–	–	L
10/05	MTK Budapest II Hungary NB III	0-0	0-0	–	–	D
03/05	PEAC FC Hungary NB III	0-0	1-1	8	3	D
26/04	Dombovari FC Hungary NB III	1-0	3-0	–	–	W
19/04	Erdi VSE Hungary NB III	0-0	1-2	9	4	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Pecsi MFC vs Ivancsa?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Pecsi MFC win (62%). Probabilities: Pecsi MFC 62%, draw 22%, Ivancsa 17%.

How many goals are expected in Pecsi MFC vs Ivancsa?

The model expects 2.92 goals (Pecsi MFC 1.99 · Ivancsa 0.93), with a 53% chance of under 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Pecsi MFC vs Ivancsa?

The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.