Football · Hungary NB III · 25/07, 19:00

Prediction: Pecsi MFC vs Dunaharaszti MTK

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.4Total

Pecsi MFC2.3

Dunaharaszti MTK1.1

1X2

64% 20% 16%

Pecsi MFC Draw Dunaharaszti MTK

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 56% Both teams to score 56%

Most likely score

2-1

Recent form · 10 last

Pecsi MFC 7-2-1 (W-D-L)

WWLWWDWWWD

Dunaharaszti MTK 2-5-3 (W-D-L)

WLWLLDDDDD

Head-to-head

Pecsi MFC 1–0 Dunaharaszti MTK (1 last)

Pecsi MFC2-0Dunaharaszti MTK

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Pecsi MFC 1582 · Dunaharaszti MTK 1486

	Pecsi MFC	Draw	Dunaharaszti MTK
Our model	64%	21%	16%
Market	64%	20%	16%

Estimated total (ours) 3.4 goals · Bet365 line 3.25

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 74%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Pecsi MFC (rating 1582 vs 1486).
Cards-heavy: 8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Pecsi MFC	Dunaharaszti MTK
Goals for / against (FT)	2.3 / 0.9	2 / 1.6
Goals for / against (HT)	1.4 / 0.7	0.8 / 1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/40/20%	10/70/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.4 / 6.3	2.8 / 4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.6 / 0.1	4.4 / 0.4

Odds Bet365

11.40

X4.50

25.50

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1.5)2.00

2 (+1.5)1.80

Line ⓘ

Over 3.251.85

Under 3.251.95

Diff.: 0.15 · xG: 3.4

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 03:14

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.40 → 1.40	Bet365 1.40
X	4.50 → 4.50	Bet365 4.50
2	5.50 → 5.50	Bet365 5.50

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.8%

Time*	1	X	2
03:12 +2’	1.40	4.50	5.50

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Pecsi MFC 1–0–0 Dunaharaszti MTK

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
01/09/24 Hungary NB III	Pecsi MFC	2-0 HT 1-0	Dunaharaszti MTK

Standings · Hungary NB III · NB III 26/27, South West

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	BFC Siofok	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Budafoki MTE	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Budaorsi SC	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Dunaharaszti MTK	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Dunaujvaros FC	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Erdi VSE	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Ferencvarosi TC II	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Ivancsa	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Kaposvari Rakoczi	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Majosi SE	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	MTK Budapest II	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Paksi SE II	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Pecsi MFC	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	PEAC FC	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Sarbogard SE	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Szekszardi	0	0	0	0	0	0

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

Pecsi MFC

WWLWWDWWWD

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
04/07	Kozarmisleny SE Europe Friendlies	0-0	1-1	1	1	D
24/05	Penzugyor SE Hungary NB III	1-0	1-0	11	1	W
17/05	Ferencvarosi TC II Hungary NB III	2-3	4-3	5	5	W
10/05	Dunaujvaros FC Hungary NB III	0-0	2-0	4	4	W
03/05	MTK Budapest II Hungary NB III	1-1	1-1	9	9	D
26/04	Szekszardi Hungary NB III	3-1	4-1	–	–	W
19/04	Majosi SE Hungary NB III	0-1	2-1	7	4	W
11/04	Kaposvari Rakoczi Hungary NB III	1-1	1-2	–	–	L
05/04	BFC Siofok Hungary NB III	4-0	4-0	7	2	W
29/03	Balatonlelle SE Hungary NB III	2-0	3-0	–	–	W

Dunaharaszti MTK

WLWLLDDDDD

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
19/07	Bicskei TC Europe Friendlies	1-3	4-4	4	1	D
24/05	Bekescsabai Elore SE II Hungary NB III	0-0	0-0	7	7	D
17/05	Vasas SC II Hungary NB III	2-2	4-4	6	4	D
10/05	Szeged-Csanad Grosics II Hungary NB III	0-0	0-0	2	5	D
03/05	FC Dabas Hungary NB III	0-0	0-0	–	–	D
26/04	Csepel FC Hungary NB III	2-2	2-3	3	5	L
19/04	Monori SE Hungary NB III	0-2	0-2	4	2	L
11/04	Tiszafoldvar Hungary NB III	2-0	6-0	–	–	W
05/04	III Keruleti TUE Hungary NB III	1-1	1-3	2	6	L
29/03	Hodmezovasarhelyi Hungary NB III	0-0	3-0	4	8	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Pecsi MFC vs Dunaharaszti MTK?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Pecsi MFC win (64%). Probabilities: Pecsi MFC 64%, draw 20%, Dunaharaszti MTK 16%.

How many goals are expected in Pecsi MFC vs Dunaharaszti MTK?

The model expects 3.4 goals (Pecsi MFC 2.3 · Dunaharaszti MTK 1.1), with a 51% chance of over 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Pecsi MFC vs Dunaharaszti MTK?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.