Football · Hungary NB III · 29/08, 17:30

Prediction: Dunaharaszti MTK vs Kaposvari Rakoczi

Team pages: Dunaharaszti MTK · Kaposvari Rakoczi

Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.05Total
Dunaharaszti MTK1.21
Kaposvari Rakoczi1.84
1X2
25% 24% 52%
Dunaharaszti MTK Draw Kaposvari Rakoczi
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 64% Both teams to score 56%
Most likely score
1-1 12%
Recent form · 10 last
Dunaharaszti MTK 2-5-3 (W-D-L)
LDDDDLLWDW
Kaposvari Rakoczi 7-0-3 (W-D-L)
WLWLLWWWWW
Head-to-head
Dunaharaszti MTK 0–1–0 Kaposvari Rakoczi (1 last)
  • Dunaharaszti MTK1-1Kaposvari Rakoczi
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Dunaharaszti MTK 1512 · Kaposvari Rakoczi 1567
Dunaharaszti MTKDrawKaposvari Rakoczi
Our model24%25%51%
Market25%23%52%
Estimated total (ours) 3.05 goals · Bet365 line 3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 70%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Kaposvari Rakoczi (rating 1512 vs 1567).
  • Cards-heavy: 6.5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Dunaharaszti MTKKaposvari Rakoczi
Goals for / against (FT)1.2 / 1.42.8 / 1
Goals for / against (HT)0.8 / 0.91.6 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)10/70/20%60/10/30%
Corners (HT / FT)2.3 / 3.73.5 / 5.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)3.9 / 0.12.7 / 0.3

Head-to-head (H2H) · Dunaharaszti MTK 010 Kaposvari Rakoczi

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DateHomeScoreAway
03/11/24
Hungary NB III
Dunaharaszti MTK1-1
HT 0-1
Kaposvari Rakoczi

Standings · Hungary NB III · NB III 26/27, South West

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Pecsi MFC 5500 16215
2 Kaposvari Rakoczi 4400 15212
3 PEAC FC 5401 11512
4 Budafoki MTE 5311 9410
5 Ivancsa 5302 1169
6 Ferencvarosi TC II 4211 957
7 Dunaharaszti MTK 5212 677
8 Budaorsi SC 5212 8177
9 MTK Budapest II 4202 1356
10 Erdi VSE 4121 875
11 BFC Siofok 5122 565
12 Majosi SE 5113 7124
13 Paksi SE II 5023 6122
14 Sarbogard SE 5014 2131
15 Dunaujvaros FC 1001 030
16 Szekszardi 5005 0200

Common opponents 2 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentDunaharaszti MTKKaposvari Rakoczi
Erdi VSE 1-1 D 1-2 L
Ferencvarosi TC II 0-2 L 0-1 L
Record vs common 0 W 1 D 1 L 0 W 0 D 2 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Dunaharaszti MTK

LDDDDLLWDW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
26/08 Ivancsa
Hungary NB III
1-1 3-1 W
15/08 Erdi VSE
Hungary NB III
1-1 1-1 D
12/08 Majosi SE
Hungary NB III
2-1 2-1 32 W
08/08 Ferencvarosi TC II
Hungary NB III
0-1 0-2 22 L
25/07 Pecsi MFC
Hungary NB III
0-1 0-2 33 L
24/05 Bekescsabai Elore SE II
Hungary NB III
0-0 0-0 77 D
17/05 Vasas SC II
Hungary NB III
2-2 4-4 64 D
10/05 Szeged-Csanad Grosics II
Hungary NB III
0-0 0-0 25 D
03/05 FC Dabas
Hungary NB III
0-0 0-0 D
26/04 Csepel FC
Hungary NB III
2-2 2-3 35 L

Kaposvari Rakoczi

WLWLLWWWWW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
26/08 Paksi SE II
Hungary NB III
1-0 3-1 34 W
12/08 Szekszardi
Hungary NB III
2-0 3-0 71 W
08/08 Budaorsi SC
Hungary NB III
4-0 7-0 W
25/07 BFC Siofok
Hungary NB III
2-0 2-1 W
24/05 Dombovari FC
Hungary NB III
4-1 6-2 W
17/05 Erdi VSE
Hungary NB III
0-2 1-2 L
10/05 Paksi SE II
Hungary NB III
0-1 1-2 L
03/05 Penzugyor SE
Hungary NB III
1-1 3-1 64 W
26/04 Ferencvarosi TC II
Hungary NB III
0-1 0-1 L
19/04 Dunaujvaros FC
Hungary NB III
2-0 2-0 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Dunaharaszti MTK vs Kaposvari Rakoczi?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Kaposvari Rakoczi win (52%). Probabilities: Dunaharaszti MTK 25%, draw 24%, Kaposvari Rakoczi 52%.

How many goals are expected in Dunaharaszti MTK vs Kaposvari Rakoczi?

The model expects 3.05 goals (Dunaharaszti MTK 1.21 · Kaposvari Rakoczi 1.84), with a 51% chance of under 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Dunaharaszti MTK vs Kaposvari Rakoczi?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.