Football · Hungary NB III · 25/07, 17:30

Prediction: Ivancsa vs Szekszardi

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.71Total

Ivancsa2.32

Szekszardi1.38

1X2

57% 22% 21%

Ivancsa Draw Szekszardi

Markets

Over 3.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 59%

Most likely score

2-1

Recent form · 10 last

Ivancsa 4-3-3 (W-D-L)

LWDWLWDDLW

Szekszardi 2-1-7 (W-D-L)

WLLLLLLLDW

Head-to-head

Ivancsa 2–1 Szekszardi (3 last)

Szekszardi6-0Ivancsa
Ivancsa4-0Szekszardi
Ivancsa6-2Szekszardi

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Ivancsa 1520 · Szekszardi 1433

	Ivancsa	Draw	Szekszardi
Our model	58%	21%	21%
Market	57%	22%	21%

Estimated total (ours) 3.71 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.7

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 67%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Ivancsa (rating 1520 vs 1433).
H2H favours Ivancsa: 2-0-1.
Cards-heavy: 8.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Ivancsa	Szekszardi
Goals for / against (FT)	1.8 / 0.9	1.4 / 2.9
Goals for / against (HT)	0.7 / 0.2	0.5 / 1.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/50/10%	10/20/70%
Corners (HT / FT)	4.2 / 7	2 / 3.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3 / 0	5.3 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

11.57

X4.00

24.33

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1)1.95

2 (+1)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 31.85

Under 31.95

Diff.: 0.5 · xG: 3.5

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 03:13

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.57 → 1.57	Bet365 1.57
X	4.00 → 4.00	Bet365 4.00
2	4.33 → 4.33	Bet365 4.33

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.7%

Time*	1	X	2
02:51 +22’	1.57	4.00	4.33

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Ivancsa 2–0–1 Szekszardi

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Date	Home	Score	Away
08/03/26 Hungary NB III	Szekszardi	6-0 HT 3-0	Ivancsa
17/08/25 Hungary NB III	Ivancsa	4-0 HT 2-0	Szekszardi
14/01/23 Club Friendly List	Ivancsa	6-2 HT 3-0	Szekszardi

Standings · Hungary NB III · NB III 26/27, South West

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	BFC Siofok	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Budafoki MTE	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Budaorsi SC	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Dunaharaszti MTK	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Dunaujvaros FC	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Erdi VSE	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Ferencvarosi TC II	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Ivancsa	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Kaposvari Rakoczi	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Majosi SE	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	MTK Budapest II	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Paksi SE II	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Pecsi MFC	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	PEAC FC	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Sarbogard SE	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Szekszardi	0	0	0	0	0	0

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Ivancsa	Szekszardi
Balatonlelle SE	3-1 W	1-0 W
MTK Budapest II	0-0 D	0-4 L
Paksi SE II	3-0 W	3-2 W
Penzugyor SE	2-2 D	2-2 D
Ferencvarosi TC II	4-0 W	2-3 L
Dunaujvaros FC	0-1 L	1-3 L
Record vs common	3 W 2 D 1 L	2 W 1 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Ivancsa (5 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Ivancsa

LWDWLWDDLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
24/05	Balatonlelle SE Hungary NB III	3-0	3-1	3	3	W
17/05	FC Nagykanizsa Hungary NB III	0-1	1-2	–	–	L
10/05	MTK Budapest II Hungary NB III	0-0	0-0	–	–	D
03/05	PEAC FC Hungary NB III	0-0	1-1	8	3	D
26/04	Dombovari FC Hungary NB III	1-0	3-0	–	–	W
19/04	Erdi VSE Hungary NB III	0-0	1-2	9	4	L
11/04	Paksi SE II Hungary NB III	1-0	3-0	–	–	W
05/04	Penzugyor SE Hungary NB III	1-1	2-2	7	3	D
29/03	Ferencvarosi TC II Hungary NB III	1-0	4-0	8	2	W
22/03	Dunaujvaros FC Hungary NB III	0-0	0-1	–	–	L

Szekszardi

WLLLLLLLDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
24/05	Paksi SE II Hungary NB III	2-0	3-2	–	–	W
17/05	Penzugyor SE Hungary NB III	0-1	2-2	6	11	D
10/05	Ferencvarosi TC II Hungary NB III	0-0	2-3	3	5	L
03/05	Dunaujvaros FC Hungary NB III	0-2	1-3	–	–	L
26/04	Pecsi MFC Hungary NB III	1-3	1-4	–	–	L
19/04	MTK Budapest II Hungary NB III	0-1	0-4	0	3	L
11/04	Majosi SE Hungary NB III	2-3	4-5	–	–	L
05/04	Kaposvari Rakoczi Hungary NB III	0-2	0-3	4	3	L
29/03	BFC Siofok Hungary NB III	0-1	0-3	–	–	L
22/03	Balatonlelle SE Hungary NB III	0-0	1-0	–	–	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Ivancsa vs Szekszardi?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Ivancsa win (57%). Probabilities: Ivancsa 57%, draw 22%, Szekszardi 21%.

How many goals are expected in Ivancsa vs Szekszardi?

The model expects 3.71 goals (Ivancsa 2.32 · Szekszardi 1.38), with a 57% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Ivancsa vs Szekszardi?

The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.