Football · Argentina Championship Women · 22/07, 20:00
Prediction: Union Santa Fe (W) vs Newell's Old Boys (W)
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.06Total
Union Santa Fe (W)0.88
Newell's Old Boys (W)1.18
1X2
Union Santa Fe (W)
Draw
Newell's Old Boys (W)
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 66%
Not both to score 51%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Union Santa Fe (W)
0-2-8 (W-D-L)
Newell's Old Boys (W)
0-1-9 (W-D-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Union Santa Fe (W) 1410 · Newell's Old Boys (W) 1382
| Union Santa Fe (W) | Draw | Newell's Old Boys (W) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 26% | 33% | 42% |
| Market | 27% | 30% | 43% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.06 goals · Bet365 line 2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 62%model estimate
Match keys
- Cards-heavy: 7.9 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Union Santa Fe (W) | Newell's Old Boys (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.5 / 2.1 | 0.1 / 1.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.3 / 1 | 0 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/40/50% | 0/70/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.3 / 2.5 | 0.8 / 2.4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.5 / 0.2 | 4.4 / 0.2 |
Standings · Argentina Championship Women
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Racing Club (W) | 14 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 33 | 9 | 35 |
| 2 | San Lorenzo (W) | 14 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 27 | 5 | 35 |
| 3 | River Plate (W) | 15 | 9 | 2 | 4 | 30 | 15 | 29 |
| 4 | CA Talleres de Cordoba (W) | 14 | 6 | 7 | 1 | 20 | 9 | 25 |
| 5 | Gimnasia LP (W) | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 26 | 24 | 25 |
| 6 | Belgrano (W) | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 11 | 9 | 25 |
| 7 | Boca Juniors (W) | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 16 | 12 | 22 |
| 8 | Ferro Carril Oeste (W) | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 14 | 12 | 19 |
| 9 | Banfield (W) | 14 | 6 | 1 | 7 | 14 | 19 | 19 |
| 10 | Social Atletico Television (W) | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
| 11 | San Luis FC (W) | 14 | 3 | 7 | 4 | 15 | 13 | 16 |
| 12 | Huracan (W) | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 8 | 15 | 14 |
| 13 | CA Independiente Women | 15 | 4 | 1 | 10 | 10 | 25 | 13 |
| 14 | Lanus (W) | 14 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 8 | 22 | 12 |
| 15 | Newell's Old Boys (W) | 14 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 3 | 22 | 5 |
| 16 | Union Santa Fe (W) | 14 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 9 | 32 | 3 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Union Santa Fe (W) | Newell's Old Boys (W) |
|---|---|---|
| Racing Club (W) | 1-2 L | 0-1 L |
| San Lorenzo (W) | 1-2 L | 0-5 L |
| CA Talleres de Cordoba (W) | 0-0 D | 0-4 L |
| Social Atletico Television (W) | 0-5 L | 0-0 D |
| CA Independiente Women | 2-2 D | 0-1 L |
| Huracan (W) | 0-1 L | 0-2 L |
| Record vs common | 0 W 2 D 4 L | 0 W 1 D 5 L |
Better against common opponents: Union Santa Fe (W) (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Union Santa Fe (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/07 | Racing Club (W) Argentina Championship Women |
0-1 | 1-2 | 0 | 5 | L |
| 08/07 | San Lorenzo (W) Argentina Championship Women |
1-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 4 | L |
| 04/07 | CA Talleres de Cordoba (W) Argentina Championship Women |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | D |
| 28/06 | Ferro Carril Oeste (W) Argentina Championship Women |
0-2 | 1-2 | 4 | 7 | L |
| 20/06 | Boca Juniors (W) Argentina Championship Women |
0-2 | 0-3 | 0 | 3 | L |
| 13/06 | Lanus (W) Argentina Championship Women |
0-1 | 0-1 | 6 | 6 | L |
| 23/05 | San Luis FC (W) Argentina Championship Women |
0-0 | 0-3 | 1 | 1 | L |
| 16/05 | Social Atletico Television (W) Argentina Championship Women |
0-2 | 0-5 | 1 | 0 | L |
| 09/05 | CA Independiente Women Argentina Championship Women |
2-1 | 2-2 | 6 | 5 | D |
| 03/05 | Huracan (W) Argentina Championship Women |
0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 3 | L |
Newell's Old Boys (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/07 | CA Independiente Women Argentina Championship Women |
0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 3 | L |
| 08/07 | Huracan (W) Argentina Championship Women |
0-1 | 0-2 | 0 | 4 | L |
| 04/07 | Belgrano (W) Argentina Championship Women |
0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 6 | L |
| 26/06 | River Plate (W) Argentina Championship Women |
0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 5 | L |
| 21/06 | Banfield (W) Argentina Championship Women |
0-1 | 0-2 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 14/06 | Gimnasia LP (W) Argentina Championship Women |
0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 6 | L |
| 24/05 | Social Atletico Television (W) Argentina Championship Women |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 5 | D |
| 15/05 | Racing Club (W) Argentina Championship Women |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 8 | L |
| 08/05 | San Lorenzo (W) Argentina Championship Women |
0-2 | 0-5 | 1 | 1 | L |
| 03/05 | CA Talleres de Cordoba (W) Argentina Championship Women |
0-0 | 0-4 | 1 | 4 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Union Santa Fe (W) vs Newell's Old Boys (W)?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Newell's Old Boys (W) win (42%). Probabilities: Union Santa Fe (W) 27%, draw 31%, Newell's Old Boys (W) 42%.
How many goals are expected in Union Santa Fe (W) vs Newell's Old Boys (W)?
The model expects 2.06 goals (Union Santa Fe (W) 0.88 · Newell's Old Boys (W) 1.18), with a 50% chance of over 2 goals.
Will both teams score in Union Santa Fe (W) vs Newell's Old Boys (W)?
The model gives a 51% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.