Football · Argentina Championship Women · 22/07, 17:00

Prediction: Social Atletico Television (W) vs Ferro Carril Oeste (W)

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.1Total

Social Atletico Television (W)1.12

Ferro Carril Oeste (W)0.98

1X2

38% 32% 31%

Social Atletico Television (W) Draw Ferro Carril Oeste (W)

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 65% Not both to score 51%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

Social Atletico Television (W) 3-3-4 (W-D-L)

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Ferro Carril Oeste (W) 4-3-3 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Social Atletico Television (W) 3–2 Ferro Carril Oeste (W) (5 last)

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Social Atletico Television (W) 1490 · Ferro Carril Oeste (W) 1509

	Social Atletico Television (W)	Draw	Ferro Carril Oeste (W)
Our model	37%	33%	30%
Market	38%	31%	31%

Estimated total (ours) 2.1 goals · Bet365 line 2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 59%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Social Atletico Television (W): 3-0-2.
Cards-heavy: 8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Social Atletico Television (W)	Ferro Carril Oeste (W)
Goals for / against (FT)	1.1 / 1.1	1.3 / 0.9
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 0.6	0.7 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/40/30%	30/70/0%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.8 / 3.3	2.1 / 4.1
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.3 / 0.2	4.7 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

12.35

X2.90

22.88

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)2.05

2 (+0.25)1.75

Line ⓘ

Over 21.80

Under 22.00

Diff.: 0.2 · xG: 2.2

View on Bet365 ↗

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 16:04

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.35 → 2.35	Bet365 2.35
X	2.90 → 2.90	Bet365 2.90
2	2.88 → 2.88	Bet365 2.88

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.8%

Time*	1	X	2
15:41 +23’	2.35	2.90	2.88

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Social Atletico Television (W) 3–0–2 Ferro Carril Oeste (W)

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Date	Home	Score	Away
14/09/25 Argentina Championship Women	Social Atletico Television (W)	1-0 HT 0-0	Ferro Carril Oeste (W)
13/04/25 Argentina Championship Women	Social Atletico Television (W)	1-0 HT 1-0	Ferro Carril Oeste (W)
11/05/24 Argentina Championship Women	Social Atletico Television (W)	1-3 HT 1-2	Ferro Carril Oeste (W)
10/05/23 Argentina Championship Women	Ferro Carril Oeste (W)	0-1 HT 0-1	Social Atletico Television (W)
08/03/22 Argentina Championship Women	Ferro Carril Oeste (W)	2-0 HT 0-0	Social Atletico Television (W)

Standings · Argentina Championship Women

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Racing Club (W)	14	11	2	1	33	9	35
2	San Lorenzo (W)	14	11	2	1	27	5	35
3	River Plate (W)	15	9	2	4	30	15	29
4	CA Talleres de Cordoba (W)	14	6	7	1	20	9	25
5	Gimnasia LP (W)	15	7	4	4	26	24	25
6	Belgrano (W)	15	7	4	4	11	9	25
7	Boca Juniors (W)	14	6	4	4	16	12	22
8	Ferro Carril Oeste (W)	14	5	4	5	14	12	19
9	Banfield (W)	14	6	1	7	14	19	19
10	Social Atletico Television (W)	14	4	5	5	15	16	17
11	San Luis FC (W)	14	3	7	4	15	13	16
12	Huracan (W)	14	3	5	6	8	15	14
13	CA Independiente Women	15	4	1	10	10	25	13
14	Lanus (W)	14	3	3	8	8	22	12
15	Newell's Old Boys (W)	14	1	2	11	3	22	5
16	Union Santa Fe (W)	14	0	3	11	9	32	3

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Social Atletico Television (W)	Ferro Carril Oeste (W)
River Plate (W)	0-3 L	0-1 L
Boca Juniors (W)	0-1 L	3-3 D
Banfield (W)	1-0 W	0-1 L
Lanus (W)	0-2 L	1-0 W
Gimnasia LP (W)	1-1 D	0-0 D
San Luis FC (W)	2-2 D	0-2 L
Union Santa Fe (W)	5-0 W	2-1 W
CA Independiente Women	0-1 L	6-1 W
Record vs common	2 W 2 D 4 L	3 W 2 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Ferro Carril Oeste (W) (4 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Social Atletico Television (W)

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
13/07	River Plate (W) Argentina Championship Women	0-1	0-3	4	1	L
08/07	Boca Juniors (W) Argentina Championship Women	0-0	0-1	1	4	L
05/07	Banfield (W) Argentina Championship Women	1-0	1-0	2	8	W
27/06	Lanus (W) Argentina Championship Women	0-2	0-2	3	1	L
19/06	Gimnasia LP (W) Argentina Championship Women	1-0	1-1	2	3	D
14/06	San Luis FC (W) Argentina Championship Women	2-2	2-2	3	4	D
24/05	Newell's Old Boys (W) Argentina Championship Women	0-0	0-0	3	5	D
16/05	Union Santa Fe (W) Argentina Championship Women	2-0	5-0	7	0	W
08/05	Racing Club (W) Argentina Championship Women	0-1	2-1	1	5	W
02/05	CA Independiente Women Argentina Championship Women	0-0	0-1	7	4	L

Ferro Carril Oeste (W)

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
13/07	Boca Juniors (W) Argentina Championship Women	2-2	3-3	3	3	D
08/07	Lanus (W) Argentina Championship Women	1-0	1-0	3	6	W
04/07	San Luis FC (W) Argentina Championship Women	0-0	0-2	10	4	L
28/06	Union Santa Fe (W) Argentina Championship Women	2-0	2-1	2	7	W
20/06	CA Independiente Women Argentina Championship Women	2-1	6-1	6	4	W
15/06	Huracan (W) Argentina Championship Women	0-0	0-0	3	6	D
23/05	Belgrano (W) Argentina Championship Women	0-0	1-0	4	5	W
15/05	River Plate (W) Argentina Championship Women	0-0	0-1	3	5	L
08/05	Banfield (W) Argentina Championship Women	0-0	0-1	5	4	L
02/05	Gimnasia LP (W) Argentina Championship Women	0-0	0-0	2	4	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Social Atletico Television (W) vs Ferro Carril Oeste (W)?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Social Atletico Television (W) win (38%). Probabilities: Social Atletico Television (W) 38%, draw 32%, Ferro Carril Oeste (W) 31%.

How many goals are expected in Social Atletico Television (W) vs Ferro Carril Oeste (W)?

The model expects 2.1 goals (Social Atletico Television (W) 1.12 · Ferro Carril Oeste (W) 0.98), with a 51% chance of over 2 goals.

Will both teams score in Social Atletico Television (W) vs Ferro Carril Oeste (W)?

The model gives a 51% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.