Football · Hungary NB III · 25/07, 16:00

Prediction: Szegedi VSE vs Vasas SC II

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.91Total

Szegedi VSE1.61

Vasas SC II2.31

1X2

25% 23% 52%

Szegedi VSE Draw Vasas SC II

Markets

Over 3.5 goals 55% Both teams to score 61%

Most likely score

1-2

Recent form · 10 last

Szegedi VSE 2-1-7 (W-D-L)

LLLDLWLLLW

Vasas SC II 5-3-2 (W-D-L)

LWLWDWWWDD

Head-to-head

Szegedi VSE 1–3 Vasas SC II (4 last)

Vasas SC II3-1Szegedi VSE
Szegedi VSE2-0Vasas SC II
Szegedi VSE0-1Vasas SC II

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Szegedi VSE 1439 · Vasas SC II 1541

	Szegedi VSE	Draw	Vasas SC II
Our model	26%	21%	53%
Market	25%	23%	52%

Estimated total (ours) 3.91 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · +0.7

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 74%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Vasas SC II (rating 1439 vs 1541).
H2H favours Vasas SC II: 3-0-1.
Cards-heavy: 8.4 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Szegedi VSE	Vasas SC II
Goals for / against (FT)	1.6 / 2.8	2.5 / 2
Goals for / against (HT)	0.7 / 1	1.1 / 1.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/20/60%	30/40/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.6 / 4.8	1.9 / 4.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.4 / 0.2	4 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

13.60

X3.80

21.73

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.75)1.85

2 (-0.75)1.95

Line ⓘ

Over 3.251.95

Under 3.251.85

Diff.: 1.2 · xG: 4.45

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 03:12

	Bet365	Best now
1	3.60 → 3.60	Bet365 3.60
X	3.80 → 3.80	Bet365 3.80
2	1.73 → 1.73	Bet365 1.73

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 12%

Time*	1	X	2
02:58 +14’	3.60	3.80	1.73

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Szegedi VSE 1–0–3 Vasas SC II

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Date	Home	Score	Away
15/11/25 Hungary NB III	Vasas SC II	3-1 HT 2-1	Szegedi VSE
27/07/25 Hungary NB III	Szegedi VSE	2-0 HT 2-0	Vasas SC II
11/05/25 Hungary NB III	Szegedi VSE	0-1 HT 0-0	Vasas SC II
27/10/24 Hungary NB III	Vasas SC II	1-0 HT 1-0	Szegedi VSE

Standings · Hungary NB III · NB III 26/27, South East

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Bekescsabai Elore SE	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	BKV Elore SC	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Budapest Honved II	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Csepel FC	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	ESMTK	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	FC Dabas	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Gyulai Termal	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Hodmezovasarhelyi	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	III Keruleti TUE	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Monori SE	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Sandorfalvi SKE	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Szeged-Csanad Grosics II	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Szegedi VSE	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Szolnoki Mav FC	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Ujpest II	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Vasas SC II	0	0	0	0	0	0

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Szegedi VSE	Vasas SC II
Szeged-Csanad Grosics II	3-2 W	3-1 W
FC Dabas	1-2 L	2-1 W
Csepel FC	2-3 L	4-0 W
Monori SE	4-5 L	2-2 D
Tiszafoldvar	2-1 W	3-1 W
III Keruleti TUE	1-4 L	2-3 L
Hodmezovasarhelyi	1-1 D	3-1 W
ESMTK	0-3 L	0-5 L
Record vs common	2 W 1 D 5 L	5 W 1 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Vasas SC II (7 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Szegedi VSE

LLLDLWLLLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
24/05	Szeged-Csanad Grosics II Hungary NB III	1-2	3-2	3	4	W
17/05	FC Dabas Hungary NB III	0-1	1-2	–	–	L
10/05	Csepel FC Hungary NB III	1-1	2-3	8	2	L
03/05	Monori SE Hungary NB III	2-2	4-5	6	9	L
26/04	Tiszafoldvar Hungary NB III	2-0	2-1	3	2	W
19/04	III Keruleti TUE Hungary NB III	0-1	1-4	3	4	L
11/04	Hodmezovasarhelyi Hungary NB III	0-1	1-1	10	5	D
05/04	ESMTK Hungary NB III	0-1	0-3	5	5	L
29/03	BKV Elore SC Hungary NB III	0-1	1-5	3	5	L
22/03	Budapest Honved II Hungary NB III	1-0	1-2	2	6	L

Vasas SC II

LWLWDWWWDD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
17/05	Dunaharaszti MTK Hungary NB III	2-2	4-4	4	4	D
10/05	Bekescsabai Elore SE II Hungary NB III	1-1	2-2	9	5	D
02/05	Szeged-Csanad Grosics II Hungary NB III	0-1	3-1	2	5	W
26/04	FC Dabas Hungary NB III	1-1	2-1	3	5	W
19/04	Csepel FC Hungary NB III	1-0	4-0	6	2	W
11/04	Monori SE Hungary NB III	2-0	2-2	5	5	D
05/04	Tiszafoldvar Hungary NB III	2-1	3-1	–	–	W
29/03	III Keruleti TUE Hungary NB III	1-3	2-3	5	5	L
22/03	Hodmezovasarhelyi Hungary NB III	1-1	3-1	–	–	W
14/03	ESMTK Hungary NB III	0-3	0-5	0	2	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Szegedi VSE vs Vasas SC II?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Vasas SC II win (52%). Probabilities: Szegedi VSE 25%, draw 23%, Vasas SC II 52%.

How many goals are expected in Szegedi VSE vs Vasas SC II?

The model expects 3.91 goals (Szegedi VSE 1.61 · Vasas SC II 2.31), with a 55% chance of over 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Szegedi VSE vs Vasas SC II?

The model gives a 61% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-2.