Football · Hungary NB III · 26/09, 16:00

Prediction: III Keruleti TUE vs Szegedi VSE

Team pages: III Keruleti TUE · Szegedi VSE

Prediction summary
Expected goals
4.32Total
III Keruleti TUE3.16
Szegedi VSE1.16
1X2
79% 13% 8%
III Keruleti TUE Draw Szegedi VSE
Markets
Under 4.5 goals 57% Both teams to score 58%
Most likely score
3-1 8%
Recent form · 10 last
III Keruleti TUE 9-0-1 (W-D-L)
WWWWWWWLWW
Szegedi VSE 1-2-7 (W-D-L)
LWDLLLLDLL
Head-to-head
III Keruleti TUE 1–1 Szegedi VSE (2 last)
  • III Keruleti TUE4-1Szegedi VSE
  • Szegedi VSE3-1III Keruleti TUE
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · III Keruleti TUE 1605 · Szegedi VSE 1406
III Keruleti TUEDrawSzegedi VSE
Our model76%14%10%
Market81%12%7%
Estimated total (ours) 4.32 goals · Bet365 line 3.75 · +0.6

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 82%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours III Keruleti TUE (rating 1605 vs 1406).
  • Cards-heavy: 7.4 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

III Keruleti TUESzegedi VSE
Goals for / against (FT)2.3 / 0.71.5 / 3.3
Goals for / against (HT)1.1 / 0.40.3 / 1.9
Half-time result (W/D/L)67/22/11%0/11/89%
Corners (HT / FT)3 / 41.5 / 3.5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)4.2 / 0.33.3 / 0.3

Head-to-head (H2H) · III Keruleti TUE 1–0–1 Szegedi VSE

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DateHomeScoreAway
19/04/26
Hungary NB III
III Keruleti TUE4-1
HT 1-0
Szegedi VSE
05/10/25
Hungary NB III
Szegedi VSE3-1
HT 1-0
III Keruleti TUE

Standings · Hungary NB III · NB III 26/27, South East

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Gyulai Termal 8800 30324
2 III Keruleti TUE 8701 14321
3 ESMTK 8431 17915
4 Ujpest II 8422 231314
5 Szeged-Csanad Grosics II 8422 171214
6 Szolnoki Mav FC 8341 191813
7 Csepel 8332 191412
8 Monori SE 8332 181412
9 Vasas SC II 8323 181111
10 FC Dabas 8314 121810
11 Kispest Honved II 8224 15128
12 Bekescsabai Elore SE 8143 10147
13 Hodmezovasarhelyi 8134 10196
14 BKV Elore SC 8116 7294
15 Sandorfalvi SK 8107 5273
16 Szegedi VSE 8026 11292

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentIII Keruleti TUESzegedi VSE
FC Dabas 1-0 W 1-2 L
Szeged-Csanad Grosics II 1-0 W 1-2 L
Vasas SC II 0-3 L 1-1 D
Record vs common 2 W 0 D 1 L 0 W 1 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: III Keruleti TUE (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

III Keruleti TUE

WWWWWWWLWW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
20/09 FC Dabas
Hungary NB III
1-0 1-0 45 W
05/09 Szeged-Csanad Grosics II
Hungary NB III
1-0 1-0 82 W
30/08 Vasas SC II
Hungary NB III
0-2 0-3 63 L
26/08 Bekescsabai Elore SE
Hungary NB III
1-0 2-0 25 W
15/08 Sandorfalvi SK
Hungary NB III
– 3-0 –– W
12/08 Hodmezovasarhelyi
Hungary NB III
2-0 3-0 –– W
09/08 BKV Elore SC
Hungary NB III
1-0 2-0 24 W
25/07 Csepel
Hungary NB III
0-0 2-0 –– W
24/05 Hodmezovasarhelyi
Hungary NB III
2-2 6-3 –– W
17/05 ESMTK
Hungary NB III
2-0 3-1 28 W

Szegedi VSE

LWDLLLLDLL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
19/09 Gyulai Termal
Hungary NB III
0-2 1-4 –– L
06/09 Ujpest II
Hungary NB III
1-3 1-6 53 L
29/08 Szolnoki Mav FC
Hungary NB III
0-2 3-3 16 D
26/08 Budapest Honved II
Hungary NB III
0-4 1-8 51 L
15/08 Monori SE
Hungary NB III
– 2-3 –– L
12/08 Szeged-Csanad Grosics II
Hungary NB III
0-1 1-2 –– L
08/08 FC Dabas
Hungary NB III
1-1 1-2 –– L
25/07 Vasas SC II
Hungary NB III
0-1 1-1 –– D
24/05 Szeged-Csanad Grosics II
Hungary NB III
1-2 3-2 34 W
17/05 FC Dabas
Hungary NB III
0-1 1-2 –– L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in III Keruleti TUE vs Szegedi VSE?

According to our model, the most likely result is a III Keruleti TUE win (79%). Probabilities: III Keruleti TUE 79%, draw 13%, Szegedi VSE 8%.

How many goals are expected in III Keruleti TUE vs Szegedi VSE?

The model expects 4.32 goals (III Keruleti TUE 3.16 · Szegedi VSE 1.16), with a 55% chance of over 3.75 goals.

Will both teams score in III Keruleti TUE vs Szegedi VSE?

The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 3-1.