Football · Hungary NB III · 30/08, 11:00

Prediction: Vasas SC II vs III Keruleti TUE

Team pages: Vasas SC II · III Keruleti TUE

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.63Total

Vasas SC II1.47

III Keruleti TUE2.15

1X2

25% 23% 52%

Vasas SC II Draw III Keruleti TUE

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 59%

Most likely score

1-1 9%

Recent form · 10 last

Vasas SC II 4-4-2 (W-D-L)

WWWDDDDLWL

III Keruleti TUE 9-0-1 (W-D-L)

LWWWWWWWWW

Head-to-head

Vasas SC II 0–1–1 III Keruleti TUE (2 last)

Vasas SC II2-3III Keruleti TUE
III Keruleti TUE2-2Vasas SC II

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Vasas SC II 1514 · III Keruleti TUE 1625

	Vasas SC II	Draw	III Keruleti TUE
Our model	25%	22%	52%
Market	25%	23%	52%

Estimated total (ours) 3.63 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · +0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 68%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours III Keruleti TUE (rating 1514 vs 1625).
Cards-heavy: 8.4 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Vasas SC II	III Keruleti TUE
Goals for / against (FT)	2.4 / 1.7	2.7 / 0.7
Goals for / against (HT)	1 / 0.8	1.1 / 0.2
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/30/30%	56/44/0%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.3 / 4.7	1.3 / 2.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.9 / 0	4.6 / 0.6

Odds Bet365

13.60

X3.80

21.73

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.75)1.82

2 (-0.75)1.98

Line ⓘ

Over 3.252.00

Under 3.251.80

Diff.: 0.5 · xG: 3.75

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 05:27

	Bet365	Best now
1	3.60 → 3.60	Bet365 3.60
X	3.80 → 3.80	Bet365 3.80
2	1.73 → 1.73	Bet365 1.73

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 12%

Time*	1	X	2
05:16 +11’	3.60	3.80	1.73

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Vasas SC II 0–1–1 III Keruleti TUE

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Date	Home	Score	Away
29/03/26 Hungary NB III	Vasas SC II	2-3 HT 1-3	III Keruleti TUE
07/09/25 Hungary NB III	III Keruleti TUE	2-2 HT 2-1	Vasas SC II

Standings · Hungary NB III · NB III 26/27, South East

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Gyulai Termal	5	5	0	0	17	2	15
2	III Keruleti TUE	5	5	0	0	12	0	15
3	Szeged-Csanad Grosics II	5	4	1	0	16	6	13
4	ESMTK	5	3	1	1	11	5	10
5	FC Dabas	5	3	1	1	11	10	10
6	Szolnoki Mav FC	6	2	3	1	14	14	9
7	Ujpest II	5	2	2	1	15	8	8
8	Csepel FC	5	2	2	1	12	5	8
9	Monori SE	5	2	1	2	10	8	7
10	Vasas SC II	5	1	2	2	9	9	5
11	Budapest Honved II	5	1	1	3	11	10	4
12	Sandorfalvi SK	5	1	0	4	3	18	3
13	Bekescsabai Elore SE	5	0	2	3	2	8	2
14	Hodmezovasarhelyi	5	0	2	3	4	13	2
15	Szegedi VSE	6	0	2	4	9	19	2
16	BKV Elore SC	5	0	0	5	3	24	0

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Vasas SC II	III Keruleti TUE
Gyulai Termal	0-1 L	0-2 L
Kispest Honved II	3-0 W	3-0 W
Csepel FC	4-0 W	2-0 W
Record vs common	2 W 0 D 1 L	2 W 0 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Vasas SC II (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Vasas SC II

WWWDDDDLWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
26/08	Gyulai Termal Hungary NB III	0-1	0-1	–	–	L
19/08	Kispest Honved II Hungary NB III	2-0	3-0	–	–	W
16/08	Ujpest II Hungary NB III	2-1	3-5	1	4	L
08/08	Szolnoki Mav FC Hungary NB III	0-1	2-2	–	–	D
25/07	Szegedi VSE Hungary NB III	1-0	1-1	8	2	D
17/05	Dunaharaszti MTK Hungary NB III	2-2	4-4	4	4	D
10/05	Bekescsabai Elore SE II Hungary NB III	1-1	2-2	9	5	D
02/05	Szeged-Csanad Grosics II Hungary NB III	0-1	3-1	2	5	W
26/04	FC Dabas Hungary NB III	1-1	2-1	3	5	W
19/04	Csepel FC Hungary NB III	1-0	4-0	6	2	W

III Keruleti TUE

LWWWWWWWWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
26/08	Bekescsabai Elore SE Hungary NB III	1-0	2-0	2	5	W
15/08	Sandorfalvi SK Hungary NB III	–	3-0	–	–	W
12/08	Hodmezovasarhelyi Hungary NB III	2-0	3-0	–	–	W
09/08	BKV Elore SC Hungary NB III	1-0	2-0	2	4	W
25/07	Csepel FC Hungary NB III	0-0	2-0	5	3	W
24/05	Hodmezovasarhelyi Hungary NB III	2-2	6-3	–	–	W
17/05	ESMTK Hungary NB III	2-0	3-1	2	8	W
10/05	BKV Elore SC Hungary NB III	0-0	3-1	2	5	W
03/05	Kispest Honved II Hungary NB III	2-0	3-0	1	5	W
26/04	Gyulai Termal Hungary NB III	0-0	0-2	4	6	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Vasas SC II vs III Keruleti TUE?

According to our model, the most likely result is an III Keruleti TUE win (52%). Probabilities: Vasas SC II 25%, draw 23%, III Keruleti TUE 52%.

How many goals are expected in Vasas SC II vs III Keruleti TUE?

The model expects 3.63 goals (Vasas SC II 1.47 · III Keruleti TUE 2.15), with a 51% chance of over 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Vasas SC II vs III Keruleti TUE?

The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.