Football · Hungary NB III · 25/07, 17:30

Prediction: Gyulai Termal vs Hodmezovasarhelyi

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.72Total

Gyulai Termal2.66

Hodmezovasarhelyi1.06

1X2

70% 18% 12%

Gyulai Termal Draw Hodmezovasarhelyi

Markets

Over 3.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 56%

Most likely score

2-1

Recent form · 10 last

Gyulai Termal 8-1-1 (W-D-L)

WWWDWWWLWW

Hodmezovasarhelyi 3-2-5 (W-D-L)

LLWDLWWLDL

Head-to-head

Gyulai Termal 2–0 Hodmezovasarhelyi (2 last)

Hodmezovasarhelyi1-2Gyulai Termal
Gyulai Termal4-1Hodmezovasarhelyi

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Gyulai Termal 1607 · Hodmezovasarhelyi 1463

	Gyulai Termal	Draw	Hodmezovasarhelyi
Our model	71%	17%	12%
Market	70%	19%	11%

Estimated total (ours) 3.72 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · +0.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 64%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Gyulai Termal (rating 1607 vs 1463).
H2H favours Gyulai Termal: 2-0-0.
High corners: 11.1 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Gyulai Termal	Hodmezovasarhelyi
Goals for / against (FT)	2.8 / 0.5	1.4 / 2.4
Goals for / against (HT)	0.9 / 0.2	0.7 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	60/30/10%	20/70/10%
Corners (HT / FT)	3.4 / 5.6	3.7 / 5.5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4 / 0.2	4 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

11.28

X4.75

28.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1.75)1.95

2 (+1.75)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 3.251.95

Under 3.251.85

Diff.: 0.3 · xG: 3.55

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 03:13

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.28 → 1.28	Bet365 1.28
X	4.75 → 4.75	Bet365 4.75
2	8.00 → 8.00	Bet365 8.00

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.4%

Time*	1	X	2
02:41 +32’	1.28	4.75	8.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Gyulai Termal 2–0–0 Hodmezovasarhelyi

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Date	Home	Score	Away
19/04/26 Hungary NB III	Hodmezovasarhelyi	1-2 HT 0-0	Gyulai Termal
05/10/25 Hungary NB III	Gyulai Termal	4-1 HT 2-0	Hodmezovasarhelyi

Standings · Hungary NB III · NB III 26/27, South East

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Bekescsabai Elore SE	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	BKV Elore SC	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Budapest Honved II	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Csepel FC	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	ESMTK	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	FC Dabas	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Gyulai Termal	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Hodmezovasarhelyi	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	III Keruleti TUE	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Monori SE	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Sandorfalvi SKE	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Szeged-Csanad Grosics II	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Szegedi VSE	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Szolnoki Mav FC	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Ujpest II	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Vasas SC II	0	0	0	0	0	0

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Gyulai Termal	Hodmezovasarhelyi
III Keruleti TUE	2-0 W	3-6 L
ESMTK	1-1 D	0-4 L
BKV Elore SC	5-0 W	3-2 W
Budapest Honved II	1-0 W	1-0 W
Bekescsabai Elore SE II	5-0 W	2-2 D
Record vs common	4 W 1 D 0 L	2 W 1 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Gyulai Termal (4 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Gyulai Termal

WWWDWWWLWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
24/05	FC Dabas Hungary NB III	1-0	3-0	8	2	W
17/05	Csepel FC Hungary NB III	2-1	4-1	7	2	W
10/05	Monori SE Hungary NB III	0-0	1-2	7	5	L
03/05	Tiszafoldvar Hungary NB III	1-0	4-0	–	–	W
26/04	III Keruleti TUE Hungary NB III	0-0	2-0	3	6	W
19/04	Hodmezovasarhelyi Hungary NB III	0-0	2-1	–	–	W
11/04	ESMTK Hungary NB III	0-1	1-1	–	–	D
05/04	BKV Elore SC Hungary NB III	3-0	5-0	3	6	W
29/03	Budapest Honved II Hungary NB III	1-0	1-0	–	–	W
22/03	Bekescsabai Elore SE II Hungary NB III	1-0	5-0	–	–	W

Hodmezovasarhelyi

LLWDLWWLDL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
24/05	III Keruleti TUE Hungary NB III	2-2	3-6	–	–	L
17/05	Bekescsabai Elore SE II Hungary NB III	0-1	2-2	–	–	D
10/05	ESMTK Hungary NB III	0-0	0-4	8	2	L
03/05	BKV Elore SC Hungary NB III	1-1	3-2	–	–	W
26/04	Budapest Honved II Hungary NB III	1-0	1-0	4	2	W
19/04	Gyulai Termal Hungary NB III	0-0	1-2	–	–	L
11/04	Szegedi VSE Hungary NB III	1-0	1-1	6	5	D
05/04	Martfui LSE Hungary NB III	1-1	2-1	–	–	W
29/03	Dunaharaszti MTK Hungary NB III	0-0	0-3	4	8	L
22/03	Vasas SC II Hungary NB III	1-1	1-3	–	–	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Gyulai Termal vs Hodmezovasarhelyi?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Gyulai Termal win (70%). Probabilities: Gyulai Termal 70%, draw 18%, Hodmezovasarhelyi 12%.

How many goals are expected in Gyulai Termal vs Hodmezovasarhelyi?

The model expects 3.72 goals (Gyulai Termal 2.66 · Hodmezovasarhelyi 1.06), with a 53% chance of over 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Gyulai Termal vs Hodmezovasarhelyi?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.