Football · Hungary NB III · 26/08, 17:30

Prediction: Monori SE vs Hodmezovasarhelyi

Team pages: Monori SE · Hodmezovasarhelyi

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.3Total

Monori SE1.93

Hodmezovasarhelyi1.37

1X2

50% 24% 26%

Monori SE Draw Hodmezovasarhelyi

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 58% Both teams to score 58%

Most likely score

1-1 11%

Recent form · 10 last

Monori SE 3-2-5 (W-D-L)

WWLLDLLDLW

Hodmezovasarhelyi 2-3-5 (W-D-L)

LWWLDLLDLD

Head-to-head

Monori SE 4–1–1 Hodmezovasarhelyi (6 last)

Hodmezovasarhelyi0-1Monori SE
Monori SE2-2Hodmezovasarhelyi
Monori SE3-1Hodmezovasarhelyi
Hodmezovasarhelyi1-2Monori SE
Monori SE2-1Hodmezovasarhelyi
Monori SE0-2Hodmezovasarhelyi

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Monori SE 1456 · Hodmezovasarhelyi 1451

	Monori SE	Draw	Hodmezovasarhelyi
Our model	50%	24%	26%
Market	50%	24%	26%

Estimated total (ours) 3.3 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 62%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Monori SE: 4-1-1.
Cards-heavy: 7.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Monori SE	Hodmezovasarhelyi
Goals for / against (FT)	1.7 / 2	1.3 / 2.5
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 0.9	0.7 / 1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	0/67/33%	22/44/33%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.4 / 3.9	2.3 / 4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	6.2 / 0	1.5 / 0

Odds Bet365

11.80

X3.70

23.40

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.5)1.82

2 (+0.5)1.98

Line ⓘ

Over 31.95

Under 31.85

Diff.: 0.75 · xG: 3.75

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 16:04

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.80 → 1.80	Bet365 1.80
X	3.70 → 3.70	Bet365 3.70
2	3.40 → 3.40	Bet365 3.40

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 12%

Time*	1	X	2
15:53 +11’	1.80	3.70	3.40

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Monori SE 4–1–1 Hodmezovasarhelyi

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Date	Home	Score	Away
23/11/25 Hungary NB III	Hodmezovasarhelyi	0-1 HT 0-1	Monori SE
06/08/25 Hungary NB III	Monori SE	2-2 HT 1-2	Hodmezovasarhelyi
27/04/25 Hungary NB III	Monori SE	3-1 HT 1-0	Hodmezovasarhelyi
13/10/24 Hungary NB III	Hodmezovasarhelyi	1-2 HT 0-1	Monori SE
24/09/23 Hungary NB III	Monori SE	2-1 HT 1-1	Hodmezovasarhelyi
17/08/22 Hungary NB III	Monori SE	0-2 HT 0-1	Hodmezovasarhelyi

Standings · Hungary NB III · NB III 26/27, South East

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Gyulai Termal	4	4	0	0	16	2	12
2	Szeged-Csanad Grosics II	4	4	0	0	14	4	12
3	III Keruleti TUE	4	4	0	0	10	0	12
4	FC Dabas	4	3	0	1	9	8	9
5	Ujpest II	4	2	1	1	13	6	7
6	ESMTK	4	2	1	1	8	5	7
7	Szolnoki Mav FC	4	2	1	1	9	9	7
8	Vasas SC II	4	1	2	1	9	8	5
9	Csepel FC	4	1	2	1	3	4	5
10	Monori SE	4	1	1	2	6	7	4
11	Sandorfalvi SK	4	1	0	3	3	15	3
12	Bekescsabai Elore SE	4	0	2	2	2	6	2
13	Hodmezovasarhelyi	4	0	2	2	3	9	2
14	Szegedi VSE	4	0	1	3	5	8	1
15	Budapest Honved II	4	0	1	3	3	9	1
16	BKV Elore SC	4	0	0	4	2	15	0

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Monori SE	Hodmezovasarhelyi
Csepel FC	0-0 D	1-1 D
ESMTK	1-2 L	2-2 D
BKV Elore SC	1-2 L	3-2 W
Kispest Honved II	0-1 L	1-0 W
Gyulai Termal	2-1 W	0-3 L
Record vs common	1 W 1 D 3 L	2 W 2 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Hodmezovasarhelyi (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Monori SE

WWLLDLLDLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
15/08	Szegedi VSE Hungary NB III	–	3-2	–	–	W
12/08	FC Dabas Hungary NB III	1-2	2-3	3	6	L
08/08	Csepel FC Hungary NB III	0-0	0-0	4	3	D
26/07	ESMTK Hungary NB III	1-1	1-2	2	8	L
07/06	Gyirmot SE Hungary NB III	1-2	1-3	5	8	L
31/05	Gyirmot SE Hungary NB III	0-1	2-2	3	7	D
24/05	BKV Elore SC Hungary NB III	0-0	1-2	6	5	L
17/05	Kispest Honved II Hungary NB III	0-0	0-1	4	5	L
10/05	Gyulai Termal Hungary NB III	0-0	2-1	2	5	W
03/05	Szegedi VSE Hungary NB III	2-2	5-4	6	9	W

Hodmezovasarhelyi

LWWLDLLDLD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
15/08	Csepel FC Hungary NB III	–	1-1	–	–	D
12/08	III Keruleti TUE Hungary NB III	0-2	0-3	–	–	L
09/08	ESMTK Hungary NB III	2-1	2-2	2	1	D
25/07	Gyulai Termal Hungary NB III	0-2	0-3	2	1	L
24/05	III Keruleti TUE Hungary NB III	2-2	3-6	–	–	L
17/05	Bekescsabai Elore SE II Hungary NB III	0-1	2-2	–	–	D
10/05	ESMTK Hungary NB III	0-0	0-4	8	2	L
03/05	BKV Elore SC Hungary NB III	1-1	3-2	–	–	W
26/04	Kispest Honved II Hungary NB III	1-0	1-0	4	2	W
19/04	Gyulai Termal Hungary NB III	0-0	1-2	–	–	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Monori SE vs Hodmezovasarhelyi?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Monori SE win (50%). Probabilities: Monori SE 50%, draw 24%, Hodmezovasarhelyi 26%.

How many goals are expected in Monori SE vs Hodmezovasarhelyi?

The model expects 3.3 goals (Monori SE 1.93 · Hodmezovasarhelyi 1.37), with a 51% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Monori SE vs Hodmezovasarhelyi?

The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.