Football · Hungary NB III · 29/08, 17:30

Prediction: Komarom VSE vs MTE 1904

Team pages: Komarom VSE · MTE 1904

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.97Total

Komarom VSE1.5

MTE 19041.47

1X2

38% 26% 36%

Komarom VSE Draw MTE 1904

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 57% Both teams to score 56%

Most likely score

1-1 12%

Recent form · 10 last

Komarom VSE 5-3-2 (W-D-L)

DWDWLDWWWL

MTE 1904 5-2-3 (W-D-L)

DLLLWWWWDW

Head-to-head

Komarom VSE 0–2–4 MTE 1904 (6 last)

Komarom VSE2-2MTE 1904
MTE 19041-1Komarom VSE
Komarom VSE2-3MTE 1904
MTE 19044-1Komarom VSE
MTE 19044-0Komarom VSE
Komarom VSE0-4MTE 1904

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Komarom VSE 1535 · MTE 1904 1537

	Komarom VSE	Draw	MTE 1904
Our model	37%	27%	36%
Market	38%	26%	36%

Estimated total (ours) 2.97 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 56%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours MTE 1904: 4-2-0.
Cards-heavy: 8.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Komarom VSE	MTE 1904
Goals for / against (FT)	1.8 / 1.5	1.9 / 1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.9 / 0.3	0.4 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)	56/33/11%	30/30/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.3 / 4.5	2.9 / 5.2
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.2 / 0.3	4.1 / 0

Odds Bet365

12.35

X3.50

22.45

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)1.85

2 (0)1.95

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.82

Under 2.751.98

Diff.: 0.35 · xG: 3.1

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 13:46

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.35 → 2.35	Bet365 2.35
X	3.50 → 3.50	Bet365 3.50
2	2.45 → 2.45	Bet365 2.45

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.9%

Time*	1	X	2
13:37 +9’	2.35	3.50	2.45

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Komarom VSE 0–2–4 MTE 1904

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Date	Home	Score	Away
01/03/26 Hungary NB III	Komarom VSE	2-2 HT 0-0	MTE 1904
10/08/25 Hungary NB III	MTE 1904	1-1 HT 1-0	Komarom VSE
24/11/24 Hungary NB III	Komarom VSE	2-3 HT 2-1	MTE 1904
13/04/22 Hungary NB III	MTE 1904	4-1 HT 2-0	Komarom VSE
15/01/22 Europe Friendlies	MTE 1904	4-0 HT 0-0	Komarom VSE
10/10/21 Hungary NB III	Komarom VSE	0-4 HT 0-2	MTE 1904

Standings · Hungary NB III · NB III 26/27, North West

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Dorogi FC	5	4	1	0	18	1	13
2	Szombathelyi Mav Haladas VSE	5	4	1	0	16	5	13
3	MTE 1904	5	4	1	0	13	4	13
4	FC Tatabanya	5	3	1	1	12	4	10
5	Komarom VSE	5	3	1	1	10	7	10
6	Györi ETO II	5	3	0	2	8	5	9
7	SC Sopron	5	2	2	1	7	7	8
8	Papai Perutz	5	2	1	2	6	7	7
9	Bicskei TC	5	2	0	3	11	12	6
10	Puskas Academy II	5	2	0	3	8	11	6
11	Sarisapi BSE	5	2	0	3	7	12	6
12	Veszprem FC	5	1	2	2	7	13	5
13	Kiraly SZE	5	1	1	3	3	8	4
14	Zalaegerszegi TE II	5	1	0	4	6	10	3
15	1908 SZAC Budapest	5	0	1	4	3	16	1
16	Balatonalmadi SE	5	0	0	5	4	17	0

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Komarom VSE	MTE 1904
1908 SZAC Budapest	1-1 D	5-1 W
Gyirmot SE	0-3 L	0-3 L
Veszprem FC	0-0 D	1-1 D
Record vs common	0 W 2 D 1 L	1 W 1 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: MTE 1904 (1 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Komarom VSE

DWDWLDWWWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
26/08	Dorogi FC Hungary NB III	0-0	0-1	2	9	L
15/08	Papai Perutz Hungary NB III	–	4-2	–	–	W
12/08	Puskas Academy II Hungary NB III	1-0	2-1	9	3	W
08/08	Zalaegerszegi TE II Hungary NB III	2-0	3-2	–	–	W
25/07	1908 SZAC Budapest Hungary NB III	0-0	1-1	–	–	D
24/05	Gyirmot SE Hungary NB III	0-2	0-3	0	2	L
17/05	Györi ETO II Hungary NB III	1-0	3-1	8	5	W
10/05	Dorogi FC Hungary NB III	1-0	1-1	2	5	D
03/05	Bicskei TC Hungary NB III	3-1	4-3	6	3	W
26/04	Veszprem FC Hungary NB III	0-0	0-0	–	–	D

MTE 1904

DLLLWWWWDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
26/08	1908 SZAC Budapest Hungary NB III	1-0	5-1	6	5	W
15/08	Veszprem FC Hungary NB III	0-1	1-1	6	5	D
12/08	Balatonalmadi SE Hungary NB III	0-0	1-0	–	–	W
08/08	Kiraly SZE Hungary NB III	0-1	3-2	4	2	W
25/07	Sarisapi BSE Hungary NB III	1-0	3-0	2	2	W
24/05	Zsambeki SK Hungary NB III	2-1	6-1	8	0	W
17/05	FC Tatabanya Hungary NB III	0-0	0-1	3	7	L
10/05	Szombathelyi Mav Haladas VSE Hungary NB III	0-1	0-1	6	8	L
03/05	Gyirmot SE Hungary NB III	0-3	0-3	2	3	L
26/04	Ujpest II Hungary NB III	0-0	0-0	10	5	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Komarom VSE vs MTE 1904?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Komarom VSE win (38%). Probabilities: Komarom VSE 38%, draw 26%, MTE 1904 36%.

How many goals are expected in Komarom VSE vs MTE 1904?

The model expects 2.97 goals (Komarom VSE 1.5 · MTE 1904 1.47), with a 51% chance of over 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Komarom VSE vs MTE 1904?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.