Football · Hungary NB III · 26/08, 17:30

Prediction: Dorogi FC vs Komarom VSE

Team pages: Dorogi FC · Komarom VSE

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.68Total

Dorogi FC2.11

Komarom VSE1.57

1X2

49% 23% 27%

Dorogi FC Draw Komarom VSE

Markets

Over 3.5 goals 50% Both teams to score 60%

Most likely score

1-1 9%

Recent form · 10 last

Dorogi FC 5-2-3 (W-D-L)

LLWDLWWWDW

Komarom VSE 6-3-1 (W-D-L)

WDWDWLDWWW

Head-to-head

Dorogi FC 3–2–0 Komarom VSE (5 last)

Dorogi FC1-1Komarom VSE
Komarom VSE3-3Dorogi FC
Dorogi FC2-0Komarom VSE
Dorogi FC2-1Komarom VSE
Komarom VSE0-2Dorogi FC

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Dorogi FC 1545 · Komarom VSE 1558

	Dorogi FC	Draw	Komarom VSE
Our model	50%	23%	28%
Market	49%	24%	27%

Estimated total (ours) 3.68 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.7

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 70%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Dorogi FC: 3-2-0.
High corners: 13.2 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 7.2 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Dorogi FC	Komarom VSE
Goals for / against (FT)	2.5 / 1	2.6 / 1.6
Goals for / against (HT)	1.1 / 0.6	1 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	44/22/33%	56/22/22%
Corners (HT / FT)	4.9 / 8	3 / 5.2
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.6 / 0.4	3.7 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

11.83

X3.70

23.30

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.5)1.90

2 (+0.5)1.90

Line ⓘ

Over 31.98

Under 31.82

Diff.: 0.85 · xG: 3.85

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 14:04

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.83 → 1.83	Bet365 1.83
X	3.70 → 3.70	Bet365 3.70
2	3.30 → 3.30	Bet365 3.30

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.9%

Time*	1	X	2
13:53 +11’	1.83	3.70	3.30

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Dorogi FC 3–2–0 Komarom VSE

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Date	Home	Score	Away
10/05/26 Hungary NB III	Dorogi FC	1-1 HT 0-1	Komarom VSE
26/10/25 Hungary NB III	Komarom VSE	3-3 HT 3-1	Dorogi FC
31/08/24 Hungary NB III	Dorogi FC	2-0 HT 0-0	Komarom VSE
29/06/19 Europe Friendlies	Dorogi FC	2-1 HT 1-1	Komarom VSE
20/09/17 Hungary Cup	Komarom VSE	0-2 HT 0-0	Dorogi FC

Standings · Hungary NB III · NB III 26/27, North West

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Dorogi FC	4	3	1	0	17	1	10
2	Szombathelyi Mav Haladas VSE	4	3	1	0	12	3	10
3	MTE 1904	4	3	1	0	8	3	10
4	Komarom VSE	4	3	1	0	10	6	10
5	SC Sopron	4	2	2	0	6	4	8
6	FC Tatabanya	4	2	1	1	9	4	7
7	Györi ETO II	4	2	0	2	6	5	6
8	Sarisapi BSE	4	2	0	2	7	9	6
9	Veszprem FC	4	1	2	1	5	9	5
10	Papai Perutz	4	1	1	2	5	7	4
11	Kiraly SZE	4	1	1	2	3	6	4
12	Bicskei TC	4	1	0	3	7	10	3
13	Zalaegerszegi TE II	4	1	0	3	6	9	3
14	Puskas Academy II	4	1	0	3	5	10	3
15	1908 SZAC Budapest	4	0	1	3	2	11	1
16	Balatonalmadi SE	4	0	0	4	2	13	0

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Dorogi FC	Komarom VSE
1908 SZAC Budapest	7-0 W	1-1 D
Veszprem FC	6-0 W	0-0 D
Puskas Academy II	3-0 W	2-1 W
Gyirmot SE	0-3 L	0-3 L
Record vs common	3 W 0 D 1 L	1 W 2 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Dorogi FC (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Dorogi FC

LLWDLWWWDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
16/08	1908 SZAC Budapest Hungary NB III	–	7-0	–	–	W
12/08	Kiraly SZE Hungary NB III	0-0	0-0	9	3	D
08/08	Veszprem FC Hungary NB III	3-0	6-0	16	4	W
25/07	Balatonalmadi SE Hungary NB III	2-1	4-1	10	1	W
24/05	Puskas Academy II Hungary NB III	2-0	3-0	–	–	W
17/05	SC Sopron Hungary NB III	0-0	1-2	4	3	L
10/05	Komarom VSE Hungary NB III	0-1	1-1	6	5	D
03/05	Balatonfuredi FC Hungary NB III	3-1	3-1	6	5	W
25/04	FC Tatabanya Hungary NB III	0-1	0-2	5	7	L
18/04	Gyirmot SE Hungary NB III	0-1	0-3	–	–	L

Komarom VSE

WDWDWLDWWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
15/08	Papai Perutz Hungary NB III	–	4-2	–	–	W
12/08	Puskas Academy II Hungary NB III	1-0	2-1	9	3	W
08/08	Zalaegerszegi TE II Hungary NB III	2-0	3-2	–	–	W
25/07	1908 SZAC Budapest Hungary NB III	0-0	1-1	–	–	D
24/05	Gyirmot SE Hungary NB III	0-2	0-3	0	2	L
17/05	Györi ETO II Hungary NB III	1-0	3-1	8	5	W
10/05	Dorogi FC Hungary NB III	1-0	1-1	2	5	D
03/05	Bicskei TC Hungary NB III	3-1	4-3	6	3	W
26/04	Veszprem FC Hungary NB III	0-0	0-0	–	–	D
19/04	Papai Perutz Hungary NB III	1-2	8-2	6	5	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Dorogi FC vs Komarom VSE?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Dorogi FC win (49%). Probabilities: Dorogi FC 49%, draw 23%, Komarom VSE 27%.

How many goals are expected in Dorogi FC vs Komarom VSE?

The model expects 3.68 goals (Dorogi FC 2.11 · Komarom VSE 1.57), with a 55% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Dorogi FC vs Komarom VSE?

The model gives a 60% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.