Football · Hungary NB III · 25/07, 17:30

Prediction: Erdi VSE vs Budaorsi SC

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.18Total

Erdi VSE1.81

Budaorsi SC1.37

1X2

47% 25% 28%

Erdi VSE Draw Budaorsi SC

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 61% Both teams to score 57%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

Erdi VSE 7-1-2 (W-D-L)

WWLWLWWWDW

Budaorsi SC 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

LDDLLLWWWW

Head-to-head

Erdi VSE 1–1–4 Budaorsi SC (6 last)

Erdi VSE1-0Budaorsi SC
Budaorsi SC1-0Erdi VSE
Erdi VSE2-2Budaorsi SC

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Erdi VSE 1560 · Budaorsi SC 1516

	Erdi VSE	Draw	Budaorsi SC
Our model	47%	25%	28%
Market	47%	25%	28%

Estimated total (ours) 3.18 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 59%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Erdi VSE (rating 1560 vs 1516).
H2H favours Budaorsi SC: 4-1-1.
High corners: 10.8 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 8.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Erdi VSE	Budaorsi SC
Goals for / against (FT)	1.9 / 1.3	2.3 / 1.4
Goals for / against (HT)	0.8 / 0.3	1.1 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	60/20/20%	40/30/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	3.3 / 5.2	2.4 / 5.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.9 / 0	3.8 / 0

Odds Bet365

11.91

X3.60

23.20

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.5)1.98

2 (+0.5)1.82

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.85

Under 2.751.95

Diff.: 0.7 · xG: 3.45

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 02:17

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.91 → 1.91	Bet365 1.91
X	3.60 → 3.60	Bet365 3.60
2	3.20 → 3.20	Bet365 3.20

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.4%

Time*	1	X	2
02:06 +11’	1.91	3.60	3.20

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Erdi VSE 1–1–4 Budaorsi SC

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Date	Home	Score	Away
13/04/25 Hungary NB III	Erdi VSE	1-0 HT 0-0	Budaorsi SC
29/09/24 Hungary NB III	Budaorsi SC	1-0 HT 0-0	Erdi VSE
06/07/24 Europe Friendlies	Erdi VSE	2-2 HT 0-0	Budaorsi SC
03/02/24 Club Friendly List	Budaorsi SC	5-3 HT 3-0	Erdi VSE
12/03/23 Hungary NB III	Budaorsi SC	3-0 HT 0-0	Erdi VSE
31/08/22 Hungary NB III	Erdi VSE	1-2 HT 1-1	Budaorsi SC

Standings · Hungary NB III · NB III 26/27, South West

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	BFC Siofok	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Budafoki MTE	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Budaorsi SC	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Dunaharaszti MTK	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Dunaujvaros FC	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Erdi VSE	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Ferencvarosi TC II	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Ivancsa	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Kaposvari Rakoczi	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Majosi SE	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	MTK Budapest II	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Paksi SE II	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Pecsi MFC	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	PEAC FC	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Sarbogard SE	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Szekszardi	0	0	0	0	0	0

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

Erdi VSE

WWLWLWWWDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
11/07	Bicskei TC Europe Friendlies	1-0	3-1	6	0	W
24/05	Majosi SE Hungary NB III	1-0	3-3	8	7	D
17/05	Kaposvari Rakoczi Hungary NB III	2-0	2-1	–	–	W
10/05	BFC Siofok Hungary NB III	1-0	2-1	2	8	W
02/05	Balatonlelle SE Hungary NB III	1-2	3-2	8	7	W
26/04	FC Nagykanizsa Hungary NB III	0-1	1-3	6	7	L
19/04	Ivancsa Hungary NB III	0-0	2-1	5	4	W
11/04	PEAC FC Hungary NB III	0-0	0-1	2	5	L
05/04	Dombovari FC Hungary NB III	1-0	2-0	6	3	W
29/03	MTK Budapest II Hungary NB III	1-0	1-0	4	3	W

Budaorsi SC

LDDLLLWWWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
24/05	Bicskei TC Hungary NB III	1-0	1-0	–	–	W
17/05	Veszprem FC Hungary NB III	1-0	5-1	8	3	W
10/05	Papai Perutz Hungary NB III	2-0	2-0	10	1	W
03/05	Zsambeki SK Hungary NB III	5-0	8-0	7	0	W
26/04	Szombathelyi Mav Haladas VSE Hungary NB III	0-2	1-2	7	2	L
19/04	Ujpest II Hungary NB III	1-2	1-3	1	6	L
11/04	MTE 1904 Hungary NB III	0-0	1-2	5	6	L
05/04	Puskas Academy II Hungary NB III	0-1	1-1	7	5	D
28/03	SC Sopron Hungary NB III	1-1	3-3	3	7	D
22/03	Komarom VSE Hungary NB III	0-0	0-2	2	4	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Erdi VSE vs Budaorsi SC?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Erdi VSE win (47%). Probabilities: Erdi VSE 47%, draw 25%, Budaorsi SC 28%.

How many goals are expected in Erdi VSE vs Budaorsi SC?

The model expects 3.18 goals (Erdi VSE 1.81 · Budaorsi SC 1.37), with a 53% chance of over 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Erdi VSE vs Budaorsi SC?

The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.