Prediction: Atletico Nacional Medellin vs Tigres FC
| Atletico Nacional Medellin | Draw | Tigres FC | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 76% | 17% | 8% |
| Market | 77% | 13% | 9% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Atletico Nacional Medellin (rating 1558 vs 1468).
- Cards-heavy: 9.1 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Atletico Nacional Medellin | Tigres FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.7 / 1 | 1 / 1.2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.3 / 0.6 | 0.4 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/60/30% | 10/50/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.8 / 5.8 | 2.1 / 3.9 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.3 / 0.5 | 4.8 / 0.4 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Atletico Nacional Medellin 0–1–1 Tigres FC
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 13/11/17 Colombia Primera A | Tigres FC | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Atletico Nacional Medellin |
| 12/05/17 Colombia Primera A | Atletico Nacional Medellin | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Tigres FC |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Atletico Nacional Medellin
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/07 | Deportivo Tachira America Friendlies |
0-1 | 1-2 | 8 | 3 | L |
| 09/06 | Junior Colombia Primera A |
0-0 | 1-0 | 13 | 6 | W |
| 03/06 | Junior Colombia Primera A |
0-2 | 0-3 | 3 | 8 | L |
| 24/05 | Deportes Tolima Colombia Primera A |
0-0 | 3-1 | 7 | 3 | W |
| 17/05 | Deportes Tolima Colombia Primera A |
0-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 6 | W |
| 13/05 | Internacional de Bogota Colombia Primera A |
2-1 | 7-1 | 9 | 1 | W |
| 09/05 | Internacional de Bogota Colombia Primera A |
1-1 | 2-1 | 3 | 6 | W |
| 02/05 | Once Caldas Colombia Primera A |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 25/04 | Deportivo Pereira Colombia Primera A |
0-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 7 | L |
| 21/04 | Atletico Bucaramanga Colombia Primera A |
0-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 3 | W |
Tigres FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/05 | Internacional FC de Palmira Colombia Primera B |
1-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 6 | D |
| 15/05 | Envigado FC Colombia Primera B |
1-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 5 | L |
| 10/05 | Deportes Quindio Colombia Primera B |
0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 7 | L |
| 05/05 | Deportes Quindio Colombia Primera B |
0-1 | 0-1 | 2 | 2 | L |
| 29/04 | Envigado FC Colombia Primera B |
0-0 | 0-2 | 3 | 6 | L |
| 25/04 | Internacional FC de Palmira Colombia Primera B |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 18/04 | Deportes Quindio Colombia Primera B |
0-1 | 0-1 | 5 | 2 | L |
| 11/04 | Real Soacha Cundinamarca Colombia Primera B |
2-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 31/03 | Barranquilla FC Colombia Primera B |
0-1 | 3-1 | 8 | 7 | W |
| 26/03 | Internacional FC de Palmira Colombia Primera B |
0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 7 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Atletico Nacional Medellin vs Tigres FC?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Atletico Nacional Medellin win (76%). Probabilities: Atletico Nacional Medellin 76%, draw 15%, Tigres FC 9%.
How many goals are expected in Atletico Nacional Medellin vs Tigres FC?
The model expects 3.2 goals (Atletico Nacional Medellin 2.49 · Tigres FC 0.71), with a 56% chance of under 3.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Atletico Nacional Medellin vs Tigres FC?
The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.