Prediction: Tigres FC vs Atletico Nacional Medellin
Team pages: Tigres FC · Atletico Nacional Medellin
- Atletico Nacional Medellin2-0Tigres FC
- Tigres FC1-0Atletico Nacional Medellin
- Atletico Nacional Medellin0-0Tigres FC
| Tigres FC | Draw | Atletico Nacional Medellin | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 25% | 28% | 47% |
| Market | 26% | 28% | 47% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Atletico Nacional Medellin (rating 1451 vs 1557).
- Cards-heavy: 8.9 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Tigres FC | Atletico Nacional Medellin | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.6 / 1.2 | 1.7 / 1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 0.8 | 0.5 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/40/50% | 20/50/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.6 / 3.3 | 3.2 / 6.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.6 / 0.4 | 4.3 / 0.5 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Tigres FC 1–1–1 Atletico Nacional Medellin
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21/07/26 Colombia Cup | Atletico Nacional Medellin | 2-0 HT 2-0 | Tigres FC |
| 13/11/17 Colombia Primera A | Tigres FC | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Atletico Nacional Medellin |
| 12/05/17 Colombia Primera A | Atletico Nacional Medellin | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Tigres FC |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Tigres FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/07 | Itagui Leones Colombia Primera B |
0-1 | 0-1 | 6 | 9 | L |
| 21/07 | Atletico Nacional Medellin Colombia Cup |
0-2 | 0-2 | 0 | 3 | L |
| 19/05 | Internacional FC de Palmira Colombia Primera B |
1-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 6 | D |
| 15/05 | Envigado FC Colombia Primera B |
1-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 5 | L |
| 10/05 | Deportes Quindio Colombia Primera B |
0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 7 | L |
| 05/05 | Deportes Quindio Colombia Primera B |
0-1 | 0-1 | 2 | 2 | L |
| 29/04 | Envigado FC Colombia Primera B |
0-0 | 0-2 | 3 | 6 | L |
| 25/04 | Internacional FC de Palmira Colombia Primera B |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 18/04 | Deportes Quindio Colombia Primera B |
0-1 | 0-1 | 5 | 2 | L |
| 11/04 | Real Soacha Cundinamarca Colombia Primera B |
2-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 5 | W |
Atletico Nacional Medellin
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/07 | Tigres FC Colombia Cup |
2-0 | 2-0 | 16 | 3 | W |
| 18/07 | Deportivo Tachira America Friendlies |
0-1 | 1-2 | 8 | 3 | L |
| 09/06 | Junior Colombia Primera A |
0-0 | 1-0 | 13 | 6 | W |
| 03/06 | Junior Colombia Primera A |
0-2 | 0-3 | 3 | 8 | L |
| 24/05 | Deportes Tolima Colombia Primera A |
0-0 | 3-1 | 7 | 3 | W |
| 17/05 | Deportes Tolima Colombia Primera A |
0-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 6 | W |
| 13/05 | Internacional de Bogota Colombia Primera A |
2-1 | 7-1 | 9 | 1 | W |
| 09/05 | Internacional de Bogota Colombia Primera A |
1-1 | 2-1 | 3 | 6 | W |
| 02/05 | Once Caldas Colombia Primera A |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 25/04 | Deportivo Pereira Colombia Primera A |
0-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 7 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Tigres FC vs Atletico Nacional Medellin?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Atletico Nacional Medellin win (47%). Probabilities: Tigres FC 26%, draw 28%, Atletico Nacional Medellin 47%.
How many goals are expected in Tigres FC vs Atletico Nacional Medellin?
The model expects 2.63 goals (Tigres FC 1.08 · Atletico Nacional Medellin 1.54), with a 51% chance of under 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Tigres FC vs Atletico Nacional Medellin?
The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.