Football · Colombia Cup · 30/07, 00:30

Prediction: Barranquilla FC vs Junior

Team pages: Barranquilla FC · Junior

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.86Total
Barranquilla FC1.05
Junior1.81
1X2
21% 25% 54%
Barranquilla FC Draw Junior
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 53% Both teams to score 54%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Barranquilla FC 2-4-4 (W-D-L)
LWDLWDDLDL
Junior 3-4-3 (W-D-L)
WDDWDLWLDL
Head-to-head
Barranquilla FC 0–4–2 Junior (6 last)
  • Junior2-2Barranquilla FC
  • Barranquilla FC2-2Junior
  • Junior2-1Barranquilla FC
  • Barranquilla FC2-2Junior
  • Junior2-2Barranquilla FC
  • Barranquilla FC1-4Junior
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Barranquilla FC 1483 · Junior 1547
Barranquilla FCDrawJunior
Our model21%25%54%
Market21%25%54%
Estimated total (ours) 2.86 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 60%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Junior (rating 1483 vs 1547).
  • H2H favours Junior: 2-4-0.
  • Cards-heavy: 10.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Barranquilla FCJunior
Goals for / against (FT)1.1 / 1.21.4 / 1.4
Goals for / against (HT)0.2 / 0.61.1 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)10/50/40%50/30/20%
Corners (HT / FT)2.2 / 4.22.6 / 4.9
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)5.1 / 0.45.6 / 0.3

Head-to-head (H2H) · Barranquilla FC 042 Junior

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DateHomeScoreAway
23/07/26
Colombia Cup
Junior2-2
HT 2-0
Barranquilla FC
04/05/17
Colombia Cup
Barranquilla FC2-2
HT 1-0
Junior
15/03/17
Colombia Cup
Junior2-1
HT 1-0
Barranquilla FC
19/03/15
Colombia Cup
Barranquilla FC2-2
HT 1-0
Junior
04/03/15
Colombia Cup
Junior2-2
HT 2-1
Barranquilla FC
14/08/14
Colombia Cup
Barranquilla FC1-4
HT 0-1
Junior

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Barranquilla FC

LWDLWDDLDL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
27/07 Orsomarso
Colombia Primera B
0-0 0-1 13 L
23/07 Junior
Colombia Cup
0-2 2-2 148 D
22/05 Real Cartagena
Colombia Primera B
0-0 1-2 23 L
18/05 Union Magdalena
Colombia Primera B
0-0 1-1 28 D
13/05 Bogota FC
Colombia Primera B
0-1 1-1 24 D
09/05 Bogota FC
Colombia Primera B
1-0 2-0 23 W
04/05 Union Magdalena
Colombia Primera B
0-1 0-2 56 L
27/04 Real Cartagena
Colombia Primera B
0-0 0-0 68 D
18/04 Real Cartagena
Colombia Primera B
1-1 3-1 23 W
14/04 Envigado FC
Colombia Primera B
0-1 1-2 69 L

Junior

WDDWDLWLDL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
26/07 Deportes Tolima
Colombia Primera A
0-2 1-2 73 L
23/07 Barranquilla FC
Colombia Cup
2-0 2-2 38 D
09/06 Atletico Nacional Medellin
Colombia Primera A
0-0 0-1 56 L
03/06 Atletico Nacional Medellin
Colombia Primera A
2-0 3-0 68 W
29/05 Palmeiras
Copa Libertadores
1-3 1-4 73 L
24/05 Independiente Santa Fe
Colombia Primera A
0-0 0-0 75 D
21/05 Sporting Cristal
Copa Libertadores
3-1 3-2 43 W
17/05 Independiente Santa Fe
Colombia Primera A
1-0 1-1 34 D
14/05 Once Caldas
Colombia Primera A
1-1 2-2 512 D
11/05 Once Caldas
Colombia Primera A
1-0 1-0 27 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Barranquilla FC vs Junior?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Junior win (54%). Probabilities: Barranquilla FC 21%, draw 25%, Junior 54%.

How many goals are expected in Barranquilla FC vs Junior?

The model expects 2.86 goals (Barranquilla FC 1.05 · Junior 1.81), with a 53% chance of over 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Barranquilla FC vs Junior?

The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.