Prediction: Bogota FC vs Deportivo Pasto
Team pages: Bogota FC · Deportivo Pasto
- Deportivo Pasto0-1Bogota FC
| Bogota FC | Draw | Deportivo Pasto | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 29% | 27% | 44% |
| Market | 30% | 26% | 45% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Bogota FC (rating 1511 vs 1451).
- Cards-heavy: 9 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Bogota FC | Deportivo Pasto | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.9 / 0.9 | 1.1 / 1.7 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 0.6 | 0.7 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/40/30% | 30/50/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.5 / 2.8 | 2.5 / 5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4 / 0.1 | 5 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Bogota FC 1–0–0 Deportivo Pasto
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 22/07/26 Colombia Cup | Deportivo Pasto | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Bogota FC |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Bogota FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/07 | Union Magdalena Colombia Primera B |
1-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 22/07 | Deportivo Pasto Colombia Cup |
0-0 | 1-0 | 1 | 3 | W |
| 21/05 | Union Magdalena Colombia Primera B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | D |
| 18/05 | Real Cartagena Colombia Primera B |
1-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 6 | L |
| 13/05 | Barranquilla FC Colombia Primera B |
1-0 | 1-1 | 9 | 4 | D |
| 09/05 | Barranquilla FC Colombia Primera B |
0-1 | 0-2 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 03/05 | Real Cartagena Colombia Primera B |
0-2 | 0-2 | 2 | 6 | L |
| 28/04 | Union Magdalena Colombia Primera B |
1-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 2 | D |
| 18/04 | Real San Andres Colombia Primera B |
0-1 | 2-1 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 13/04 | Orsomarso Colombia Primera B |
1-0 | 2-0 | 1 | 6 | W |
Deportivo Pasto
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/07 | Independiente Medellin Colombia Primera A |
2-2 | 2-3 | 4 | 7 | L |
| 22/07 | Bogota FC Colombia Cup |
0-0 | 0-1 | 8 | 3 | L |
| 14/05 | Deportes Tolima Colombia Primera A |
0-1 | 0-2 | 9 | 3 | L |
| 10/05 | Deportes Tolima Colombia Primera A |
0-1 | 0-1 | 6 | 3 | L |
| 04/05 | Junior Colombia Primera A |
1-0 | 3-4 | 2 | 5 | L |
| 24/04 | Independiente Santa Fe Colombia Primera A |
0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 3 | L |
| 17/04 | Jaguares de Cordoba Colombia Primera A |
2-1 | 3-2 | 2 | 9 | W |
| 11/04 | Deportes Tolima Colombia Primera A |
1-0 | 1-0 | 1 | 3 | W |
| 01/04 | Alianza Colombia Primera A |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 7 | D |
| 30/03 | Atletico Nacional Medellin Colombia Primera A |
1-1 | 1-2 | 7 | 9 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Bogota FC vs Deportivo Pasto?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Deportivo Pasto win (44%). Probabilities: Bogota FC 29%, draw 26%, Deportivo Pasto 44%.
How many goals are expected in Bogota FC vs Deportivo Pasto?
The model expects 2.79 goals (Bogota FC 1.23 · Deportivo Pasto 1.56), with a 53% chance of over 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Bogota FC vs Deportivo Pasto?
The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.