Prediction: Envigado FC vs Once Caldas
Team pages: Envigado FC · Once Caldas
- Once Caldas3-0Envigado FC
- Once Caldas1-0Envigado FC
- Envigado FC1-2Once Caldas
- Envigado FC0-1Once Caldas
- Once Caldas2-1Envigado FC
- Once Caldas0-0Envigado FC
| Envigado FC | Draw | Once Caldas | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 32% | 29% | 39% |
| Market | 32% | 28% | 40% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- H2H favours Once Caldas: 5-1-0.
- Cards-heavy: 10.6 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Envigado FC | Once Caldas | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.1 / 0.9 | 1.7 / 0.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 0.5 | 0.9 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/80/10% | 40/50/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.4 / 3.5 | 2.1 / 5.4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.5 / 0.2 | 6.1 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Envigado FC 0–1–5 Once Caldas
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 22/07/26 Colombia Cup | Once Caldas | 3-0 HT 2-0 | Envigado FC |
| 14/09/25 Colombia Primera A | Once Caldas | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Envigado FC |
| 01/05/25 Colombia Primera A | Envigado FC | 1-2 HT 1-1 | Once Caldas |
| 21/09/24 Colombia Primera A | Envigado FC | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Once Caldas |
| 10/03/24 Colombia Primera A | Once Caldas | 2-1 HT 1-1 | Envigado FC |
| 16/09/23 Colombia Primera A | Once Caldas | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Envigado FC |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Envigado FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/07 | Real Soacha Cundinamarca Colombia Primera B |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 22/07 | Once Caldas Colombia Cup |
0-2 | 0-3 | 6 | 1 | L |
| 29/05 | Real Cartagena Colombia Primera B |
1-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 5 | D |
| 26/05 | Real Cartagena Colombia Primera B |
1-1 | 3-2 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 18/05 | Deportes Quindio Colombia Primera B |
0-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 8 | W |
| 15/05 | Tigres FC Colombia Primera B |
1-1 | 2-1 | 5 | 5 | W |
| 11/05 | Internacional FC de Palmira Colombia Primera B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 4 | D |
| 04/05 | Internacional FC de Palmira Colombia Primera B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | D |
| 29/04 | Tigres FC Colombia Primera B |
0-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 6 | W |
| 25/04 | Deportes Quindio Colombia Primera B |
1-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 5 | L |
Once Caldas
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/07 | Cucuta Deportivo Colombia Primera A |
3-1 | 5-1 | 7 | 3 | W |
| 22/07 | Envigado FC Colombia Cup |
2-0 | 3-0 | 5 | 1 | W |
| 14/05 | Junior Colombia Primera A |
1-1 | 2-2 | 11 | 12 | D |
| 11/05 | Junior Colombia Primera A |
0-1 | 0-1 | 4 | 7 | L |
| 02/05 | Atletico Nacional Medellin Colombia Primera A |
0-0 | 1-0 | 9 | 5 | W |
| 26/04 | Aguilas Doradas Colombia Primera A |
1-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 9 | D |
| 21/04 | Internacional de Bogota Colombia Primera A |
1-0 | 2-1 | 6 | 7 | W |
| 10/04 | Deportivo Pereira Colombia Primera A |
0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 6 | D |
| 03/04 | Independiente Medellin Colombia Primera A |
0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 6 | D |
| 30/03 | Llaneros Colombia Primera A |
1-1 | 1-1 | 1 | 7 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Envigado FC vs Once Caldas?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Once Caldas win (39%). Probabilities: Envigado FC 32%, draw 29%, Once Caldas 39%.
How many goals are expected in Envigado FC vs Once Caldas?
The model expects 2.54 goals (Envigado FC 1.19 · Once Caldas 1.35), with a 53% chance of over 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Envigado FC vs Once Caldas?
The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.