Football · Brazil Serie D · 18/07, 21:00
Prediction: Sao Jose PA vs Treze
Prediction summary
Expected goals
1.89Total
Sao Jose PA1.15
Treze0.73
1X2
Sao Jose PA
Draw
Treze
Markets
Over 1.5 goals 58%
Not both to score 53%
Most likely score
0-0
Recent form · 10 last
Sao Jose PA
4-6-0 (W-D-L)
Treze
5-2-3 (W-D-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Sao Jose PA 1546 · Treze 1524
| Sao Jose PA | Draw | Treze | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 44% | 34% | 22% |
| Market | 46% | 31% | 23% |
Estimated total (ours)
1.89 goals · Bet365 line 2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 70%model estimate
Match keys
- High corners: 11.2 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 10.2 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Sao Jose PA | Treze | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.8 / 0.4 | 1.2 / 1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.3 / 0.2 | 0.7 / 0.2 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/50/20% | 50/40/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3 / 5.1 | 3.1 / 6.1 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5.4 / 0.5 | 4.8 / 0.1 |
Standings · Brazil Serie D · Brasileiro Serie D 2026, Group A16
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Blumenau EC | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 14 | 8 | 19 |
| 2 | Marcilio Dias | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 9 | 5 | 16 |
| 3 | Sao Joseense | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 13 |
| 4 | Sao Jose PA | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 13 |
| 5 | Brasil de Pelotas | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 12 | 10 |
| 6 | Azuriz FC | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 11 | 9 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Sao Jose PA
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/07 | Portuguesa RJ Brazil Serie D |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 7 | D |
| 04/07 | Portuguesa RJ Brazil Serie D |
1-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 9 | W |
| 27/06 | Santa Catarina Brazil Serie D |
0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 4 | D |
| 21/06 | Santa Catarina Brazil Serie D |
0-1 | 1-1 | 6 | 4 | D |
| 07/06 | Blumenau EC Brazil Serie D |
0-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 6 | W |
| 01/06 | Sao Joseense Brazil Serie D |
0-0 | 1-0 | 8 | 5 | W |
| 24/05 | Marcilio Dias Brazil Serie D |
1-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 5 | D |
| 17/05 | Brasil de Pelotas Brazil Serie D |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 4 | D |
| 10/05 | Azuriz FC Brazil Serie D |
1-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 8 | W |
| 03/05 | Azuriz FC Brazil Serie D |
0-1 | 1-1 | 11 | 7 | D |
Treze
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/07 | CRAC Brazil Serie D |
0-0 | 1-0 | 10 | 6 | W |
| 04/07 | CRAC Brazil Serie D |
1-1 | 1-2 | 8 | 10 | L |
| 28/06 | Jacuipense Brazil Serie D |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 3 | D |
| 21/06 | Jacuipense Brazil Serie D |
1-0 | 3-1 | 6 | 5 | W |
| 14/06 | Retro FC Brasil Brazil Serie D |
0-1 | 0-3 | 8 | 7 | L |
| 06/06 | Decisao Brazil Serie D |
1-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 7 | D |
| 30/05 | Lagarto Brazil Serie D |
1-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | L |
| 23/05 | CS Sergipe Brazil Serie D |
1-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 1 | W |
| 16/05 | Serra Branca EC Brazil Serie D |
0-0 | 2-1 | 2 | 6 | W |
| 10/05 | Decisao Brazil Serie D |
2-0 | 2-0 | 14 | 3 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Sao Jose PA vs Treze?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Sao Jose PA win (45%). Probabilities: Sao Jose PA 45%, draw 32%, Treze 23%.
How many goals are expected in Sao Jose PA vs Treze?
The model expects 1.89 goals (Sao Jose PA 1.15 · Treze 0.73), with a 53% chance of under 2 goals.
Will both teams score in Sao Jose PA vs Treze?
The model gives a 53% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 0-0.